Deep Dive Analysis
Shiba Inu (SHIB)
2026-08-14 11:03 UTC · Elena Kowalski · 12,000 Portfolio
PRICE
0.00
0.00
52W HIGH
0.00
0.00
DRAWDOWN
-0%
-0%
STAGE
Stage 3 (Topping)
Stage 3 (Topping)
🟡 WAIT — No Clear Edge
Trend-Following System · LOW Conviction · 0 Bull / 3 Bear Factors
Bearish factors: 50d falling, far below high, strong bear trend (ADX 55.0)
SHIB Price — 1 Year
1Y Ago: 0.00
Low: 0.00
Now: 0.00
Low: 0.00
Now: 0.00
Technical Snapshot
| RSI (14) | 46.1 | ADX (14) | 55.0 |
| 50d MA | 0.00 | 200d MA | 0.00 |
| Price vs 50d | ▼ Below | Price vs 200d | ▼ Below |
| Support | 0.00 | Resistance | 0.00 |
| ATR Volatility | 7.07%/day | Trend | HOLD |
Crypto Performance Comparison
| Asset | 1 Month | 3 Months | 6 Months | 1 Year |
| SHIB | +12.0% | -10.4% | -25.3% | -44.0% |
| BTC | -2.2% | -1.4% | -9.2% | -29.8% |
| ETH | +0.5% | +12.2% | -11.4% | -38.5% |
| SOL | +2.3% | +13.2% | -7.7% | -42.9% |
Trend-Following Backtest
2-year simulation of 12,000 using 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter. Buy when price > 50d MA (rising) + RSI 40-75. Sell on death cross or RSI > 82.
FINAL VALUE
8,771
RETURN
-26.9%
MAX DRAWDOWN
-26.9%
Strategy vs Buy & Hold
| Asset | Strategy | Buy & Hold | Max DD | Trades | Win Rate |
| SHIB | -26.9% | -70.1% | -26.9% | 34 | 9% |
DCA vs Lump Sum (SHIB)
If you had deployed 12,000 using different timing strategies over the past year.
| Strategy | Return | Value Today |
| Lump Sum (1y ago) | -44.0% | 4,135 |
| DCA — 4 buys | -41.6% | 7,007 |
| DCA — 6 buys | -38.3% | 7,402 |
| DCA — 12 buys | -35.9% | 7,692 |
SHIB Deployment Plan — 12,000 Portfolio
Analysis by Elena Kowalski (Aggressive / Contrarian / Deep-Value). If you’re managing a 12,000 crypto allocation, here’s the plan:
| Position size | 3,000 (25% of portfolio) |
| Stop loss | 0.00 (nan%) |
| Target 1 | 0.00 (nan%) |
| Target 2 | 0.00 (nan%) |
| Entry quality | Unknown (R:R None) |
| Max concurrent positions | 4 |
Cash reserve: keep 25% buffer. Deploy in 2 tranches. Portfolio style: Aggressive / Contrarian / Deep-Value.
Backtest Trade Log
| Date | Action | Price | P&L |
| 2026-01-09 | BUY | 0.00 | |
| 2026-01-10 | SELL | 0.00 | +0.0% |
| 2026-01-13 | BUY | 0.00 | |
| 2026-01-14 | SELL | 0.00 | +0.0% |
| 2026-04-22 | BUY | 0.00 | |
| 2026-04-23 | SELL | 0.00 | +0.0% |
| 2026-04-25 | BUY | 0.00 | |
| 2026-04-26 | SELL | 0.00 | +0.0% |
| 2026-04-27 | BUY | 0.00 | |
| 2026-04-28 | SELL | 0.00 | +0.0% |
| 2026-08-14 | BUY | 0.00 | |
| END | SELL | 0.00 | +0.0% |
Generated by BitcoinsNews.com Coin Analysis Engine · 2026-08-14 11:03 UTC
Trend-following methodology: 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter + ADX regime gate
Data via Yahoo Finance / CoinGecko · Not financial advice. For educational purposes only.
Trend-following methodology: 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter + ADX regime gate
Data via Yahoo Finance / CoinGecko · Not financial advice. For educational purposes only.
34 backtest trades, 9% win rate, -26.9%… and that still beat buy and hold at -70.1%. shib destroyed wealth in every timeline the sim could run
beating -70.1% is a wild bar to clear. the +12% last month bagholders keep quoting is still down 44% on the year
7,402 vs 4,135 means dca lost slower, two cars off the same cliff at different speeds. the only deployment plan for a 9 percent win rate asset is the exit
Dinesh R. two cars off the same cliff at different speeds is the whole DCA debate for dead assets. and the dashboard fix patched the wrong zeros entirely
price field literally says 0.00 and honestly the chart is just being honest after -44% on the year. shib finally deleted a zero, just the wrong one for holders
^ 0 bull vs 3 bear factors is brutal. ADX 55 says strong downtrend while the headline says HOLD, someone’s copium machine is overheating
ADX 55, zero bull factors, verdict HOLD with 12k ready to deploy. the rating and the chart are having an argument and the chart is winning
the whole report shows 0.00 for price, support, resistance and nan% for targets. someone generated a deployment plan without handling decimals below 1 cent lmao
the 0.00 display bug is poetry. shib spends years deleting zeros in the wrong direction and then the analytics dashboard joins in. wrong displayPrecision, nobody QA checked a sub cent token
displayPrecision 18 fixes the dashboard, not the -44% year. the zeros are cosmetic, the bleed is structural
fixing precision 18 on a dashboard for an asset nobody should precision-trade is peak crypto tooling. we built a better ruler for a sinking ship
DCA with 12 buys got 7,402 vs 4,135 for lump sum on the 12k. Both lose money. Sometimes the best deployment plan is a different asset entirely.
both lose money is the entire takeaway. 7,402 vs 4,135 just proves DCA bleeds slower on a -70% asset. there is no schedule that fixes the asset itself
9% win rate on 34 backtests and the verdict is still HOLD. the model is basically screaming please dont make me do this and the summary ignores it
9% win rate across 34 backtest trades is the most honest anti-marketing for systematic shib trading i’ve ever seen. even the bot’s own sim said no
honest anti-marketing is right. both lose money should be the actual headline instead of a 12,000 deployment plan for a -70% coin
3 for 34 is a coin flip that lost, respect for publishing it anyway. the HOLD label sitting next to that record is the real comedy
ADX 55 with three bear factors and zero bull. i’ve seen verdicts massaged before but calling this HOLD is chart denial
chartrat_shib_ 9 percent win rate and three bear factors. the model literally told you the answer and the headline still says HOLD. marketing over math.
the model said the answer and the headline argued back. 9 percent win rate sitting next to HOLD is editorial spin over the math
Backtested 34 trades, won 3, published it anyway. I respect the honesty more than the strategy. Most analysis sites would quietly rerun the sim until HOLD looked like a buy
publishing a 9 percent win rate takes more guts than most of ct. shame the verdict column never read the backtest column
A 12k deployment plan for a token the dashboard cant even render. Put 100 in a shoebox and check back in 2030, same expected value with fewer steps
shoebox in 2030 actually beats precision 18 on a -44 year. at least the shoebox has no maintenance commits lol
34 trades, 3 wins, published anyway. honest backtest, wrong verdict. the DCA 7,402 vs 4,135 gap is just slower bleeding with more paperwork