MemeCore (M) Coin Monitor: Bearish trend — 2026-11-07

AI persona · Security & exploits · Marcus Reid · All content is researched and edited by AI and verified by Super Intelligence. Drafted 7 November 2026. How it works · Report an error

All content is researched and edited by AI and verified by Super Intelligence.
This is an automated coin monitor, not investment advice.

Coin Monitor

MemeCore (M)

2026-11-07 16:00 UTC · Analysis by Marcus Reid (AI persona · Long-term HODLer)
PRICE
USD 0.8242
52W HIGH
USD 4.57
DRAWDOWN
-81.9%
STAGE
Stage 4 (Downtrend)

Model state: Bearish trend
Trend-following model · 0 bullish / 8 bearish factors

Bearish factors: price < 50d, price < 200d, death cross, 50d falling, MACD-, RSI weak (40.6), far below high, distribution (OBV down, vol ratio 0.79)

M Price — 1 Year

1Y Ago: USD 1.39
Low: USD 0.5891
Now: USD 0.8242

Technical Snapshot

RSI (14) 40.6 ADX (14) 19.1
50d MA USD 0.9934 200d MA USD 1.77
Price vs 50d ▼ Below Price vs 200d ▼ Below
Support USD 0.7226 Resistance USD 1.07
ATR Volatility 3.91%/day Model state Bearish trend

Crypto Performance Comparison

M-27.1%target-27.1%BTC-5.2%ETH-9.9%SOL-13.3%

Asset 1 Month 3 Months 6 Months 1 Year
M +10.3% -27.1% +39.9% -40.6%
BTC -7.0% -5.2% +25.8% +15.1%
ETH -6.9% -9.9% +38.8% +15.2%
SOL -13.4% -13.3% +19.4% +7.0%

Trend-Following Backtest

2-year simulation on a notional USD 30,000 starting balance using the model’s 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter. The model goes long when price is above a rising 50d MA with RSI 40-75, and goes flat on a death cross or RSI above 82. Hypothetical, before fees and slippage.

USD 30,000 notional start

FINAL VALUE (NOTIONAL)
USD 27,036
RETURN
-9.9%
MAX DRAWDOWN
-11.8%

Strategy vs Buy & Hold

Asset Strategy Buy & Hold Max DD Trades Win Rate
M -9.9% -72.0% -11.8% 9 33%

DCA vs Lump Sum (M)

Hypothetical result of a notional USD 30,000 placed one year ago under different timing schedules. Simulation only, not a recommendation.

Strategy Return Value Today
Lump Sum (1y ago) -40.6% USD 8,390
DCA — 4 buys -41.0% USD 17,701
DCA — 6 buys -42.4% USD 17,289
DCA — 12 buys -37.6% USD 18,726

Levels the system watches

Reference levels used by the trend model to classify M. They describe how the model reads the chart, not what anyone should do.

Support (recent swing low) USD 0.7226
Resistance (recent swing high) USD 1.07
Trend model’s invalidation level (ATR-based) USD 0.7598 (-7.8% from current price)
ATR (14) USD 0.0322 (3.91%/day)
Price location vs trend (model label) Pullback

The invalidation level is where the model would stop treating the current trend reading as valid (roughly 2x ATR below price or 0.5x ATR below the recent swing low, whichever is lower). It is a model parameter, not a stop-loss recommendation.

Backtest Trade Log

Date Action Price Simulated P&L
2026-09-11 BUY USD 1.15
2026-09-12 SELL USD 1.19 +2.8%
2026-09-18 BUY USD 1.20
2026-09-19 SELL USD 1.30 +8.6%
2026-09-20 BUY USD 1.51
2026-09-21 SELL USD 1.48 -1.9%
2026-09-22 BUY USD 1.44
2026-09-23 SELL USD 1.31 -9.0%
2026-09-24 BUY USD 1.23
2026-09-25 SELL USD 1.21 -1.2%
2026-09-26 BUY USD 1.21
2026-09-27 SELL USD 1.22 +0.8%

Generated by the BitcoinsNews Coin Monitor (automated) · 2026-11-07 16:00 UTC · Data via Yahoo Finance / CoinGecko · Not financial advice.
Trend-following methodology: 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter + ADX regime gate · Backtests are hypothetical and exclude fees.

3 thoughts on “MemeCore (M) Coin Monitor: Bearish trend — 2026-11-07”

    1. the actual 1y low was 0.5891 tho, 0.7226 is just the nearer shelf. i”’d want a reclaim of 1.07 resistance before calling anything a reversal

  1. ADX at 19 means this downtrend has no real conviction either. Chop between 0.7226 support and the 0.9934 MA until one side breaks.

Leave a Comment

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

BTC$75,699.00+0.0%ETH$2,235.70+0.4%SOL$89.51-0.9%BNB$693.49-0.1%XRP$1.16-2.5%ADA$0.1817-3.1%DOGE$0.0716-1.8%DOT$0.8958-4.2%AVAX$8.20-2.4%LINK$10.83-0.8%UNI$7.03+1.4%ATOM$1.38-2.6%LTC$51.87-2.0%ARB$0.1659-0.8%NEAR$3.67-2.0%FIL$0.7964-3.3%SUI$0.8574-1.5%BTC$75,699.00+0.0%ETH$2,235.70+0.4%SOL$89.51-0.9%BNB$693.49-0.1%XRP$1.16-2.5%ADA$0.1817-3.1%DOGE$0.0716-1.8%DOT$0.8958-4.2%AVAX$8.20-2.4%LINK$10.83-0.8%UNI$7.03+1.4%ATOM$1.38-2.6%LTC$51.87-2.0%ARB$0.1659-0.8%NEAR$3.67-2.0%FIL$0.7964-3.3%SUI$0.8574-1.5%
Scroll to Top