This is an automated coin monitor, not investment advice.
Circle USYC (USYC)
USD 1.14
USD 1.14
-0.0%
Stage 2 (Uptrend)
Bullish factors: price > 50d, price > 200d, golden cross, 50d rising, rising 1m & 3m, strong bull trend (ADX 95.3)
Low: USD 1.11
Now: USD 1.14
Technical Snapshot
| RSI (14) | 99.5 | ADX (14) | 95.3 |
| 50d MA | USD 1.14 | 200d MA | USD 1.13 |
| Price vs 50d | ▲ Above | Price vs 200d | ▲ Above |
| Support | USD 1.14 | Resistance | USD 1.14 |
| ATR Volatility | 0.01%/day | Model state | Neutral / no trend |
Crypto Performance Comparison
| Asset | 1 Month | 3 Months | 6 Months | 1 Year |
| USYC | +0.2% | +0.6% | +1.8% | — |
| BTC | -6.6% | -4.8% | +26.3% | +15.6% |
| ETH | -6.5% | -9.6% | +39.3% | +15.7% |
| SOL | -12.9% | -12.8% | +20.1% | +7.7% |
Trend-Following Backtest
2-year simulation on a notional USD 30,000 starting balance using the model’s 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter. The model goes long when price is above a rising 50d MA with RSI 40-75, and goes flat on a death cross or RSI above 82. Hypothetical, before fees and slippage.
Strategy vs Buy & Hold
| Asset | Strategy | Buy & Hold | Max DD | Trades | Win Rate |
| USYC | +0.0% | +0.0% | 0% | 0 | 0% |
DCA vs Lump Sum (USYC)
Hypothetical result of a notional USD 30,000 placed one year ago under different timing schedules. Simulation only, not a recommendation.
| Strategy | Return | Value Today |
| Lump Sum (1y ago) | +0.0% | USD 0 |
| DCA — 4 buys | +0.0% | USD 0 |
| DCA — 6 buys | +0.0% | USD 0 |
| DCA — 12 buys | +0.0% | USD 0 |
Levels the system watches
Reference levels used by the trend model to classify USYC. They describe how the model reads the chart, not what anyone should do.
| Support (recent swing low) | USD 1.14 |
| Resistance (recent swing high) | USD 1.14 |
| Trend model’s invalidation level (ATR-based) | USD 1.14 (-0.1% from current price) |
| ATR (14) | USD 0.000120 (0.01%/day) |
| Price location vs trend (model label) | Extended |
The invalidation level is where the model would stop treating the current trend reading as valid (roughly 2x ATR below price or 0.5x ATR below the recent swing low, whichever is lower). It is a model parameter, not a stop-loss recommendation.
Backtest Trade Log
| Date | Action | Price | Simulated P&L |
Trend-following methodology: 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter + ADX regime gate · Backtests are hypothetical and exclude fees.
usyc at 1.14 while every other yieldcoin sits near par, that premium to nav is doing a lot of work here
^ exactly. rsi 99.5 on a tokenized fund is wild, paying 1.14 for a dollar-ish yieldcoin is speedrunning the premium collapse
Six bullish factors and zero bearish ones, yet the monitor still calls it Neutral. That RSI 99.5 flag is doing all the heavy lifting in the decision.