Ethereum is trading near $3,749 on May 25, 2024, fresh off a spectacular 20% single-day surge driven by the SEC’s unexpected approval of spot Ether ETF filings — and according to Standard Chartered’s head of crypto research, the rally is just getting started. Geoff Kendrick has set an $8,000 year-end price target for Ethereum, representing a potential 116% gain from current levels.
TL;DR
- Standard Chartered analyst Geoff Kendrick targets $8,000 ETH by end of 2024
- SEC approved 19b-4 filings for eight spot Ether ETFs on May 23
- Ethereum surged 20% in a single day on the ETF news, BTC rose 7%
- Bitcoin target of $150,000 underpins the Ethereum forecast
- Crypto startup funding rose for a second straight quarter, with Farcaster raising $150M
The Standard Chartered Bull Case
Geoff Kendrick, head of crypto research and emerging markets foreign exchange at Standard Chartered, laid out his Ethereum price target in an interview with The Block earlier in the week. His $8,000 year-end projection is not based on Ethereum-specific factors alone — it is anchored to a broader Bitcoin thesis that sees BTC reaching $150,000 by December 2024.
Kendrick argued that the approval of spot Ether ETFs would inspire large capital inflows into Ethereum, similar to what the cryptocurrency market experienced after spot Bitcoin ETFs were approved and began trading in January 2024. He noted that he had accurately predicted the money-flow effects of the Bitcoin ETF approval, and underscored the long-term price boosts that should result from substantial institutional investment moving through regulated vehicles.
The analyst also emphasized that Ethereum tends to follow Bitcoin’s price movements closely due to their strong market correlation and shared investor sentiment. His Ethereum target is essentially a derivative of his Bitcoin thesis — if BTC reaches $150,000 as he expects, then ETH at $8,000 represents a proportional move based on historical relationships between the two largest cryptocurrencies.
ETF Approval Timeline and Caveats
On May 23, 2024, the SEC’s Division of Trading and Markets approved rule changes — known as 19b-4 forms — permitting the listing and trading of eight separate Ether ETFs. The approval came as a surprise to many market observers who had expected the SEC to delay or reject the filings, and it sent Ethereum prices soaring.
However, the approval does not mean these ETFs will begin trading immediately. The registration statements for each ETF remain under SEC review through a separate process, and the timeline for final approval and launch remains uncertain. In a notable development, each ETF’s registration statement was amended in the days leading up to the approval to preclude any staking of ether held by the fund — a concession that addresses SEC concerns about staking potentially constituting an investment contract.
This staking limitation is significant for DeFi participants because staking yields are one of Ethereum’s most attractive features since the network’s transition to proof-of-stake. Without the ability to stake, the ETFs will not generate yield for holders, potentially making direct ETH ownership more attractive for yield-seeking investors.
Market Reaction and Institutional Momentum
The market reaction to the combined Standard Chartered forecast and ETF approval was immediate and dramatic. Ethereum surged 23% following Kendrick’s forecast, while Bitcoin rose as much as 7%. The global cryptocurrency market cap stood at approximately $2.50 trillion on May 25, according to Binance data, with Bitcoin trading around $69,266.
The bullish sentiment extended beyond price action. Cathie Wood of Ark Invest also pegged her year-end Bitcoin target at approximately $150,000, with much loftier long-term goals. The convergence of institutional price targets and regulatory approval has created a powerful narrative for continued crypto adoption.
The supply and demand dynamics further support the bullish case. Bitcoin’s April 2024 halving reduced mining rewards, constraining the supply of newly minted coins. Simultaneously, the new ETF vehicles — first for Bitcoin and soon for Ethereum — are opening the floodgates to direct investment by retail retirement accounts and institutional money managers who previously could not or would not access crypto through unapproved exchanges.
Crypto Startup Funding Shows Renewed Confidence
The institutional enthusiasm is not limited to ETF flows. Crypto startup funding rose for the second straight quarter, with major deals including Web3 social media platform Farcaster raising $150 million in a Series A round led by Paradigm. The funding resurgence signals that venture capital is returning to the crypto space after an extended bear market, adding another layer of fundamental support to the market recovery.
Why This Matters
For DeFi participants and long-term Ethereum holders, the combination of a major bank setting an $8,000 price target, the SEC approving the regulatory framework for spot Ether ETFs, and renewed venture capital interest represents a convergence of bullish catalysts unlike anything seen since the 2021 bull market. The ETF approval in particular is transformative — it opens the door for trillions of dollars in traditional finance capital to gain exposure to Ethereum through familiar, regulated investment vehicles. While the actual launch of these funds may still be weeks or months away, the market is already pricing in the impact of institutional capital flows that could fundamentally reshape the Ethereum ecosystem and drive significant growth across the broader DeFi landscape.
Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments carry significant risk. Always do your own research before making investment decisions.
kendrick basing $8k ETH on a $150k BTC call. if bitcoin does its thing ETH follows proportionally
skysignal if BTC hits 150K and ETH only hits 8K, the ratio actually weakens. for ETH to really outperform it needs its own demand drivers beyond just following BTC
Kendrick targeting 8K ETH anchored to 150K BTC. ETH peaked at 4K. both targets were exactly 2x too aggressive. Standard Chartered crypto research is consistently directionally right and magnitude wrong
Jurgen K. Kendrick also called 150K BTC for end of 2024. it hit 100K in December. close enough for a price target but his ETH calls were consistently the worst in sell side research
calling $8k when its trading at $3,749 takes conviction. but he called the BTC ETF flows correctly
Kendrick called the BTC ETF flows correctly. his track record gives the $8K ETH call some credibility. not just hopium
1.3B in ETH options expiring with a 0.58 put/call ratio. the options market was pricing bullish and spot did nothing for months. derivatives sentiment is a contraindicator more often than not
20 percent pump on etf approval then nothing. getting to 8k requires sustained etf inflows not just a one day relief rally. kendrick confused announcement with adoption
20% relief rally on ETF approval then months of bleeding. Kendrick confused the announcement with adoption. classic Standard Chartered
etf_premium_ ETH ETF inflows were net negative for 6 straight weeks after launch. the approval was priced in and Kendrick confused the announcement with sustained demand
kendrick_maximalist ETH BTC ratio actually went DOWN post ETF launch. Kendrick assumed ETH would decouple and outperform. dead wrong
perp_curve_ the ratio drop was because BTC ETFs had months of inflows while ETH ETFs had net outflows. structurally different demand
geoff kendrick called 8K ETH by end of 2024. ETH peaked around 4K that year. standard chartered crypto research has a rough track record on price targets
kendrick_tracker his btc calls were directionally right but magnitude was always off. 150k btc and 8k eth were both 2x too aggressive. track record matters
his BTC calls were directionally right but always 2x too aggressive. 8K ETH needed 150K BTC and neither happened in 2024. track record matters
Ines K. Kendrick was 2x too aggressive on every call. his 150K BTC target became 100K and his 8K ETH became 4K. same pattern every time
kendrick the 150K BTC call underpinning the ETH thesis was also off. institutional flows from ETFs were real but the magnitude was way overestimated
kendrick_tracker ETH peaked at 4K in 2024. Kendrick was 100% off. even his BTC target of 150K was late, it hit 100K in dec not year-end
$8K ETH needs BTC at $150K. the ratio stays flat basically. ETH just follows BTC with leverage at that point
Raj M. exactly. ETH at 8K with BTC at 150K is a 0.053 ratio. the eth/btc ratio barely improves. its just BTC leverage dressed up as an ETH thesis
Raj M. the ETH/BTC ratio actually dropped after the ETF launch. so ETH didnt even outperform BTC despite having its own spot ETF narrative
20% single day pump on ETF approval was the easy part. getting from $3.7K to $8K requires actual ETH-specific demand not just BTC correlation
props for highlighting ETH premium. most projects miss this key point
not enough people talking about how $8,000 affects the whole ecosystem
not enough people talking about how spot ETF affects the whole ecosystem