Deep Dive Analysis
World Liberty Financial (WLFI)
2026-10-31 10:30 UTC · Tomas Novak · 15,000 Portfolio
PRICE
0.05
0.05
52W HIGH
0.18
0.18
DRAWDOWN
-72.1%
-72.1%
STAGE
Stage 4 (Downtrend)
Stage 4 (Downtrend)
🔴 AVOID — DO NOT DEPLOY
Trend-Following System · HIGH Conviction · 0 Bull / 9 Bear Factors
Bearish factors: price < 50d, price < 200d, death cross, 50d falling, MACD-, RSI weak (30.4), falling 1m & 3m, far below high, distribution (OBV down, vol ratio 0.61)
WLFI Price — 1 Year
1Y Ago: 0.11
Low: 0.05
Now: 0.05
Low: 0.05
Now: 0.05
Technical Snapshot
| RSI (14) | 30.4 | ADX (14) | 19.2 |
| 50d MA | 0.06 | 200d MA | 0.06 |
| Price vs 50d | ▼ Below | Price vs 200d | ▼ Below |
| Support | 0.05 | Resistance | 0.06 |
| ATR Volatility | 1.48%/day | Trend | SELL |
Crypto Performance Comparison
| Asset | 1 Month | 3 Months | 6 Months | 1 Year |
| WLFI | -11.8% | -12.7% | -14.4% | -55.4% |
| BTC | -6.8% | -1.2% | +20.9% | +14.2% |
| ETH | -10.5% | -8.8% | +29.9% | +14.5% |
| SOL | -13.4% | -9.8% | +32.6% | +15.2% |
Trend-Following Backtest
2-year simulation of 15,000 using 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter. Buy when price > 50d MA (rising) + RSI 40-75. Sell on death cross or RSI > 82.
FINAL VALUE
15,098
RETURN
+0.7%
MAX DRAWDOWN
-4.5%
Strategy vs Buy & Hold
| Asset | Strategy | Buy & Hold | Max DD | Trades | Win Rate |
| WLFI | +0.7% | -16.2% | -4.5% | 11 | 54% |
DCA vs Lump Sum (WLFI)
If you had deployed 15,000 using different timing strategies over the past year.
| Strategy | Return | Value Today |
| Lump Sum (1y ago) | -55.4% | 12,563 |
| DCA — 4 buys | -12.7% | 13,098 |
| DCA — 6 buys | -11.2% | 13,314 |
| DCA — 12 buys | -13.2% | 13,018 |
WLFI Deployment Plan — 15,000 Portfolio
Analysis by Tomas Novak (Momentum / Swing Trader). If you’re managing a 15,000 crypto allocation, here’s the plan:
| Position size | 3,750 (25% of portfolio) |
| Stop loss | 0.05 (-3.0%) |
| Target 1 | 0.00 (-100.0%) |
| Target 2 | 0.00 (-100.0%) |
| Entry quality | Pullback |
| Max concurrent positions | 4 |
Cash reserve: keep 25% buffer. Deploy in 2 tranches. Portfolio style: Momentum / Swing Trader.
Backtest Trade Log
| Date | Action | Price | P&L |
| 2026-09-16 | BUY | 0.06 | |
| 2026-09-17 | SELL | 0.06 | +1.8% |
| 2026-09-18 | BUY | 0.06 | |
| 2026-09-19 | SELL | 0.06 | +1.3% |
| 2026-09-20 | BUY | 0.06 | |
| 2026-09-21 | SELL | 0.06 | -0.5% |
| 2026-09-22 | BUY | 0.06 | |
| 2026-09-23 | SELL | 0.06 | +1.9% |
| 2026-09-26 | BUY | 0.06 | |
| 2026-09-27 | SELL | 0.06 | +2.1% |
| 2026-09-28 | BUY | 0.06 | |
| 2026-09-29 | SELL | 0.06 | -2.6% |
Generated by BitcoinsNews.com Coin Analysis Engine · 2026-10-31 10:30 UTC
Trend-following methodology: 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter + ADX regime gate
Data via Yahoo Finance / CoinGecko · Not financial advice. For educational purposes only.
Trend-following methodology: 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter + ADX regime gate
Data via Yahoo Finance / CoinGecko · Not financial advice. For educational purposes only.
0.05 feels closer than 0.06 the way this bleeds. even the sell call at these levels feels late, most of the damage is already done
0.05 from a 0.18 top is brutal. wlfi holders are the most cope-heavy group in crypto and i say that as one of them lol
cope-heavy is accurate. i was down bad on the whole trump association trade too, exited at 0.07 and sleeping fine
most cope-heavy is wild lmao but i cant even argue, i kept telling myself the brand deals would save the chart
0.18 to 0.06 and people in the tg still calling it accumulation. you cannot make this up
Took the sell signal seriously for once. Cleared out at 0.06 and sleeping much better now.
same, took the 0.06 exit. first sell call where acting on it the same hour actually paid off
sold at 0.06 too. first tomas piece i fully agree with
took two attempts to get out at 0.06, first order got front-run by the dump lol. congrats on the clean exit
same, my 0.06 limit sat there for an hour before it filled. wont miss holding a token whose main catalyst is press conferences