Akedo (AKE)
0.02
0.14
-83.8%
Stage 1 (Bottoming)
Bullish factors: price > 200d, golden cross, 50d rising, strong bull trend (ADX 40.1)
Bearish factors: price < 50d, MACD bear cross, RSI weak (42.7), far below high, vol 2.15x on down day, distribution (OBV down, vol ratio 0.84)
Low: 0.00
Now: 0.02
Technical Snapshot
| RSI (14) | 42.7 | ADX (14) | 40.1 |
| 50d MA | 0.03 | 200d MA | 0.01 |
| Price vs 50d | ▼ Below | Price vs 200d | ▲ Above |
| Support | 0.02 | Resistance | 0.04 |
| ATR Volatility | 29.66%/day | Trend | HOLD |
Crypto Performance Comparison
| Asset | 1 Month | 3 Months | 6 Months | 1 Year |
| AKE | -21.4% | +168.5% | +7098.0% | +9032.7% |
| BTC | -6.0% | +2.4% | +27.9% | +21.1% |
| ETH | -13.1% | -4.1% | +37.1% | +19.9% |
| SOL | -16.5% | +4.4% | +44.8% | +23.6% |
Trend-Following Backtest
2-year simulation of 10,000 using 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter. Buy when price > 50d MA (rising) + RSI 40-75. Sell on death cross or RSI > 82.
Strategy vs Buy & Hold
| Asset | Strategy | Buy & Hold | Max DD | Trades | Win Rate |
| AKE | +182.8% | +10646.8% | -70.0% | 14 | 29% |
DCA vs Lump Sum (AKE)
If you had deployed 10,000 using different timing strategies over the past year.
| Strategy | Return | Value Today |
| Lump Sum (1y ago) | +9032.7% | 1,074,684 |
| DCA — 4 buys | +5730.4% | 583,041 |
| DCA — 6 buys | +4679.3% | 477,935 |
| DCA — 12 buys | +4664.4% | 476,439 |
AKE Deployment Plan — 10,000 Portfolio
Analysis by Aisha Okonkwo (Yield / Staking Focused). If you’re managing a 10,000 crypto allocation, here’s the plan:
| Position size | 2,500 (25% of portfolio) |
| Stop loss | 0.01 (-59.3%) |
| Target 1 | 0.00 (-100.0%) |
| Target 2 | 0.00 (-100.0%) |
| Entry quality | Pullback |
| Max concurrent positions | 4 |
Cash reserve: keep 25% buffer. Deploy in 2 tranches. Portfolio style: Yield / Staking Focused.
Backtest Trade Log
| Date | Action | Price | P&L |
| 2026-07-03 | BUY | 0.00 | |
| 2026-07-04 | SELL | 0.00 | -28.1% |
| 2026-08-02 | BUY | 0.00 | |
| 2026-08-14 | SELL | 0.01 | +120.6% |
| 2026-08-17 | BUY | 0.01 | |
| 2026-09-19 | SELL | 0.06 | +629.9% |
| 2026-09-22 | BUY | 0.05 | |
| 2026-10-12 | SELL | 0.02 | -53.3% |
| 2026-10-14 | BUY | 0.03 | |
| 2026-10-21 | SELL | 0.02 | -12.6% |
| 2026-10-22 | BUY | 0.03 | |
| 2026-10-27 | SELL | 0.02 | -26.4% |
Trend-following methodology: 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter + ADX regime gate
Data via Yahoo Finance / CoinGecko · Not financial advice. For educational purposes only.
the log caught +629.9% on the august run then gave back 53% on the oct 12 exit. with a 29.66% ATR that 0.01 stop is decorative
decorative is the right word. a 0.01 stop against a 29.66% daily ATR is theater, not risk management
that is the whole story with these system calls, the +629.9 percent headline hides the round trips. HOLD here basically means do not touch it, which is fair
-83.8% drawdown and ADX still reading 40.1? thats a strong trend alright, just pointing straight down. no edge here, hard pass on catching this knife
ADX 40.1 pointing down while price holds above the 200d is a bottoming chop, not a falling knife. agree on no entry tho, 29% daily ATR is untradeable
bottoming chop with ADX at 40 is generous, looks more like a pause before the next leg down. either way a 0.01 stop is cosplay against a 29 percent daily ATR
system counts 4 bull vs 6 bear factors tho. the golden cross and price above the 200d are the only things keeping this off a straight SELL, and RSI at 42.7 is doing nobody any favors
look at the backtest log. three SELL exits at -53.3%, -12.6% and -26.4%. HOLD is generous, this model is getting chopped to pieces in the 0.02 to 0.03 range lol
three straight losing exits since oct 12 is right, the +182.8% headline hides how much of that got round tripped
the exit log is brutal, HOLD is generous. system keeps getting chopped in the 0.02 to 0.03 box same as everyone else
+629.9% headline sitting on 4 bull vs 6 bear factors and RSI 42.7. the model is shrugging, cash gang eats again
4 bull against 6 bear with RSI at 42.7 in a 0.02 to 0.03 chop zone. the model is telling you it has no idea, cash is the actual signal