This is an automated coin monitor, not investment advice.
Ethena (ENA)
USD 0.1658
USD 1.33
-87.5%
Stage 1 (Bottoming)
Bullish factors: price > 200d, golden cross, 50d rising, accumulation (OBV up, vol ratio 1.52)
Bearish factors: price < 50d, MACD-, RSI weak (39.7), far below high
Low: USD 0.0702
Now: USD 0.1658
Technical Snapshot
| RSI (14) | 39.7 | ADX (14) | 19.8 |
| 50d MA | USD 0.2116 | 200d MA | USD 0.1308 |
| Price vs 50d | ▼ Below | Price vs 200d | ▲ Above |
| Support | USD 0.1582 | Resistance | USD 0.2464 |
| ATR Volatility | 11.47%/day | Model state | Neutral / no trend |
Crypto Performance Comparison
| Asset | 1 Month | 3 Months | 6 Months | 1 Year |
| ENA | -16.5% | +1.8% | +116.0% | +59.2% |
| BTC | -7.0% | -4.9% | +27.3% | +13.1% |
| ETH | -7.9% | -9.3% | +41.9% | +13.4% |
| SOL | -13.1% | -11.1% | +27.1% | +7.4% |
Trend-Following Backtest
2-year simulation on a notional USD 10,000 starting balance using the model’s 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter. The model goes long when price is above a rising 50d MA with RSI 40-75, and goes flat on a death cross or RSI above 82. Hypothetical, before fees and slippage.
Strategy vs Buy & Hold
| Asset | Strategy | Buy & Hold | Max DD | Trades | Win Rate |
| ENA | +25.8% | -56.2% | -45.8% | 17 | 53% |
DCA vs Lump Sum (ENA)
Hypothetical result of a notional USD 10,000 placed one year ago under different timing schedules. Simulation only, not a recommendation.
| Strategy | Return | Value Today |
| Lump Sum (1y ago) | +59.2% | USD 4,973 |
| DCA — 4 buys | +22.1% | USD 12,214 |
| DCA — 6 buys | +20.1% | USD 12,005 |
| DCA — 12 buys | +29.6% | USD 12,963 |
Levels the system watches
Reference levels used by the trend model to classify ENA. They describe how the model reads the chart, not what anyone should do.
| Support (recent swing low) | USD 0.1582 |
| Resistance (recent swing high) | USD 0.2464 |
| Trend model’s invalidation level (ATR-based) | USD 0.1278 (-22.9% from current price) |
| ATR (14) | USD 0.0190 (11.47%/day) |
| Price location vs trend (model label) | Pullback |
The invalidation level is where the model would stop treating the current trend reading as valid (roughly 2x ATR below price or 0.5x ATR below the recent swing low, whichever is lower). It is a model parameter, not a stop-loss recommendation.
Backtest Trade Log
| Date | Action | Price | Simulated P&L |
| 2026-08-19 | BUY | USD 0.0935 | |
| 2026-08-20 | SELL | USD 0.1172 | +25.4% |
| 2026-08-25 | BUY | USD 0.1431 | |
| 2026-08-26 | SELL | USD 0.1477 | +3.2% |
| 2026-08-28 | BUY | USD 0.1627 | |
| 2026-08-29 | SELL | USD 0.1595 | -2.0% |
| 2026-08-30 | BUY | USD 0.1482 | |
| 2026-10-17 | SELL | USD 0.1881 | +26.9% |
| 2026-10-21 | BUY | USD 0.2132 | |
| 2026-10-22 | SELL | USD 0.1982 | -7.1% |
| 2026-10-25 | BUY | USD 0.2072 | |
| 2026-10-29 | SELL | USD 0.1750 | -15.5% |
Trend-following methodology: 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter + ADX regime gate · Backtests are hypothetical and exclude fees.
RSI 39.7 and ADX under 20, chart is dead water. that 11.47% daily ATR is the only thing still awake on this pair
the ATR number is wild given price is boxed between 0.1582 and 0.2464. someone is playing ping pong with the range
below the 50d at 0.2116 but holding the 200d at 0.1308. the yield is the only reason my ENA bags are still open tbh