This is an automated coin monitor, not investment advice.
Cronos (CRO)
USD 0.0503
USD 0.3875
-87.0%
Stage 4 (Downtrend)
Bearish factors: price < 50d, price < 200d, death cross, 50d falling, MACD-, RSI weak (36.8), falling 1m & 3m, far below high, strong bear trend (ADX 30.3), vol 1.28x on down day, distribution (OBV down, vol ratio 0.71)
Low: USD 0.0457
Now: USD 0.0503
Technical Snapshot
| RSI (14) | 36.8 | ADX (14) | 30.3 |
| 50d MA | USD 0.0594 | 200d MA | USD 0.0600 |
| Price vs 50d | ▼ Below | Price vs 200d | ▼ Below |
| Support | USD 0.0483 | Resistance | USD 0.0636 |
| ATR Volatility | 4.74%/day | Model state | Bearish trend |
Crypto Performance Comparison
| Asset | 1 Month | 3 Months | 6 Months | 1 Year |
| CRO | -13.4% | -10.0% | -7.2% | -34.2% |
| BTC | -7.0% | -4.9% | +27.3% | +13.1% |
| ETH | -7.9% | -9.3% | +41.9% | +13.4% |
| SOL | -13.1% | -11.1% | +27.1% | +7.4% |
Trend-Following Backtest
2-year simulation on a notional USD 15,000 starting balance using the model’s 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter. The model goes long when price is above a rising 50d MA with RSI 40-75, and goes flat on a death cross or RSI above 82. Hypothetical, before fees and slippage.
Strategy vs Buy & Hold
| Asset | Strategy | Buy & Hold | Max DD | Trades | Win Rate |
| CRO | +42.5% | -47.8% | -46.7% | 41 | 46% |
DCA vs Lump Sum (CRO)
Hypothetical result of a notional USD 15,000 placed one year ago under different timing schedules. Simulation only, not a recommendation.
| Strategy | Return | Value Today |
| Lump Sum (1y ago) | -34.2% | USD 5,822 |
| DCA — 4 buys | -32.0% | USD 10,198 |
| DCA — 6 buys | -34.3% | USD 9,848 |
| DCA — 12 buys | -29.9% | USD 10,513 |
Levels the system watches
Reference levels used by the trend model to classify CRO. They describe how the model reads the chart, not what anyone should do.
| Support (recent swing low) | USD 0.0483 |
| Resistance (recent swing high) | USD 0.0636 |
| Trend model’s invalidation level (ATR-based) | USD 0.0455 (-9.5% from current price) |
| ATR (14) | USD 0.002384 (4.74%/day) |
| Price location vs trend (model label) | Pullback |
The invalidation level is where the model would stop treating the current trend reading as valid (roughly 2x ATR below price or 0.5x ATR below the recent swing low, whichever is lower). It is a model parameter, not a stop-loss recommendation.
Backtest Trade Log
| Date | Action | Price | Simulated P&L |
| 2026-09-28 | BUY | USD 0.0696 | |
| 2026-09-29 | SELL | USD 0.0681 | -2.2% |
| 2026-09-30 | BUY | USD 0.0669 | |
| 2026-10-01 | SELL | USD 0.0683 | +2.1% |
| 2026-10-02 | BUY | USD 0.0668 | |
| 2026-10-03 | SELL | USD 0.0665 | -0.4% |
| 2026-10-04 | BUY | USD 0.0689 | |
| 2026-10-05 | SELL | USD 0.0692 | +0.3% |
| 2026-10-06 | BUY | USD 0.0665 | |
| 2026-10-07 | SELL | USD 0.0632 | -5.0% |
| 2026-10-09 | BUY | USD 0.0616 | |
| 2026-10-10 | SELL | USD 0.0606 | -1.8% |
Trend-following methodology: 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter + ADX regime gate · Backtests are hypothetical and exclude fees.
0 bullish out of 11 factors, 87 percent off the 0.3875 high. held this since the cronos card hype days and it just keeps bleeding
same boat, bought the visa card saga near the top. adx 30 with rsi 36 means the downtrend still has legs, no knife catching yet
model flagged obv down and vol 0.71, straight distribution. agree with 0xlowbid, the knife aint caught
0.0457 is the last floor worth watching. below that the 52w low becomes the only reference and there is nothing to catch