This is an automated coin monitor, not investment advice.
Shiba Inu (SHIB)
USD 0.000000
USD 0.000000
-0%
Stage 4 (Downtrend)
Bearish factors: 50d falling, MACD bear cross, RSI weak (13.1), falling 1m & 3m, far below high, strong bear trend (ADX 51.1), breakdown below lower band
Low: USD 0.000000
Now: USD 0.000000
Technical Snapshot
| RSI (14) | 13.1 | ADX (14) | 51.1 |
| 50d MA | USD 0.000000 | 200d MA | USD 0.000000 |
| Price vs 50d | ▼ Below | Price vs 200d | ▼ Below |
| Support | USD 0.000000 | Resistance | USD 0.000000 |
| ATR Volatility | 5.65%/day | Model state | Neutral / no trend |
Crypto Performance Comparison
| Asset | 1 Month | 3 Months | 6 Months | 1 Year |
| SHIB | -8.0% | -8.0% | +15.0% | -23.3% |
| BTC | -7.0% | -4.9% | +27.3% | +13.1% |
| ETH | -7.9% | -9.3% | +41.9% | +13.4% |
| SOL | -13.1% | -11.1% | +27.1% | +7.4% |
Trend-Following Backtest
2-year simulation on a notional USD 35,000 starting balance using the model’s 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter. The model goes long when price is above a rising 50d MA with RSI 40-75, and goes flat on a death cross or RSI above 82. Hypothetical, before fees and slippage.
Strategy vs Buy & Hold
| Asset | Strategy | Buy & Hold | Max DD | Trades | Win Rate |
| SHIB | -76.3% | -67.1% | -76.3% | 39 | 3% |
DCA vs Lump Sum (SHIB)
Hypothetical result of a notional USD 35,000 placed one year ago under different timing schedules. Simulation only, not a recommendation.
| Strategy | Return | Value Today |
| Lump Sum (1y ago) | -23.3% | USD 16,100 |
| DCA — 4 buys | -27.2% | USD 25,492 |
| DCA — 6 buys | -21.2% | USD 27,579 |
| DCA — 12 buys | -21.3% | USD 27,541 |
Levels the system watches
Reference levels used by the trend model to classify SHIB. They describe how the model reads the chart, not what anyone should do.
| Support (recent swing low) | USD 0.000000 |
| Resistance (recent swing high) | USD 0.000000 |
| Trend model’s invalidation level (ATR-based) | USD 0.000000 (nan% from current price) |
| ATR (14) | USD 0.000000 (5.65%/day) |
| Price location vs trend (model label) | Unknown |
The invalidation level is where the model would stop treating the current trend reading as valid (roughly 2x ATR below price or 0.5x ATR below the recent swing low, whichever is lower). It is a model parameter, not a stop-loss recommendation.
Backtest Trade Log
| Date | Action | Price | Simulated P&L |
| 2026-09-23 | BUY | USD 0.000000 | |
| 2026-09-24 | SELL | USD 0.000000 | +0.0% |
| 2026-09-25 | BUY | USD 0.000000 | |
| 2026-09-26 | SELL | USD 0.000000 | +0.0% |
| 2026-09-27 | BUY | USD 0.000000 | |
| 2026-09-28 | SELL | USD 0.000000 | +0.0% |
| 2026-09-29 | BUY | USD 0.000000 | |
| 2026-09-30 | SELL | USD 0.000000 | +0.0% |
| 2026-10-01 | BUY | USD 0.000000 | |
| 2026-10-02 | SELL | USD 0.000000 | +0.0% |
| 2026-10-03 | BUY | USD 0.000000 | |
| 2026-10-07 | SELL | USD 0.000000 | -16.7% |
Trend-following methodology: 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter + ADX regime gate · Backtests are hypothetical and exclude fees.
stage 4 downtrend and the monitor still says neutral? cmon, call it what it is. SHIB been bleeding since that oct 7 sell signal
the ADX gate is why tho. it bled since the oct 7 sell signal but no trend strength means no trend label, model refuses to chase chop
To be fair the article explains the model reads ranges differently. ADX gate probably keeps it out of labeling a trend when momentum is this choppy.
its not defending the call, the ADX gate just refuses labels under weak momentum. annoying but honest, the oct 7 signal already got people out
ATR at 5.65% a day on SHIB and people still treat this like a savings account lol
5.65% daily ATR is a feature out here, not a bug. Nobody aping into SHIB in 2026 wants a savings account.
The backtest section is the only useful part here. 35k notional, no fees, and it still flagged that -16.7% exit in october. Drawdowns on meme coins are brutal even for systematic rules.
35k notional with no fees is where these backtests lose me. SHIB spreads alone turn that -16.7% october exit into something much worse
5.65% ATR means your stop needs to be 3x wider than your conviction, that is the meme monitor problem in one number. size small or skip