This is an automated coin monitor, not investment advice.
BNB (BNB)
USD 702.53
USD 1,370.55
-48.7%
Stage 1 (Bottoming)
Bullish factors: price > 200d, golden cross, accumulation (OBV up, vol ratio 1.41)
Bearish factors: price < 50d, 50d falling, MACD-, RSI weak (40.4), far below high, strong bear trend (ADX 26.6)
Low: USD 509.84
Now: USD 702.53
Technical Snapshot
| RSI (14) | 40.4 | ADX (14) | 26.6 |
| 50d MA | USD 747.27 | 200d MA | USD 656.17 |
| Price vs 50d | ▼ Below | Price vs 200d | ▲ Above |
| Support | USD 681.77 | Resistance | USD 787.63 |
| ATR Volatility | 2.97%/day | Model state | Neutral / no trend |
Crypto Performance Comparison
| Asset | 1 Month | 3 Months | 6 Months | 1 Year |
| BNB | -3.7% | +2.1% | +23.9% | +12.2% |
| BTC | -6.3% | +0.6% | +30.4% | +14.5% |
| ETH | -8.2% | -5.2% | +46.4% | +11.5% |
| SOL | -13.0% | -7.2% | +37.4% | +5.6% |
Trend-Following Backtest
2-year simulation on a notional USD 12,000 starting balance using the model’s 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter. The model goes long when price is above a rising 50d MA with RSI 40-75, and goes flat on a death cross or RSI above 82. Hypothetical, before fees and slippage.
Strategy vs Buy & Hold
| Asset | Strategy | Buy & Hold | Max DD | Trades | Win Rate |
| BNB | +20.2% | +7.1% | -30.1% | 56 | 48% |
DCA vs Lump Sum (BNB)
Hypothetical result of a notional USD 12,000 placed one year ago under different timing schedules. Simulation only, not a recommendation.
| Strategy | Return | Value Today |
| Lump Sum (1y ago) | +12.2% | USD 8,782 |
| DCA — 4 buys | +0.2% | USD 12,023 |
| DCA — 6 buys | -0.3% | USD 11,969 |
| DCA — 12 buys | +1.1% | USD 12,135 |
Levels the system watches
Reference levels used by the trend model to classify BNB. They describe how the model reads the chart, not what anyone should do.
| Support (recent swing low) | USD 681.77 |
| Resistance (recent swing high) | USD 787.63 |
| Trend model’s invalidation level (ATR-based) | USD 660.79 (-5.9% from current price) |
| ATR (14) | USD 20.87 (2.97%/day) |
| Price location vs trend (model label) | Pullback |
The invalidation level is where the model would stop treating the current trend reading as valid (roughly 2x ATR below price or 0.5x ATR below the recent swing low, whichever is lower). It is a model parameter, not a stop-loss recommendation.
Backtest Trade Log
| Date | Action | Price | Simulated P&L |
| 2026-08-28 | BUY | USD 691.12 | |
| 2026-08-29 | SELL | USD 692.60 | +0.2% |
| 2026-08-30 | BUY | USD 684.81 | |
| 2026-08-31 | SELL | USD 691.03 | +0.9% |
| 2026-09-01 | BUY | USD 682.75 | |
| 2026-09-02 | SELL | USD 687.96 | +0.8% |
| 2026-09-03 | BUY | USD 725.00 | |
| 2026-10-08 | SELL | USD 735.13 | +1.4% |
| 2026-10-09 | BUY | USD 742.09 | |
| 2026-10-12 | SELL | USD 732.13 | -1.3% |
| 2026-10-28 | BUY | USD 758.67 | |
| 2026-10-29 | SELL | USD 697.69 | -8.0% |
Trend-following methodology: 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter + ADX regime gate · Backtests are hypothetical and exclude fees.
only coin where the model flags actual accumulation. OBV up with volume ratio 1.41 while everyone stares at the -48%
this. bnb always bottoms quiet. remember the 2023 grind from 200 to 600, nobody called that either
obv divergence works until the market maker running the bnb pairs decides it doesnt. careful treating one indicator as a bell
48% win rate on that backtest and it still beat buy and hold by 13 points. Position sizing matters more than entry calls.
13 points over buy and hold on a 48 percent win rate means the drawdowns were shallower. thats the part retail keeps ignoring
burn mechanism plus quiet accumulation is the same setup as late 2022. bnb doesnt announce bottoms, it just grinds them out