Deep Dive Analysis
United Stables (U)
2026-10-18 09:30 UTC · Tomas Novak · 15,000 Portfolio
PRICE
1.00
1.00
52W HIGH
1.00
1.00
DRAWDOWN
-0.1%
-0.1%
STAGE
Stage 3 (Topping)
Stage 3 (Topping)
🟡 WAIT — No Clear Edge
Trend-Following System · LOW Conviction · 4 Bull / 3 Bear Factors
Bullish factors: price > 50d, RSI healthy (56.7), near 52w high, accumulation (OBV up, vol ratio 1.24)
Bearish factors: price < 200d, death cross, 50d falling
U Price — 1 Year
1Y Ago: 1.00
Low: 1.00
Now: 1.00
Low: 1.00
Now: 1.00
Technical Snapshot
| RSI (14) | 56.7 | ADX (14) | 9.4 |
| 50d MA | 1.00 | 200d MA | 1.00 |
| Price vs 50d | ▲ Above | Price vs 200d | ▼ Below |
| Support | 1.00 | Resistance | 1.00 |
| ATR Volatility | 0.02%/day | Trend | HOLD |
Crypto Performance Comparison
| Asset | 1 Month | 3 Months | 6 Months | 1 Year |
| U | -0.0% | +0.0% | -0.0% | -0.0% |
| BTC | -3.4% | +29.9% | +32.3% | +16.3% |
| ETH | -10.4% | +28.4% | +46.9% | +14.4% |
| SOL | -15.6% | +38.2% | +58.6% | +18.9% |
Trend-Following Backtest
2-year simulation of 15,000 using 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter. Buy when price > 50d MA (rising) + RSI 40-75. Sell on death cross or RSI > 82.
FINAL VALUE
14,990
RETURN
-0.1%
MAX DRAWDOWN
-0.1%
Strategy vs Buy & Hold
| Asset | Strategy | Buy & Hold | Max DD | Trades | Win Rate |
| U | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.1% | 10 | 0% |
DCA vs Lump Sum (U)
If you had deployed 15,000 using different timing strategies over the past year.
| Strategy | Return | Value Today |
| Lump Sum (1y ago) | -0.0% | 14,990 |
| DCA — 4 buys | -0.0% | 14,998 |
| DCA — 6 buys | -0.0% | 15,000 |
| DCA — 12 buys | +0.0% | 15,000 |
U Deployment Plan — 15,000 Portfolio
Analysis by Tomas Novak (Momentum / Swing Trader). If you’re managing a 15,000 crypto allocation, here’s the plan:
| Position size | 3,750 (25% of portfolio) |
| Stop loss | 1.00 (-0.0%) |
| Target 1 | 1.00 (0.0%) |
| Target 2 | 1.00 (0.0%) |
| Entry quality | Breakout (R:R 1.24) |
| Max concurrent positions | 4 |
Cash reserve: keep 25% buffer. Deploy in 2 tranches. Portfolio style: Momentum / Swing Trader.
Backtest Trade Log
| Date | Action | Price | P&L |
| 2026-07-27 | BUY | 1.00 | |
| 2026-07-28 | SELL | 1.00 | -0.0% |
| 2026-07-29 | BUY | 1.00 | |
| 2026-07-30 | SELL | 1.00 | -0.0% |
| 2026-09-20 | BUY | 1.00 | |
| 2026-09-21 | SELL | 1.00 | +0.0% |
| 2026-09-27 | BUY | 1.00 | |
| 2026-09-28 | SELL | 1.00 | +0.0% |
| 2026-09-29 | BUY | 1.00 | |
| 2026-09-30 | SELL | 1.00 | -0.0% |
| 2026-10-18 | BUY | 1.00 | |
| 2026-10-18 | SELL | 1.00 | +0.0% |
Generated by BitcoinsNews.com Coin Analysis Engine · 2026-10-18 09:30 UTC
Trend-following methodology: 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter + ADX regime gate
Data via Yahoo Finance / CoinGecko · Not financial advice. For educational purposes only.
Trend-following methodology: 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter + ADX regime gate
Data via Yahoo Finance / CoinGecko · Not financial advice. For educational purposes only.
death cross and price under the 200d on a token pinned at 1.00 all year, the indicators are just measuring noise off the peg. RSI 56.7 on a stable is decoration
A hold on something pinned at exactly 1.00 with a 0.1% drawdown is basically the system admitting it has no read. Stage 3 topping on a stable ticker is a odd label tho, tops in stables usually mean depeg stress, not momentum fading
@satsvakt exactly, 52w high at 1.00 with a -0.1% drawdown means the volatility here is rounding error. stage labels need actual range to work with
@satsvakt trend following systems always look goofy on stables, the signals are calibrated for volatility. thats why conviction is low, it literally cannot read a flatline at 1.00
4 bull factors vs 3 bear and the verdict is still wait? at some point you gotta accept the model is coin flipping on this one. keeping the 15k in dry powder beats forcing a entry into a 1.00 peg with zero edge tho
@Milo K. its 4 vs 3 because OBV is climbing and vol ratio hit 1.24, the model sees accumulation it just cant act on a flatline. dry powder take is right tho
@Milo K. thats the whole point of a low conviction hold tho, the 15k stays deployable the moment an actual signal prints. patience is a position