This is an automated coin monitor, not investment advice.
LEO Token (LEO)
USD 9.16
USD 10.39
-11.8%
Stage 3 (Topping)
Bullish factors: price > 50d, 50d rising
Bearish factors: price < 200d, death cross, MACD-, RSI weak (44.9), strong bear trend (ADX 30.5), vol 2.29x on down day, distribution (OBV down, vol ratio 0.3)
Low: USD 6.06
Now: USD 9.16
Technical Snapshot
| RSI (14) | 44.9 | ADX (14) | 30.5 |
| 50d MA | USD 9.09 | 200d MA | USD 9.49 |
| Price vs 50d | ▲ Above | Price vs 200d | ▼ Below |
| Support | USD 8.91 | Resistance | USD 9.49 |
| ATR Volatility | 1.45%/day | Model state | Neutral / no trend |
Crypto Performance Comparison
| Asset | 1 Month | 3 Months | 6 Months | 1 Year |
| LEO | +1.4% | -0.2% | +0.3% | +1.1% |
| BTC | -12.0% | -6.5% | +13.5% | +5.1% |
| ETH | -15.9% | -17.7% | +12.8% | +1.4% |
| SOL | -21.2% | -17.3% | -0.0% | -3.6% |
Trend-Following Backtest
2-year simulation on a notional USD 10,000 starting balance using the model’s 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter. The model goes long when price is above a rising 50d MA with RSI 40-75, and goes flat on a death cross or RSI above 82. Hypothetical, before fees and slippage.
Strategy vs Buy & Hold
| Asset | Strategy | Buy & Hold | Max DD | Trades | Win Rate |
| LEO | -30.9% | +6.3% | -31.7% | 59 | 37% |
DCA vs Lump Sum (LEO)
Hypothetical result of a notional USD 10,000 placed one year ago under different timing schedules. Simulation only, not a recommendation.
| Strategy | Return | Value Today |
| Lump Sum (1y ago) | +1.1% | USD 9,992 |
| DCA — 4 buys | -0.9% | USD 9,909 |
| DCA — 6 buys | -1.7% | USD 9,833 |
| DCA — 12 buys | -1.7% | USD 9,835 |
Levels the system watches
Reference levels used by the trend model to classify LEO. They describe how the model reads the chart, not what anyone should do.
| Support (recent swing low) | USD 8.91 |
| Resistance (recent swing high) | USD 9.49 |
| Trend model’s invalidation level (ATR-based) | USD 8.90 (-2.9% from current price) |
| ATR (14) | USD 0.1325 (1.45%/day) |
| Price location vs trend (model label) | Pullback |
The invalidation level is where the model would stop treating the current trend reading as valid (roughly 2x ATR below price or 0.5x ATR below the recent swing low, whichever is lower). It is a model parameter, not a stop-loss recommendation.
Backtest Trade Log
| Date | Action | Price | Simulated P&L |
| 2026-11-02 | BUY | USD 9.39 | |
| 2026-11-03 | SELL | USD 9.29 | -1.1% |
| 2026-11-04 | BUY | USD 9.32 | |
| 2026-11-05 | SELL | USD 9.35 | +0.3% |
| 2026-11-06 | BUY | USD 9.38 | |
| 2026-11-07 | SELL | USD 9.33 | -0.5% |
| 2026-11-08 | BUY | USD 9.30 | |
| 2026-11-09 | SELL | USD 9.30 | -0.0% |
| 2026-11-10 | BUY | USD 9.23 | |
| 2026-11-11 | SELL | USD 9.21 | -0.2% |
| 2026-11-12 | BUY | USD 9.16 | |
| END | SELL | USD 9.16 | +0.0% |
Trend-following methodology: 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter + ADX regime gate · Backtests are hypothetical and exclude fees.
stage 3 topping at -11.8% off the high while the same report says neutral and no trend. pick one lol
^ the model itself says no trade. been chopping between 9 and 10 for weeks, sitting out is the only sane play here
9.16 against a 52w high of 10.39 is a shallow pullback for LEO. calling that topping is a stretch imo