This is an automated coin monitor, not investment advice.
Chainlink (LINK)
USD 9.98
USD 30.81
-67.6%
Stage 4 (Downtrend)
Bullish factors: golden cross
Bearish factors: price < 50d, price < 200d, 50d falling, MACD-, RSI weak (34.4), falling 1m & 3m, far below high, strong bear trend (ADX 25.4), distribution (OBV down, vol ratio 0.63)
Low: USD 7.02
Now: USD 9.98
Technical Snapshot
| RSI (14) | 34.4 | ADX (14) | 25.4 |
| 50d MA | USD 12.34 | 200d MA | USD 10.10 |
| Price vs 50d | ▼ Below | Price vs 200d | ▼ Below |
| Support | USD 9.79 | Resistance | USD 13.06 |
| ATR Volatility | 5.94%/day | Model state | Bearish trend |
Crypto Performance Comparison
| Asset | 1 Month | 3 Months | 6 Months | 1 Year |
| LINK | -16.4% | -12.9% | +24.8% | +13.5% |
| BTC | -12.0% | -6.5% | +13.5% | +5.1% |
| ETH | -15.9% | -17.7% | +12.8% | +1.4% |
| SOL | -21.2% | -17.3% | -0.0% | -3.6% |
Trend-Following Backtest
2-year simulation on a notional USD 10,000 starting balance using the model’s 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter. The model goes long when price is above a rising 50d MA with RSI 40-75, and goes flat on a death cross or RSI above 82. Hypothetical, before fees and slippage.
Strategy vs Buy & Hold
| Asset | Strategy | Buy & Hold | Max DD | Trades | Win Rate |
| LINK | +17.9% | -28.6% | -37.8% | 48 | 44% |
DCA vs Lump Sum (LINK)
Hypothetical result of a notional USD 10,000 placed one year ago under different timing schedules. Simulation only, not a recommendation.
| Strategy | Return | Value Today |
| Lump Sum (1y ago) | +13.5% | USD 6,845 |
| DCA — 4 buys | -1.2% | USD 9,879 |
| DCA — 6 buys | -6.3% | USD 9,372 |
| DCA — 12 buys | -0.5% | USD 9,953 |
Levels the system watches
Reference levels used by the trend model to classify LINK. They describe how the model reads the chart, not what anyone should do.
| Support (recent swing low) | USD 9.79 |
| Resistance (recent swing high) | USD 13.06 |
| Trend model’s invalidation level (ATR-based) | USD 8.80 (-11.9% from current price) |
| ATR (14) | USD 0.5931 (5.94%/day) |
| Price location vs trend (model label) | Pullback |
The invalidation level is where the model would stop treating the current trend reading as valid (roughly 2x ATR below price or 0.5x ATR below the recent swing low, whichever is lower). It is a model parameter, not a stop-loss recommendation.
Backtest Trade Log
| Date | Action | Price | Simulated P&L |
| 2026-08-10 | BUY | USD 8.29 | |
| 2026-08-11 | SELL | USD 8.77 | +5.8% |
| 2026-08-12 | BUY | USD 8.67 | |
| 2026-08-13 | SELL | USD 8.87 | +2.3% |
| 2026-08-14 | BUY | USD 8.97 | |
| 2026-08-15 | SELL | USD 9.46 | +5.5% |
| 2026-08-16 | BUY | USD 9.38 | |
| 2026-08-17 | SELL | USD 9.54 | +1.6% |
| 2026-08-18 | BUY | USD 9.54 | |
| 2026-08-19 | SELL | USD 10.54 | +10.6% |
| 2026-08-25 | BUY | USD 11.28 | |
| 2026-10-14 | SELL | USD 12.42 | +10.1% |
Trend-following methodology: 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter + ADX regime gate · Backtests are hypothetical and exclude fees.
sitting right under the 200d at 10.10 with support at 9.79. lose that and its freefall territory, rsi 34.4 gives no bounce signal either
Still up 13.5% on the year while sitting 67.6% below the 30.81 high. Says a lot about how rough this tape has been for alts.
rsi in the mid 30s is historically where relief bounces start tho. not calling a bottom, just saying shorting right above 9.79 support is awful risk