Deep Dive Analysis
Stable (STABLE)
2026-10-04 17:00 UTC · Tomas Novak · 15,000 Portfolio
PRICE
0.03
0.03
52W HIGH
0.04
0.04
DRAWDOWN
-34.7%
-34.7%
STAGE
Stage 4 (Downtrend)
Stage 4 (Downtrend)
🔴 AVOID — DO NOT DEPLOY
Trend-Following System · MEDIUM Conviction · 1 Bull / 7 Bear Factors
Bullish factors: MACD+
Bearish factors: price < 50d, price < 200d, death cross, 50d falling, falling 1m & 3m, far below high, distribution (OBV down, vol ratio 0.45)
STABLE Price — 1 Year
1Y Ago: 0.02
Low: 0.01
Now: 0.03
Low: 0.01
Now: 0.03
Technical Snapshot
| RSI (14) | 46.4 | ADX (14) | 12.7 |
| 50d MA | 0.03 | 200d MA | 0.03 |
| Price vs 50d | ▼ Below | Price vs 200d | ▼ Below |
| Support | 0.02 | Resistance | 0.03 |
| ATR Volatility | 2.79%/day | Trend | SELL |
Crypto Performance Comparison
| Asset | 1 Month | 3 Months | 6 Months | 1 Year |
| STABLE | -3.9% | -17.8% | -27.8% | +30.2% |
| BTC | +11.0% | +34.3% | +12.5% | -3.4% |
| ETH | +8.9% | +43.3% | +30.3% | -7.8% |
| SOL | +22.8% | +65.9% | +45.8% | -1.8% |
Trend-Following Backtest
2-year simulation of 15,000 using 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter. Buy when price > 50d MA (rising) + RSI 40-75. Sell on death cross or RSI > 82.
FINAL VALUE
13,151
RETURN
-12.3%
MAX DRAWDOWN
-13.4%
Strategy vs Buy & Hold
| Asset | Strategy | Buy & Hold | Max DD | Trades | Win Rate |
| STABLE | -12.3% | -26.9% | -13.4% | 2 | 0% |
DCA vs Lump Sum (STABLE)
If you had deployed 15,000 using different timing strategies over the past year.
| Strategy | Return | Value Today |
| Lump Sum (1y ago) | +30.2% | 10,964 |
| DCA — 4 buys | -18.7% | 12,193 |
| DCA — 6 buys | -15.6% | 12,666 |
| DCA — 12 buys | -15.4% | 12,694 |
STABLE Deployment Plan — 15,000 Portfolio
Analysis by Tomas Novak (Momentum / Swing Trader). If you’re managing a 15,000 crypto allocation, here’s the plan:
| Position size | 3,750 (25% of portfolio) |
| Stop loss | 0.03 (-5.6%) |
| Target 1 | 0.00 (-100.0%) |
| Target 2 | 0.00 (-100.0%) |
| Entry quality | Pullback |
| Max concurrent positions | 4 |
Cash reserve: keep 25% buffer. Deploy in 2 tranches. Portfolio style: Momentum / Swing Trader.
Backtest Trade Log
| Date | Action | Price | P&L |
| 2026-06-30 | BUY | 0.04 | |
| 2026-07-02 | SELL | 0.03 | -9.2% |
| 2026-07-13 | BUY | 0.04 | |
| 2026-07-30 | SELL | 0.04 | -3.5% |
Generated by BitcoinsNews.com Coin Analysis Engine · 2026-10-04 17:00 UTC
Trend-following methodology: 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter + ADX regime gate
Data via Yahoo Finance / CoinGecko · Not financial advice. For educational purposes only.
Trend-following methodology: 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter + ADX regime gate
Data via Yahoo Finance / CoinGecko · Not financial advice. For educational purposes only.
a token literally named Stable, Stage 4 downtrend, targets of 0.00. even the engine is begging you not to touch it
two trades since june, both losses, 0% win rate. the rare analysis where the table IS the punchline
two losing trades and a SELL into a 0.02 to 0.03 range. whoever runs this portfolio should just park the 3,750 in actual stables and call it done
the targets literally say 0.00 with -100% return. whoever generated this deployment plan just told you to set 3,750 on fire and called it analysis
Right. ADX at 12.7 means no trend at all, just chop between 0.02 and 0.03. Even momentum traders get chewed up in a range that flat.
0.00 targets on a token named Stable feels like the engine rage quitting. even the -12.3% backtest is kinder than that deployment plan
0% win rate on 2 trades and a -12.3% backtest. the single bull factor is MACD+ on a token called Stable. poetry.
MACD+ on a token called Stable, single bull factor, two losing trades. the 0.00 target line is still the funniest thing this engine has printed