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AI Agents Will Exhaust Blockchain Capacity: Avalanche Treasury CEO Warns Block Space Is No Longer Infinite

The chief executive of Avalanche Treasury Co. has issued one of the more provocative infrastructure warnings of the year: artificial intelligence agents could exhaust Layer 1 block space, ending the era when blockchain capacity could be treated as effectively unlimited.

Speaking at the New York Avalanche Summit in comments reported by The Block, CEO Bart Smith argued that if AI agent adoption reaches even the lower end of current market estimates, autonomous software will generate a sustained stream of onchain financial transactions — trading, settlement, payments and position management — that competes directly with human activity for network capacity.

Block space is no longer infinite

AI agents can act on instructions, interact with software and complete tasks with limited human involvement. Applied to finance, such systems could place trades, move funds, settle payments or manage positions around the clock, with every onchain action consuming network capacity.

“As long as AI agent activities reach the lower end of market expectations, relevant activities will occur on the blockchain,” Smith said. “There is not enough block space, and block space is no longer infinite.”

The core of Smith’s argument is that software agents do not behave like additional human users. They can operate continuously, make repeated transactions and ignore the working hours, sleep schedules and manual approval processes that naturally cap human-generated activity. Existing networks currently handle enough activity that most users never need to think about how one Layer 1 processes transactions differently from another. That convenience, Smith suggested, is a artifact of abundance rather than a permanent feature of the technology.

Notably, Smith did not offer a transaction estimate or a specific date when demand could exceed available capacity. His thesis is conditional on AI agents achieving enough real-world adoption in financial markets to produce recurring onchain activity rather than isolated pilots.

Technical differences among L1s become decisive

As transaction demand rises, Smith expects users and financial institutions to start paying close attention to the technical differences among Avalanche, Solana and Ethereum — differences covering transaction speed, fees, finality, privacy options and the ability to build purpose-specific environments.

“Theoretically, there are many subtle differences between these L1s,” Smith said, noting that users can overlook most of them while capacity remains plentiful. Under heavier demand, “these differences will become important.”

Smith pointed to privacy and security as areas where he believes Avalanche is particularly suited to business applications, a view aligned with the network’s architecture of separate Layer 1 environments that organizations can configure for specific operational and compliance requirements.

Recent deployments illustrate the institutional trajectory he described. On Sept. 14, Avalanche was selected as the underlying blockchain for the UAEPASS Digital Vault, a document-verification service within the United Arab Emirates’ national identity platform. UAEPASS serves 12.5 million users and connects them with more than 15,000 services from over 350 public and private organizations. Developed with Deca4 and Ava Labs, the vault uses cryptographic records to prove documents have not been altered without placing their sensitive contents onchain, separating verification from the data itself under the oversight of the UAE’s telecom and digital government regulator.

Avalanche has also attracted tokenization business from major financial firms. In September, Hanwha Investment & Securities completed a tokenized securities platform built on Avalanche ahead of South Korea’s planned regulated security-token market, which is scheduled to take effect in February 2027. In July, the network’s tokenized real-world asset value reached 2.1 billion USD after climbing more than 60 percent in 30 days, according to RWA.xyz data, around the same time Bridgetower placed over 11 billion USD in production-linked assets — including the Arizona Copper-Gold project — on Avalanche using Chainlink infrastructure. BlackRock’s BUIDL tokenized Treasury fund had surpassed 900 million USD on the network, with Franklin Templeton and VanEck also active.

24/5 markets by mid-2027

Smith’s second prediction concerns market structure: he expects traditional financial markets to move to continuous weekday trading — 24 hours a day, five days a week — by mid-2027. Existing market infrastructure, much of which depends on fixed operating hours and batch processes not designed for nonstop trading and settlement, would struggle to support such a schedule.

“New infrastructure must be created,” Smith said, and it will not be built on the old model “but rather built on the blockchain.” Around-the-clock sessions would force clearing, settlement, collateral management and risk systems to operate continuously, while AI agents would layer automated decision-making on top across every time zone.

AVAT: ecosystem exposure without holding AVAX

Smith leads Avalanche Treasury Co., which began trading on Nasdaq under the AVAT ticker in June following a merger with the special-purpose acquisition company Mountain Lake Acquisition Corp. in a transaction valued at roughly 675 million USD. At debut the company held approximately 15 million AVAX, equal to about 3.5 percent of the token’s circulating supply at the time.

The listing has been volatile. AVAT closed its first session 38.13 percent lower at 1.85 USD after opening at 2.99 USD, on volume of roughly 497,580 shares, leaving the company valued near 486 million USD. Smith has described the vehicle as an ecosystem investment platform rather than a passive token holder — “It is not a bet on price” — though the company’s financial position remains exposed to AVAX price movements through its token holdings. The board and advisory group includes Ava Labs founder Emin Gün Sirer and Aave founder Stani Kulechov, with backers such as Dragonfly and ParaFi Capital.

For DeFi participants, the message is that the era of treating all Layer 1s as interchangeable capacity providers may be drawing to a close. If autonomous agents begin to crowd block space, throughput, fee markets and finality guarantees could shift from technical footnotes to primary competitive differentiators — and networks that spent the abundant-capacity years optimizing for exactly that scenario stand to benefit first.

Market snapshot at press time: BTC trades near 76,408 USD, ETH near 2,447 USD and SOL near 102 USD, per CoinGecko data.

17 thoughts on “AI Agents Will Exhaust Blockchain Capacity: Avalanche Treasury CEO Warns Block Space Is No Longer Infinite”

  1. bart smith warning about block space scarcity at an avalanche summit of all places. didnt avalanche build subnets precisely because one chain cant absorb everything

    1. subnets just fragment the load, they dont delete it. every subnet still has its own ceiling and now you have N fee markets to monitor instead of one

    2. ^ exactly. and he gave zero transaction estimates, just vibes about AI agents. could end up right but show me a number first

  2. he said agents doing trading, settlement, payments AND position management. thats 4 tx streams per agent, multiply by even 100k agents and the math stops being vibes

    1. 100k agents is conservative honestly. one defai launcher shipping to 50k wallets and youre already there before counting anything else

  3. smith is right though. agents trading 24/7 dont sleep and each settlement eats gas. wait til every other wallet runs an autopilot

    1. @Tomasz thats exactly his point, its a forward looking warning. by the time fees spike its already too late to redesign throughput

  4. Interesting warning but Avalanche fees have been near zero for ages. If capacity was actually scarce you would see it in base fees first.

  5. The 24/7 point is underrated though. agents dont sleep, dont batch, dont care about gas hours. even modest adoption means a constant baseline load nobody has priced in

    1. Right, and gas-hour smoothing dies the second agents run around the clock. peak load becomes average load, that alone breaks most throughput assumptions

      1. This is the part everyone skips. Fee models assume humans sleep 8 hours. Remove that off-peak window and suddenly every chain is sized for permanent peak.

    1. cryptokitties clogged ethereum for two weeks and people still bring it up a decade later. agents running rebalancing loops would do that on a tuesday before lunch

  6. smith saying this at the NY summit while his own pitch is presumably more avalanche capacity, fine, but he is not wrong. blockspace was never infinite, cheap gas just made it feel that way

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