Deep Dive Analysis
Worldcoin (WLD)
2026-10-03 10:30 UTC · Tomas Novak · 15,000 Portfolio
PRICE
0.60
0.60
52W HIGH
4.17
4.17
DRAWDOWN
-85.6%
-85.6%
STAGE
Stage 2 (Uptrend)
Stage 2 (Uptrend)
🟢 DEPLOY — Trend-Following Signal: BUY
Trend-Following System · HIGH Conviction · 10 Bull / 1 Bear Factors
Bullish factors: price > 50d, price > 200d, golden cross, 50d rising, MACD+, RSI healthy (67.3), rising 1m & 3m, strong bull trend (ADX 33.9), vol 1.64x on up day, accumulation (OBV up, vol ratio 2.84)
Bearish factors: far below high
WLD Price — 1 Year
1Y Ago: 0.44
Low: 0.23
Now: 0.60
Low: 0.23
Now: 0.60
Technical Snapshot
| RSI (14) | 67.3 | ADX (14) | 33.9 |
| 50d MA | 0.42 | 200d MA | 0.37 |
| Price vs 50d | ▲ Above | Price vs 200d | ▲ Above |
| Support | 0.36 | Resistance | 0.59 |
| ATR Volatility | 8.49%/day | Trend | BUY |
Crypto Performance Comparison
| Asset | 1 Month | 3 Months | 6 Months | 1 Year |
| WLD | +49.9% | +99.6% | +81.4% | +35.4% |
| BTC | +9.5% | +34.7% | +9.4% | -2.3% |
| ETH | +6.1% | +45.3% | +26.9% | -4.9% |
| SOL | +17.1% | +65.8% | +40.2% | +0.3% |
Trend-Following Backtest
2-year simulation of 15,000 using 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter. Buy when price > 50d MA (rising) + RSI 40-75. Sell on death cross or RSI > 82.
FINAL VALUE
43,279
RETURN
+188.5%
MAX DRAWDOWN
-40.2%
Strategy vs Buy & Hold
| Asset | Strategy | Buy & Hold | Max DD | Trades | Win Rate |
| WLD | +188.5% | -21.8% | -40.2% | 46 | 54% |
DCA vs Lump Sum (WLD)
If you had deployed 15,000 using different timing strategies over the past year.
| Strategy | Return | Value Today |
| Lump Sum (1y ago) | +35.4% | 7,070 |
| DCA — 4 buys | +30.8% | 19,624 |
| DCA — 6 buys | +42.5% | 21,373 |
| DCA — 12 buys | +48.0% | 22,195 |
WLD Deployment Plan — 15,000 Portfolio
Analysis by Tomas Novak (Momentum / Swing Trader). If you’re managing a 15,000 crypto allocation, here’s the plan:
| Position size | 3,750 (25% of portfolio) |
| Stop loss | 0.44 (-26.6%) |
| Target 1 | 1.00 (66.9%) |
| Target 2 | 1.00 (66.9%) |
| Entry quality | Extended (R:R 0.96) |
| Max concurrent positions | 4 |
Cash reserve: keep 25% buffer. Deploy in 2 tranches. Portfolio style: Momentum / Swing Trader.
Backtest Trade Log
| Date | Action | Price | P&L |
| 2026-07-03 | BUY | 0.43 | |
| 2026-07-04 | SELL | 0.43 | -1.9% |
| 2026-08-20 | BUY | 0.37 | |
| 2026-08-21 | SELL | 0.40 | +7.4% |
| 2026-08-26 | BUY | 0.42 | |
| 2026-08-27 | SELL | 0.41 | -0.8% |
| 2026-09-05 | BUY | 0.40 | |
| 2026-09-06 | SELL | 0.42 | +5.6% |
| 2026-09-07 | BUY | 0.48 | |
| 2026-09-08 | SELL | 0.45 | -5.4% |
| 2026-09-09 | BUY | 0.42 | |
| END | SELL | 0.60 | +44.2% |
Generated by BitcoinsNews.com Coin Analysis Engine · 2026-10-03 10:30 UTC
Trend-following methodology: 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter + ADX regime gate
Data via Yahoo Finance / CoinGecko · Not financial advice. For educational purposes only.
Trend-following methodology: 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter + ADX regime gate
Data via Yahoo Finance / CoinGecko · Not financial advice. For educational purposes only.
WLD at 0.60 already trading above the 0.59 resistance and MACD is positive. thats the part that matters, RSI 67 is warm but ADX 33.9 says trend is real
RSI 67 with ADX that strong usually resolves sideways not down. had nearly the same setup on a runner last quarter, chopped a week then continued
sideways chop into the phased entries is fine for this plan. DCA at a 0.59 base with RSI cooling from 67 is literally what tranches are for
+99.6% in 3 months against BTCs 34.7% and people still call this a dead coin. the volume on the 1.64x up day tells the story
respectfully, 8.49% ATR per day means that 99% run can unwind fast. stop at 0.36 is 40% away, size accordingly
40% stop on 8.49% daily ATR, the math says the stop gets tagged before the thesis plays out. small tranches only
exactly, the stop math on 8.49% daily ATR is brutal. small tranches at 0.60 and 0.55 and rebuy the wick if it comes, phased entries exist for coins like this
40% stop is basically a handshake agreement with the market. took a small tranche at 0.61 anyway, if 0.59 flips im out fast
orbit_lag gets it. a 0.36 stop on a coin that did 99% in a quarter is just a suggestion, wicks will hunt it
the 1.64x volume day comparison is doing a lot of work there Santeri, one giant up candle is how tops start too
0.59 flipping into support is the cleanest part of this setup. if it reclaims quickly once RSI cools under 60 I add to the position, the phased 15k entries make more sense than one lump buy
0.59 reclaim is the trade but phased entries exist for exactly this coin. no reason to lump buy something this volatile
MACD positive with price holding above the old 0.59 line is the whole thesis for me. RSI 67 cooled down from way hotter levels last month, still room to run
still cant get past the orb. ADX 33.9 on a token you get for staring into a chrome ball, what a timeline
the chrome ball pays better than my dividend portfolio tho. 99% quarter while SPY ground out 4
the orb is free money for half the planet tho. most people would stare into a chrome ball for a bag too ngl
free money until you check the emission schedule. WLD unlocks are relentless, 0.60 only holds if demand keeps pace with what hits the market every month
the unlock schedule is the bear case nobody prices. 0.60 with monthly supply hitting the book means every pump has a built in seller
this. the tranche ladder from 0.60 down only works if each level survives the monthly unlock hit. size every entry like sellers are already queued
WLD at 0.60 against a 4.17 high and the comments are still fighting about the orb. The phased 15k plan spread down is the only sane way to touch something that ran 99% in a quarter.
15k spread across tranches on a coin 86 percent off its 4.17 high, disciplined or masochistic? 8.49 percent daily ATR answers that, one lump entry here is just gambling with extra steps
lump buying on 8.49 percent daily ATR is how a 15k plan becomes a 9k plan real fast. tranches or nothing on this one
masochistic with extra steps, but at least the tranches admit it. lump buying something with 8.49 percent daily ATR is how you get stopped out on noise
15k deployment plan and half the thread is still arguing about the orb. the 0.59 line and that far away stop at 0.36 are the actual trade, everything else is vibes
half the thread fighting about the orb again while the plan quietly banks on 0.59 holding with ADX 33.9. id take the first tranche only and let the second fill on a wick under 0.55, that 1.64x volume day cuts both ways