This is an automated coin monitor, not investment advice.
Quant (QNT)
USD 153.31
USD 357.00
-57.1%
Stage 1 (Bottoming)
Bullish factors: price > 200d, golden cross, 50d rising
Bearish factors: price < 50d, MACD-, RSI weak (33.3), far below high, breakdown below lower band, distribution (OBV down, vol ratio 0.65)
Low: USD 54.01
Now: USD 153.31
Technical Snapshot
| RSI (14) | 33.3 | ADX (14) | 17.4 |
| 50d MA | USD 209.88 | 200d MA | USD 102.71 |
| Price vs 50d | ▼ Below | Price vs 200d | ▲ Above |
| Support | USD 152.15 | Resistance | USD 222.94 |
| ATR Volatility | 10.06%/day | Model state | Neutral / no trend |
Crypto Performance Comparison
| Asset | 1 Month | 3 Months | 6 Months | 1 Year |
| QNT | -14.4% | +140.0% | +131.8% | +145.4% |
| BTC | -18.7% | -15.0% | +2.6% | -0.4% |
| ETH | -21.9% | -27.2% | +2.3% | -5.0% |
| SOL | -27.8% | -27.5% | -9.9% | -9.6% |
Trend-Following Backtest
2-year simulation on a notional USD 35,000 starting balance using the model’s 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter. The model goes long when price is above a rising 50d MA with RSI 40-75, and goes flat on a death cross or RSI above 82. Hypothetical, before fees and slippage.
Strategy vs Buy & Hold
| Asset | Strategy | Buy & Hold | Max DD | Trades | Win Rate |
| QNT | -56.6% | +42.5% | -60.8% | 51 | 39% |
DCA vs Lump Sum (QNT)
Hypothetical result of a notional USD 35,000 placed one year ago under different timing schedules. Simulation only, not a recommendation.
| Strategy | Return | Value Today |
| Lump Sum (1y ago) | +145.4% | USD 63,857 |
| DCA — 4 buys | +110.4% | USD 73,651 |
| DCA — 6 buys | +115.2% | USD 75,305 |
| DCA — 12 buys | +105.9% | USD 72,076 |
Levels the system watches
Reference levels used by the trend model to classify QNT. They describe how the model reads the chart, not what anyone should do.
| Support (recent swing low) | USD 152.15 |
| Resistance (recent swing high) | USD 222.94 |
| Trend model’s invalidation level (ATR-based) | USD 122.46 (-20.1% from current price) |
| ATR (14) | USD 15.43 (10.06%/day) |
| Price location vs trend (model label) | Pullback |
The invalidation level is where the model would stop treating the current trend reading as valid (roughly 2x ATR below price or 0.5x ATR below the recent swing low, whichever is lower). It is a model parameter, not a stop-loss recommendation.
Backtest Trade Log
| Date | Action | Price | Simulated P&L |
| 2026-09-14 | BUY | USD 64.52 | |
| 2026-09-15 | SELL | USD 61.17 | -5.2% |
| 2026-09-18 | BUY | USD 63.26 | |
| 2026-09-19 | SELL | USD 65.64 | +3.8% |
| 2026-09-20 | BUY | USD 64.18 | |
| 2026-09-21 | SELL | USD 66.97 | +4.4% |
| 2026-09-22 | BUY | USD 73.74 | |
| 2026-09-23 | SELL | USD 70.63 | -4.2% |
| 2026-10-01 | BUY | USD 244.53 | |
| 2026-11-05 | SELL | USD 188.21 | -23.0% |
| 2026-11-06 | BUY | USD 193.87 | |
| 2026-11-07 | SELL | USD 195.66 | +0.9% |
Trend-following methodology: 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter + ADX regime gate · Backtests are hypothetical and exclude fees.
QNT at 153, down 57% from the 357 high, and the model still counts 3 bullish factors incl a golden cross and price above the 200d. bottoming is always this painful to sit through
im not trusting a Stage 1 call with RSI at 33.3 and OBV still distributing. need that vol ratio back above 1 before anyone calls this a base
^ the golden cross on a 57% drawdown means so little imo. watch 148, loses that and the 200d talk is moot