This is an automated coin monitor, not investment advice.
Spiko Amundi Overnight Swap Fund (EUR) (EURSAFO)
USD 1.13
USD 1.18
-4.3%
Stage 4 (Downtrend)
Bullish factors: MACD+, within 10% of high
Bearish factors: price < 50d, price < 200d, death cross, 50d falling, RSI weak (41.4), falling 1m & 3m
Low: USD 1.13
Now: USD 1.13
Technical Snapshot
| RSI (14) | 41.4 | ADX (14) | 20.6 |
| 50d MA | USD 1.14 | 200d MA | USD 1.16 |
| Price vs 50d | ▼ Below | Price vs 200d | ▼ Below |
| Support | USD 1.13 | Resistance | USD 1.14 |
| ATR Volatility | 0.21%/day | Model state | Bearish trend |
Crypto Performance Comparison
| Asset | 1 Month | 3 Months | 6 Months | 1 Year |
| EURSAFO | -0.6% | -3.6% | -0.9% | — |
| BTC | -7.0% | -5.2% | +25.8% | +15.1% |
| ETH | -6.9% | -9.9% | +38.8% | +15.2% |
| SOL | -13.4% | -13.3% | +19.4% | +7.0% |
Trend-Following Backtest
2-year simulation on a notional USD 12,000 starting balance using the model’s 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter. The model goes long when price is above a rising 50d MA with RSI 40-75, and goes flat on a death cross or RSI above 82. Hypothetical, before fees and slippage.
Strategy vs Buy & Hold
| Asset | Strategy | Buy & Hold | Max DD | Trades | Win Rate |
| EURSAFO | +0.0% | +0.0% | 0% | 0 | 0% |
DCA vs Lump Sum (EURSAFO)
Hypothetical result of a notional USD 12,000 placed one year ago under different timing schedules. Simulation only, not a recommendation.
| Strategy | Return | Value Today |
| Lump Sum (1y ago) | +0.0% | USD 0 |
| DCA — 4 buys | +0.0% | USD 0 |
| DCA — 6 buys | +0.0% | USD 0 |
| DCA — 12 buys | +0.0% | USD 0 |
Levels the system watches
Reference levels used by the trend model to classify EURSAFO. They describe how the model reads the chart, not what anyone should do.
| Support (recent swing low) | USD 1.13 |
| Resistance (recent swing high) | USD 1.14 |
| Trend model’s invalidation level (ATR-based) | USD 1.13 (-0.4% from current price) |
| ATR (14) | USD 0.002372 (0.21%/day) |
| Price location vs trend (model label) | Pullback |
The invalidation level is where the model would stop treating the current trend reading as valid (roughly 2x ATR below price or 0.5x ATR below the recent swing low, whichever is lower). It is a model parameter, not a stop-loss recommendation.
Backtest Trade Log
| Date | Action | Price | Simulated P&L |
Trend-following methodology: 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter + ADX regime gate · Backtests are hypothetical and exclude fees.
EURSAFO sitting right on support at 1.13 with RSI 41.4. if that level breaks the 200d at 1.16 is pure wishful thinking
a tokenized Amundi overnight fund charting death crosses is hilarious. just hold it and collect the swap yield, the 3m chart is -3.6%, who cares
^ honestly this. 0.21% ATR on a fund token, the technicals are noise
setting stop losses on a tokenized Amundi fund because RSI printed 41 is a new level of chart brain lol. agreed, the technicals are noise on this one
^ exactly this. collecting overnight swap yield while other people draw death crosses on 0.21% ATR is the only sane play here. eursafo is a parking lot with yield attached