This is an automated coin monitor, not investment advice.
Uniswap (UNI)
USD 6.76
USD 10.22
-33.9%
Stage 1 (Bottoming)
Bullish factors: price > 200d, golden cross, 50d rising, MACD+, accumulation (OBV up, vol ratio 1.22)
Bearish factors: price < 50d, RSI weak (43.4), far below high, vol 1.53x on down day
Low: USD 2.40
Now: USD 6.76
Technical Snapshot
| RSI (14) | 43.4 | ADX (14) | 12.9 |
| 50d MA | USD 7.95 | 200d MA | USD 4.81 |
| Price vs 50d | ▼ Below | Price vs 200d | ▲ Above |
| Support | USD 6.46 | Resistance | USD 7.91 |
| ATR Volatility | 4.41%/day | Model state | Neutral / no trend |
Crypto Performance Comparison
| Asset | 1 Month | 3 Months | 6 Months | 1 Year |
| UNI | -9.0% | +6.8% | +131.4% | +80.6% |
| BTC | -7.6% | -6.6% | +26.6% | +15.2% |
| ETH | -7.9% | -10.4% | +43.0% | +16.4% |
| SOL | -14.6% | -13.5% | +27.8% | +9.8% |
Trend-Following Backtest
2-year simulation on a notional USD 35,000 starting balance using the model’s 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter. The model goes long when price is above a rising 50d MA with RSI 40-75, and goes flat on a death cross or RSI above 82. Hypothetical, before fees and slippage.
Strategy vs Buy & Hold
| Asset | Strategy | Buy & Hold | Max DD | Trades | Win Rate |
| UNI | +43.5% | +99.5% | -34.9% | 19 | 32% |
DCA vs Lump Sum (UNI)
Hypothetical result of a notional USD 35,000 placed one year ago under different timing schedules. Simulation only, not a recommendation.
| Strategy | Return | Value Today |
| Lump Sum (1y ago) | +80.6% | USD 69,828 |
| DCA — 4 buys | +73.7% | USD 60,801 |
| DCA — 6 buys | +65.5% | USD 57,940 |
| DCA — 12 buys | +60.7% | USD 56,246 |
Levels the system watches
Reference levels used by the trend model to classify UNI. They describe how the model reads the chart, not what anyone should do.
| Support (recent swing low) | USD 6.46 |
| Resistance (recent swing high) | USD 7.91 |
| Trend model’s invalidation level (ATR-based) | USD 6.16 (-8.8% from current price) |
| ATR (14) | USD 0.2981 (4.41%/day) |
| Price location vs trend (model label) | Pullback |
The invalidation level is where the model would stop treating the current trend reading as valid (roughly 2x ATR below price or 0.5x ATR below the recent swing low, whichever is lower). It is a model parameter, not a stop-loss recommendation.
Backtest Trade Log
| Date | Action | Price | Simulated P&L |
| 2026-08-04 | BUY | USD 3.90 | |
| 2026-08-05 | SELL | USD 3.85 | -1.4% |
| 2026-08-06 | BUY | USD 4.04 | |
| 2026-08-07 | SELL | USD 4.01 | -0.7% |
| 2026-08-08 | BUY | USD 3.98 | |
| 2026-08-13 | SELL | USD 3.57 | -10.2% |
| 2026-08-21 | BUY | USD 3.76 | |
| 2026-09-06 | SELL | USD 7.05 | +87.4% |
| 2026-09-08 | BUY | USD 6.85 | |
| 2026-10-13 | SELL | USD 6.97 | +1.7% |
| 2026-10-14 | BUY | USD 7.54 | |
| 2026-10-15 | SELL | USD 7.19 | -4.6% |
Trend-following methodology: 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter + ADX regime gate · Backtests are hypothetical and exclude fees.
adx 12.9 with rsi stuck in the mid 40s, uni is officially in nothingburger mode. obv accumulation is the only line here worth a second look
vol ratio 1.22 is quietly the tell imo. someone is stacking while everyone else complains about chop
vol ratio agrees but obv can fake you out in low adx regimes. want uni holding above 6 before i trust the accumulation story
Bought near the 200d average around 4.90. Now up 35% while the model calls it neutral. Boring is fine by me with a golden cross in place.
35% off the 200d and the model still says neutral. these monitors are allergic to conclusions lol
uni sitting at 4.90 support with the fee switch still lurking in governance. honestly the chart is the least interesting thing about this token rn