Deep Dive Analysis
Gram (prev. Toncoin) (GRAM)
2026-10-08 10:30 UTC · Aisha Okonkwo · 10,000 Portfolio
PRICE
1.43
1.43
52W HIGH
1.84
1.84
DRAWDOWN
-22.1%
-22.1%
STAGE
Stage 2 (Uptrend)
Stage 2 (Uptrend)
🟢 DEPLOY — Trend-Following Signal: BUY
Trend-Following System · HIGH Conviction · 7 Bull / 1 Bear Factors
Bullish factors: price > 50d, price > 200d, golden cross, 50d rising, rising 1m & 3m, strong bull trend (ADX 26.4), accumulation (OBV up, vol ratio 1.38)
Bearish factors: MACD-
GRAM Price — 1 Year
1Y Ago: 0.00
Low: 0.00
Now: 1.43
Low: 0.00
Now: 1.43
Technical Snapshot
| RSI (14) | 46.2 | ADX (14) | 26.4 |
| 50d MA | 1.43 | 200d MA | 0.88 |
| Price vs 50d | ▲ Above | Price vs 200d | ▲ Above |
| Support | 1.29 | Resistance | 1.71 |
| ATR Volatility | 4.94%/day | Trend | BUY |
Crypto Performance Comparison
| Asset | 1 Month | 3 Months | 6 Months | 1 Year |
| GRAM | +6.8% | +4.6% | +46477.0% | +53027.1% |
| BTC | +8.5% | +29.0% | +12.4% | -1.4% |
| ETH | +4.7% | +34.8% | +26.9% | -5.2% |
| SOL | +13.1% | +58.4% | +39.2% | -2.1% |
Trend-Following Backtest
2-year simulation of 10,000 using 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter. Buy when price > 50d MA (rising) + RSI 40-75. Sell on death cross or RSI > 82.
FINAL VALUE
2,783
RETURN
-72.2%
MAX DRAWDOWN
-76.6%
Strategy vs Buy & Hold
| Asset | Strategy | Buy & Hold | Max DD | Trades | Win Rate |
| GRAM | -72.2% | +33998.0% | -76.6% | 35 | 23% |
DCA vs Lump Sum (GRAM)
If you had deployed 10,000 using different timing strategies over the past year.
| Strategy | Return | Value Today |
| Lump Sum (1y ago) | +53027.1% | 4,706,694 |
| DCA — 4 buys | +41595.6% | 4,169,564 |
| DCA — 6 buys | +50508.8% | 5,060,878 |
| DCA — 12 buys | +46559.7% | 4,665,970 |
GRAM Deployment Plan — 10,000 Portfolio
Analysis by Aisha Okonkwo (Yield / Staking Focused). If you’re managing a 10,000 crypto allocation, here’s the plan:
| Position size | 2,500 (25% of portfolio) |
| Stop loss | 1.29 (-9.9%) |
| Target 1 | 2.00 (39.7%) |
| Target 2 | 2.00 (39.7%) |
| Entry quality | Pullback |
| Max concurrent positions | 4 |
Cash reserve: keep 25% buffer. Deploy in 2 tranches. Portfolio style: Yield / Staking Focused.
Backtest Trade Log
| Date | Action | Price | P&L |
| 2026-01-20 | BUY | 0.00 | |
| 2026-01-21 | SELL | 0.00 | -1.2% |
| 2026-04-16 | BUY | 0.00 | |
| 2026-04-17 | SELL | 0.00 | -18.7% |
| 2026-04-25 | BUY | 0.00 | |
| 2026-04-26 | SELL | 0.00 | -27.4% |
| 2026-04-30 | BUY | 0.00 | |
| 2026-05-01 | SELL | 0.00 | -7.1% |
| 2026-06-30 | BUY | 1.50 | |
| 2026-07-27 | SELL | 1.46 | -3.0% |
| 2026-09-21 | BUY | 1.45 | |
| END | SELL | 1.43 | -1.1% |
Generated by BitcoinsNews.com Coin Analysis Engine · 2026-10-08 10:30 UTC
Trend-following methodology: 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter + ADX regime gate
Data via Yahoo Finance / CoinGecko · Not financial advice. For educational purposes only.
Trend-following methodology: 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter + ADX regime gate
Data via Yahoo Finance / CoinGecko · Not financial advice. For educational purposes only.
GRAM sitting well below that 0.19 52w high, the risk/reward on a 10k deployment actually makes sense here. aped a small bag
risk/reward sure but the orderbook on GRAM is thin, slippage will eat you alive if you deploy the full 10k at once. ladder it
spreads on GRAM got worse after the rename too. split the 10k across the 6 entries and still ate ~0.8% total in slippage, kvistur is right that market buying this is just donating
laddering is the move. the DCA table shows 6 buys at -4.1% vs lump sum at double the loss, entries are basically the only edge on this one
DCA math is underrated here. lump sum into a -22% drawdown vs averaging -4.1% on the entries is a free option on a Stage 2 trend. only caveat is ADX 26 is decent, not a freight train
laddered my first two entries off the plan and fills were fine, like 0.4% slippage on 1k clips. kvistur_ is right tho, anything bigger moves it. at least the table caps each buy so you dont learn that the expensive way
held TON through the whole rename and still down. gonna need more than a BUY rating and fancy entry zones before i add more
same boat, bag from before the rebrand. at least this analysis splits entries instead of telling people to market buy, small mercy
told myself the rebrand changed nothing and here we are 22% off the 1.84 high with a fresh buy signal lol. at least the entries are split this time