Deep Dive Analysis
MemeCore (M)
2026-10-25 10:30 UTC · Tomas Novak · 15,000 Portfolio
PRICE
0.93
0.93
52W HIGH
4.57
4.57
DRAWDOWN
-79.7%
-79.7%
STAGE
Stage 4 (Downtrend)
Stage 4 (Downtrend)
🔴 AVOID — DO NOT DEPLOY
Trend-Following System · HIGH Conviction · 4 Bull / 6 Bear Factors
Bullish factors: MACD+, RSI healthy (50.1), strong bull trend (ADX 25.3), vol 1.71x on up day
Bearish factors: price < 50d, price < 200d, death cross, 50d falling, falling 1m & 3m, far below high
M Price — 1 Year
1Y Ago: 1.34
Low: 0.59
Now: 0.93
Low: 0.59
Now: 0.93
Technical Snapshot
| RSI (14) | 50.1 | ADX (14) | 25.3 |
| 50d MA | 1.06 | 200d MA | 1.92 |
| Price vs 50d | ▼ Below | Price vs 200d | ▼ Below |
| Support | 0.72 | Resistance | 1.22 |
| ATR Volatility | 4.14%/day | Trend | SELL |
Crypto Performance Comparison
| Asset | 1 Month | 3 Months | 6 Months | 1 Year |
| M | -11.4% | -16.9% | -70.7% | -30.6% |
| BTC | -7.4% | +3.0% | +22.1% | +16.3% |
| ETH | -14.8% | -5.8% | +29.7% | +16.2% |
| SOL | -17.3% | +5.3% | +36.9% | +16.3% |
Trend-Following Backtest
2-year simulation of 15,000 using 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter. Buy when price > 50d MA (rising) + RSI 40-75. Sell on death cross or RSI > 82.
FINAL VALUE
11,653
RETURN
-22.3%
MAX DRAWDOWN
-23.0%
Strategy vs Buy & Hold
| Asset | Strategy | Buy & Hold | Max DD | Trades | Win Rate |
| M | -22.3% | -71.7% | -23.0% | 10 | 30% |
DCA vs Lump Sum (M)
If you had deployed 15,000 using different timing strategies over the past year.
| Strategy | Return | Value Today |
| Lump Sum (1y ago) | -30.6% | 4,246 |
| DCA — 4 buys | -44.8% | 8,284 |
| DCA — 6 buys | -37.0% | 9,444 |
| DCA — 12 buys | -37.2% | 9,416 |
M Deployment Plan — 15,000 Portfolio
Analysis by Tomas Novak (Momentum / Swing Trader). If you’re managing a 15,000 crypto allocation, here’s the plan:
| Position size | 3,750 (25% of portfolio) |
| Stop loss | 0.85 (-8.3%) |
| Target 1 | 1.00 (7.8%) |
| Target 2 | 1.00 (7.8%) |
| Entry quality | Midrange (R:R 1.5) |
| Max concurrent positions | 4 |
Cash reserve: keep 25% buffer. Deploy in 2 tranches. Portfolio style: Momentum / Swing Trader.
Backtest Trade Log
| Date | Action | Price | P&L |
| 2026-09-11 | BUY | 1.15 | |
| 2026-09-12 | SELL | 1.19 | +2.8% |
| 2026-09-18 | BUY | 1.20 | |
| 2026-09-19 | SELL | 1.30 | +8.6% |
| 2026-09-20 | BUY | 1.51 | |
| 2026-09-21 | SELL | 1.48 | -1.9% |
| 2026-09-22 | BUY | 1.44 | |
| 2026-09-23 | SELL | 1.31 | -9.0% |
| 2026-09-24 | BUY | 1.23 | |
| 2026-09-25 | SELL | 1.21 | -1.2% |
| 2026-09-26 | BUY | 1.21 | |
| 2026-09-27 | SELL | 1.22 | +0.8% |
Generated by BitcoinsNews.com Coin Analysis Engine · 2026-10-25 10:30 UTC
Trend-following methodology: 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter + ADX regime gate
Data via Yahoo Finance / CoinGecko · Not financial advice. For educational purposes only.
Trend-following methodology: 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter + ADX regime gate
Data via Yahoo Finance / CoinGecko · Not financial advice. For educational purposes only.
-79.7% from the high and the system still found 4 bull factors? ADX 25.3 means the downtrend is strong, thats bearish not bullish lol
exactly. ADX 25.3 with price under every resistance from 1.06 to 1.22, the system literally screaming SELL in red three times and people in my TL still aping the 0.72 bounce
The MACD+ signal means nothing when the price is a fifth of the 52w high. This is a falling knife with extra steps.
falling knife but RSI 50.1 is the weird part, its not even oversold. no edge long, no edge short at support. sitting out feels correct for once
^ this. i aped M at 2.40 because RSI healthy. its not healthy, its dead cat energy
dead cat with a 15k momentum portfolio attached lol. if youre swing trading M the only trade here is shorting the 1.06 retest, not buying dips at 0.93