Deep Dive Analysis
JUST (JST)
2026-10-19 15:00 UTC · Oliver Schmidt · 35,000 Portfolio
PRICE
0.14
0.14
52W HIGH
0.14
0.14
DRAWDOWN
-2.4%
-2.4%
STAGE
Stage 2 (Uptrend)
Stage 2 (Uptrend)
🟢 DEPLOY — Trend-Following Signal: BUY
Trend-Following System · HIGH Conviction · 8 Bull / 1 Bear Factors
Bullish factors: price > 50d, price > 200d, golden cross, 50d rising, RSI healthy (60.0), rising 1m & 3m, within 10% of high, accumulation (OBV up, vol ratio 2.36)
Bearish factors: MACD-
JST Price — 1 Year
1Y Ago: 0.04
Low: 0.03
Now: 0.14
Low: 0.03
Now: 0.14
Technical Snapshot
| RSI (14) | 60.0 | ADX (14) | 18.8 |
| 50d MA | 0.12 | 200d MA | 0.10 |
| Price vs 50d | ▲ Above | Price vs 200d | ▲ Above |
| Support | 0.11 | Resistance | 0.14 |
| ATR Volatility | 3.49%/day | Trend | BUY |
Crypto Performance Comparison
| Asset | 1 Month | 3 Months | 6 Months | 1 Year |
| JST | +7.4% | +30.3% | +75.8% | +227.9% |
| BTC | -1.6% | +27.4% | +33.7% | +19.4% |
| ETH | -10.5% | +25.9% | +48.6% | +19.2% |
| SOL | -12.0% | +37.7% | +65.6% | +26.1% |
Trend-Following Backtest
2-year simulation of 35,000 using 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter. Buy when price > 50d MA (rising) + RSI 40-75. Sell on death cross or RSI > 82.
FINAL VALUE
65,103
RETURN
+86.0%
MAX DRAWDOWN
-37.5%
Strategy vs Buy & Hold
| Asset | Strategy | Buy & Hold | Max DD | Trades | Win Rate |
| JST | +86.0% | +306.2% | -37.5% | 41 | 49% |
DCA vs Lump Sum (JST)
If you had deployed 35,000 using different timing strategies over the past year.
| Strategy | Return | Value Today |
| Lump Sum (1y ago) | +227.9% | 147,823 |
| DCA — 4 buys | +171.4% | 94,976 |
| DCA — 6 buys | +166.2% | 93,161 |
| DCA — 12 buys | +148.0% | 86,814 |
JST Deployment Plan — 35,000 Portfolio
Analysis by Oliver Schmidt (Conservative / Institutional). If you’re managing a 35,000 crypto allocation, here’s the plan:
| Position size | 5,250 (15% of portfolio) |
| Stop loss | 0.13 (-7.0%) |
| Target 1 | 0.00 (-100.0%) |
| Target 2 | 0.00 (-100.0%) |
| Entry quality | Pullback |
| Max concurrent positions | 10 |
Cash reserve: keep 15% buffer. Deploy in 3 tranches. Portfolio style: Conservative / Institutional.
Backtest Trade Log
| Date | Action | Price | P&L |
| 2026-01-21 | BUY | 0.04 | |
| 2026-01-27 | SELL | 0.04 | -9.8% |
| 2026-01-28 | BUY | 0.04 | |
| 2026-02-03 | SELL | 0.04 | -8.5% |
| 2026-02-07 | BUY | 0.04 | |
| 2026-02-12 | SELL | 0.04 | -3.2% |
| 2026-02-16 | BUY | 0.04 | |
| 2026-06-03 | SELL | 0.07 | +71.7% |
| 2026-06-28 | BUY | 0.09 | |
| 2026-08-24 | SELL | 0.10 | +13.9% |
| 2026-09-01 | BUY | 0.10 | |
| END | SELL | 0.14 | +36.0% |
Generated by BitcoinsNews.com Coin Analysis Engine · 2026-10-19 15:00 UTC
Trend-following methodology: 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter + ADX regime gate
Data via Yahoo Finance / CoinGecko · Not financial advice. For educational purposes only.
Trend-following methodology: 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter + ADX regime gate
Data via Yahoo Finance / CoinGecko · Not financial advice. For educational purposes only.
JST at 0.14 against a low of 0.03 in a year is a quiet 4x nobody talks about. ADX 18.8 says the trend still has room too.
buying a coin sitting exactly at its 52w high with only -2.4% drawdown, bold strategy. usually thats where the rug of local tops lives
@trong_at_ disagree, OBV rising with a golden cross on JST is rare. held this since 0.09, not selling stage 2
Careful, price is pressing right into 0.14 resistance which is also the 52w high. First touch usually gets sold. Wait for the breakout candle.
vol ratio of 2.36 on the accumulation side is the detail that matters imo. Someone is loading before the resistance test, not dumping into it.
The 8 bull vs 1 bear factor count is nice but JST liquidity is thin. Vol ratio 2.36 means someone big already accumulated, entering after them feels like exit liquidity duty
Held JST through the 0.04 grind in spring, so the Oliver Schmidt BUY call feels earned for once. Support at 0.11 is a clean invalidation level.