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Flare (FLR) Analysis: SELL — 12,000 Deployment Plan

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<!– Header –>
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<div style="font-size:11px;color:#64748b;text-transform:uppercase;letter-spacing:2px;margin-bottom:8px;">Deep Dive Analysis</div>
<h1 style="margin:0 0 4px 0;font-size:32px;color:#fff;">Flare (FLR)</h1>
<div style="font-size:14px;color:#94a3b8;margin-bottom:16px;">2026-08-29 16:00 UTC · Elena Kowalski · 12,000 Portfolio</div>
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<div style="background:#1e293b;border-radius:8px;padding:8px 16px;"><span style="color:#64748b;font-size:11px;">PRICE</span><br><span style="color:#fff;font-size:20px;font-weight:700;font-family:monospace;">0.01</span></div>
<div style="background:#1e293b;border-radius:8px;padding:8px 16px;"><span style="color:#64748b;font-size:11px;">52W HIGH</span><br><span style="color:#94a3b8;font-size:20px;font-weight:600;font-family:monospace;">0.04</span></div>
<div style="background:#1e293b;border-radius:8px;padding:8px 16px;"><span style="color:#64748b;font-size:11px;">DRAWDOWN</span><br><span style="color:#ef4444;font-size:20px;font-weight:600;font-family:monospace;">-83.5%</span></div>
<div style="background:#1e293b;border-radius:8px;padding:8px 16px;"><span style="color:#64748b;font-size:11px;">STAGE</span><br><span style="color:#f59e0b;font-size:14px;font-weight:600;">Stage 3 (Topping)</span></div>
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<!– Decision Banner –>
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<div style="font-size:28px;font-weight:800;color:#ef4444;letter-spacing:1px;">🔴 AVOID — DO NOT DEPLOY</div>
<div style="font-size:12px;color:#94a3b8;margin-top:8px;">Trend-Following System · MEDIUM Conviction · 2 Bull / 4 Bear Factors</div>
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<p style='color:#22c55e;margin:8px 0 4px;'>Bullish factors: 50d rising, strong bull trend (ADX 28.6)</p><p style='color:#ef4444;margin:4px 0 8px;'>Bearish factors: price < 50d, price < 200d, death cross, far below high</p>

<!– Price Chart –>
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<div style="font-size:13px;color:#64748b;text-transform:uppercase;letter-spacing:1px;margin-bottom:12px;">FLR Price — 1 Year</div>
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<div style="display:flex;justify-content:space-between;margin-top:12px;font-size:12px;color:#64748b;font-family:monospace;">
<span>1Y Ago: 0.01</span>
<span>Low: 0.01</span>
<span>Now: 0.01</span>
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<!– Technical Snapshot –>
<div style="background:#1a1a2e;border-radius:12px;padding:20px;margin-bottom:16px;border:1px solid #1e293b;">
<h2 style="margin:0 0 16px 0;font-size:18px;color:#e2e8f0;">Technical Snapshot</h2>
<table style="width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;font-size:14px;">
<tr><td style="padding:8px 0;color:#94a3b8;">RSI (14)</td><td style="padding:8px 0;text-align:right;color:#ef4444;font-weight:600;font-family:monospace;">47.2</td>
<td style="padding:8px 0;color:#94a3b8;padding-left:24px;">ADX (14)</td><td style="padding:8px 0;text-align:right;color:#22c55e;font-weight:600;font-family:monospace;">28.6</td></tr>
<tr style="border-top:1px solid #1e293b;"><td style="padding:8px 0;color:#94a3b8;">50d MA</td><td style="padding:8px 0;text-align:right;color:#ef4444;font-family:monospace;">0.01</td>
<td style="padding:8px 0;color:#94a3b8;padding-left:24px;">200d MA</td><td style="padding:8px 0;text-align:right;color:#ef4444;font-family:monospace;">0.01</td></tr>
<tr style="border-top:1px solid #1e293b;"><td style="padding:8px 0;color:#94a3b8;">Price vs 50d</td><td style="padding:8px 0;text-align:right;color:#ef4444;">▼ Below</td>
<td style="padding:8px 0;color:#94a3b8;padding-left:24px;">Price vs 200d</td><td style="padding:8px 0;text-align:right;color:#ef4444;">▼ Below</td></tr>
<tr style="border-top:1px solid #1e293b;"><td style="padding:8px 0;color:#94a3b8;">Support</td><td style="padding:8px 0;text-align:right;color:#22c55e;font-family:monospace;">0.01</td>
<td style="padding:8px 0;color:#94a3b8;padding-left:24px;">Resistance</td><td style="padding:8px 0;text-align:right;color:#ef4444;font-family:monospace;">0.01</td></tr>
<tr style="border-top:1px solid #1e293b;"><td style="padding:8px 0;color:#94a3b8;">ATR Volatility</td><td style="padding:8px 0;text-align:right;color:#f59e0b;font-family:monospace;">4.97%/day</td>
<td style="padding:8px 0;color:#94a3b8;padding-left:24px;">Trend</td><td style="padding:8px 0;text-align:right;color:#ef4444;font-weight:600;">SELL</td></tr>
</table>
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<!– Performance Comparison –>
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<h2 style="margin:0 0 16px 0;font-size:18px;color:#e2e8f0;">Crypto Performance Comparison</h2>
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<rect x="50" y="110.0" width="80" height="7.3" fill="#ef4444" rx="3"/><text x="90" y="128" fill="#ccc" font-size="12" text-anchor="middle">FLR</text><text x="90" y="131.3" fill="#ef4444" font-size="13" font-weight="bold" text-anchor="middle">-6.7%</text><rect x="160" y="110.0" width="80" height="7.3" fill="#94a3b8" rx="3"/><text x="200" y="128" fill="#ccc" font-size="12" text-anchor="middle">target</text><text x="200" y="131.3" fill="#ef4444" font-size="13" font-weight="bold" text-anchor="middle">-6.7%</text><rect x="270" y="77.4" width="80" height="32.6" fill="#f7931a" rx="3"/><text x="310" y="128" fill="#ccc" font-size="12" text-anchor="middle">BTC</text><text x="310" y="71.4" fill="#22c55e" font-size="13" font-weight="bold" text-anchor="middle">+29.9%</text><rect x="380" y="50.0" width="80" height="60.0" fill="#627eea" rx="3"/><text x="420" y="128" fill="#ccc" font-size="12" text-anchor="middle">ETH</text><text x="420" y="44.0" fill="#22c55e" font-size="13" font-weight="bold" text-anchor="middle">+55.1%</text><rect x="490" y="59.6" width="80" height="50.4" fill="#14f195" rx="3"/><text x="530" y="128" fill="#ccc" font-size="12" text-anchor="middle">SOL</text><text x="530" y="53.6" fill="#22c55e" font-size="13" font-weight="bold" text-anchor="middle">+46.3%</text>
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<table style="width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;font-size:13px;margin-top:16px;">
<tr style="border-bottom:2px solid #1e293b;"><td style="padding:8px 10px;color:#64748b;font-size:11px;text-transform:uppercase;">Asset</td><td style="padding:8px 10px;color:#64748b;font-size:11px;text-transform:uppercase;text-align:right;">1 Month</td><td style="padding:8px 10px;color:#64748b;font-size:11px;text-transform:uppercase;text-align:right;">3 Months</td><td style="padding:8px 10px;color:#64748b;font-size:11px;text-transform:uppercase;text-align:right;">6 Months</td><td style="padding:8px 10px;color:#64748b;font-size:11px;text-transform:uppercase;text-align:right;">1 Year</td></tr>
<tr><td style="padding:6px 10px;font-weight:600;">FLR</td><td style="padding:6px 10px;text-align:right;"><span style="color:#22c55e;font-weight:600;">+5.8%</span></td><td style="padding:6px 10px;text-align:right;"><span style="color:#ef4444;font-weight:600;">-6.7%</span></td><td style="padding:6px 10px;text-align:right;"><span style="color:#ef4444;font-weight:600;">-20.1%</span></td><td style="padding:6px 10px;text-align:right;"><span style="color:#ef4444;font-weight:600;">-45.2%</span></td></tr><tr><td style="padding:6px 10px;font-weight:600;">BTC</td><td style="padding:6px 10px;text-align:right;"><span style="color:#22c55e;font-weight:600;">+20.1%</span></td><td style="padding:6px 10px;text-align:right;"><span style="color:#22c55e;font-weight:600;">+29.9%</span></td><td style="padding:6px 10px;text-align:right;"><span style="color:#22c55e;font-weight:600;">+5.5%</span></td><td style="padding:6px 10px;text-align:right;"><span style="color:#ef4444;font-weight:600;">-11.8%</span></td></tr><tr><td style="padding:6px 10px;font-weight:600;">ETH</td><td style="padding:6px 10px;text-align:right;"><span style="color:#22c55e;font-weight:600;">+27.8%</span></td><td style="padding:6px 10px;text-align:right;"><span style="color:#22c55e;font-weight:600;">+55.1%</span></td><td style="padding:6px 10px;text-align:right;"><span style="color:#22c55e;font-weight:600;">+8.0%</span></td><td style="padding:6px 10px;text-align:right;"><span style="color:#ef4444;font-weight:600;">-17.9%</span></td></tr><tr><td style="padding:6px 10px;font-weight:600;">SOL</td><td style="padding:6px 10px;text-align:right;"><span style="color:#22c55e;font-weight:600;">+42.7%</span></td><td style="padding:6px 10px;text-align:right;"><span style="color:#22c55e;font-weight:600;">+46.3%</span></td><td style="padding:6px 10px;text-align:right;"><span style="color:#22c55e;font-weight:600;">+25.7%</span></td><td style="padding:6px 10px;text-align:right;"><span style="color:#ef4444;font-weight:600;">-16.5%</span></td></tr>
</table>
</div>

<!– Backtest –>
<div style="background:#1a1a2e;border-radius:12px;padding:20px;margin-bottom:16px;border:1px solid #1e293b;">
<h2 style="margin:0 0 8px 0;font-size:18px;color:#e2e8f0;">Trend-Following Backtest</h2>
<p style="color:#64748b;font-size:12px;margin:0 0 16px 0;">2-year simulation of 12,000 using 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter. Buy when price > 50d MA (rising) + RSI 40-75. Sell on death cross or RSI > 82.</p>
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<text x="14" y="47.89190702425475" fill="#666" font-size="10" font-family="monospace">12,000 initial</text>
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<div style="margin-top:12px;display:flex;gap:16px;flex-wrap:wrap;">
<div style="flex:1;min-width:120px;"><div style="color:#64748b;font-size:11px;">FINAL VALUE</div><div style="color:#ef4444;font-size:22px;font-weight:700;font-family:monospace;">9,156</div></div>
<div style="flex:1;min-width:120px;"><div style="color:#64748b;font-size:11px;">RETURN</div><div style="color:#ef4444;font-size:22px;font-weight:700;">-23.7%</div></div>
<div style="flex:1;min-width:120px;"><div style="color:#64748b;font-size:11px;">MAX DRAWDOWN</div><div style="color:#f59e0b;font-size:22px;font-weight:700;">-29.6%</div></div>
</div>

<h3 style="color:#e2e8f0;font-size:15px;margin:24px 0 12px 0;">Strategy vs Buy & Hold</h3>
<table style="width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;font-size:13px;">
<tr style="border-bottom:2px solid #1e293b;"><td style="padding:8px 10px;color:#64748b;font-size:11px;text-transform:uppercase;">Asset</td><td style="padding:8px 10px;color:#64748b;font-size:11px;text-transform:uppercase;text-align:right;">Strategy</td><td style="padding:8px 10px;color:#64748b;font-size:11px;text-transform:uppercase;text-align:right;">Buy & Hold</td><td style="padding:8px 10px;color:#64748b;font-size:11px;text-transform:uppercase;text-align:right;">Max DD</td><td style="padding:8px 10px;color:#64748b;font-size:11px;text-transform:uppercase;text-align:right;">Trades</td><td style="padding:8px 10px;color:#64748b;font-size:11px;text-transform:uppercase;text-align:right;">Win Rate</td></tr>
<tr><td style="padding:6px 10px;font-weight:600;">FLR</td>
<td style="padding:6px 10px;text-align:right;"><span style="color:#ef4444;font-weight:600;">-23.7%</span></td>
<td style="padding:6px 10px;text-align:right;"><span style="color:#ef4444;font-weight:600;">-58.0%</span></td>
<td style="padding:6px 10px;text-align:right;color:#f59e0b;">-29.6%</td>
<td style="padding:6px 10px;text-align:right;">40</td>
<td style="padding:6px 10px;text-align:right;">42%</td></tr>
</table>
</div>

<!– DCA Comparison –>
<div style="background:#1a1a2e;border-radius:12px;padding:20px;margin-bottom:16px;border:1px solid #1e293b;">
<h2 style="margin:0 0 8px 0;font-size:18px;color:#e2e8f0;">DCA vs Lump Sum (FLR)</h2>
<p style="color:#64748b;font-size:12px;margin:0 0 16px 0;">If you had deployed 12,000 using different timing strategies over the past year.</p>
<table style="width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;font-size:14px;">
<tr style="border-bottom:2px solid #1e293b;"><td style="padding:8px 10px;color:#64748b;font-size:11px;text-transform:uppercase;">Strategy</td><td style="padding:8px 10px;color:#64748b;font-size:11px;text-transform:uppercase;text-align:right;">Return</td><td style="padding:8px 10px;color:#64748b;font-size:11px;text-transform:uppercase;text-align:right;">Value Today</td></tr>
<tr><td style="padding:6px 10px;">Lump Sum (1y ago)</td>
<td style="padding:6px 10px;text-align:right;">-45.2%</td>
<td style="padding:6px 10px;text-align:right;font-family:monospace;">3,625</td></tr><tr><td style="padding:6px 10px;">DCA — 4 buys</td>
<td style="padding:6px 10px;text-align:right;">-44.3%</td>
<td style="padding:6px 10px;text-align:right;font-family:monospace;">6,689</td></tr><tr><td style="padding:6px 10px;">DCA — 6 buys</td>
<td style="padding:6px 10px;text-align:right;">-39.5%</td>
<td style="padding:6px 10px;text-align:right;font-family:monospace;">7,258</td></tr><tr><td style="padding:6px 10px;">DCA — 12 buys</td>
<td style="padding:6px 10px;text-align:right;">-37.6%</td>
<td style="padding:6px 10px;text-align:right;font-family:monospace;">7,492</td></tr>
</table>
</div>

<!– Entry Plan –>
<div style="background:#1a1a2e;border-radius:12px;padding:20px;margin-bottom:16px;border:1px solid #334155;">
<h2 style="margin:0 0 16px 0;font-size:18px;color:#f59e0b;">FLR Deployment Plan — 12,000 Portfolio</h2>
<p style="color:#94a3b8;font-size:13px;margin-bottom:16px;">Analysis by Elena Kowalski (Aggressive / Contrarian / Deep-Value). If you're managing a <strong>12,000 crypto allocation</strong>, here's the plan:</p>
<table style="width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;font-size:14px;margin-bottom:16px;">
<tr><td style="padding:8px 0;color:#64748b;width:40%;">Position size</td><td style="padding:8px 0;color:#e2e8f0;">3,000 (25% of portfolio)</td></tr>
<tr style="border-top:1px solid #1e293b;"><td style="padding:8px 0;color:#64748b;">Stop loss</td><td style="padding:8px 0;color:#ef4444;font-family:monospace;">0.01 (-10.0%)</td></tr>
<tr style="border-top:1px solid #1e293b;"><td style="padding:8px 0;color:#64748b;">Target 1</td><td style="padding:8px 0;color:#22c55e;font-family:monospace;">0.00 (-100.0%)</td></tr>
<tr style="border-top:1px solid #1e293b;"><td style="padding:8px 0;color:#64748b;">Target 2</td><td style="padding:8px 0;color:#22c55e;font-family:monospace;">0.00 (-100.0%)</td></tr>
<tr style="border-top:1px solid #1e293b;"><td style="padding:8px 0;color:#64748b;">Entry quality</td><td style="padding:8px 0;color:#22c55e;">Pullback </td></tr>
<tr style="border-top:1px solid #1e293b;"><td style="padding:8px 0;color:#64748b;">Max concurrent positions</td><td style="padding:8px 0;color:#e2e8f0;">4</td></tr>
</table>
<p style="color:#64748b;font-size:12px;">Cash reserve: keep 25% buffer. Deploy in 2 tranches. Portfolio style: Aggressive / Contrarian / Deep-Value.</p>
</div>

<!– Trade Log –>
<div style="background:#1a1a2e;border-radius:12px;padding:20px;margin-bottom:16px;border:1px solid #1e293b;">
<h2 style="margin:0 0 16px 0;font-size:18px;color:#e2e8f0;">Backtest Trade Log</h2>
<table style="width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;font-size:13px;">
<tr style="border-bottom:2px solid #1e293b;"><td style="padding:6px 8px;color:#64748b;font-size:11px;text-transform:uppercase;">Date</td><td style="padding:6px 8px;color:#64748b;font-size:11px;text-transform:uppercase;">Action</td><td style="padding:6px 8px;color:#64748b;font-size:11px;text-transform:uppercase;text-align:right;">Price</td><td style="padding:6px 8px;color:#64748b;font-size:11px;text-transform:uppercase;text-align:right;">P&L</td></tr>
<tr><td style="padding:4px 8px;">2026-05-26</td>
<td style="padding:4px 8px;"><span style="color:#22c55e;">BUY</span></td>
<td style="padding:4px 8px;text-align:right;font-family:monospace;">0.01</td>
<td style="padding:4px 8px;text-align:right;"></td></tr><tr><td style="padding:4px 8px;">2026-05-27</td>
<td style="padding:4px 8px;"><span style="color:#ef4444;">SELL</span></td>
<td style="padding:4px 8px;text-align:right;font-family:monospace;">0.01</td>
<td style="padding:4px 8px;text-align:right;"><span style="color:#ef4444;font-weight:600">-1.9%</span></td></tr><tr><td style="padding:4px 8px;">2026-06-12</td>
<td style="padding:4px 8px;"><span style="color:#22c55e;">BUY</span></td>
<td style="padding:4px 8px;text-align:right;font-family:monospace;">0.01</td>
<td style="padding:4px 8px;text-align:right;"></td></tr><tr><td style="padding:4px 8px;">2026-06-13</td>
<td style="padding:4px 8px;"><span style="color:#ef4444;">SELL</span></td>
<td style="padding:4px 8px;text-align:right;font-family:monospace;">0.01</td>
<td style="padding:4px 8px;text-align:right;"><span style="color:#ef4444;font-weight:600">-0.8%</span></td></tr><tr><td style="padding:4px 8px;">2026-06-14</td>
<td style="padding:4px 8px;"><span style="color:#22c55e;">BUY</span></td>
<td style="padding:4px 8px;text-align:right;font-family:monospace;">0.01</td>
<td style="padding:4px 8px;text-align:right;"></td></tr><tr><td style="padding:4px 8px;">2026-06-15</td>
<td style="padding:4px 8px;"><span style="color:#ef4444;">SELL</span></td>
<td style="padding:4px 8px;text-align:right;font-family:monospace;">0.01</td>
<td style="padding:4px 8px;text-align:right;"><span style="color:#ef4444;font-weight:600">-0.7%</span></td></tr><tr><td style="padding:4px 8px;">2026-08-20</td>
<td style="padding:4px 8px;"><span style="color:#22c55e;">BUY</span></td>
<td style="padding:4px 8px;text-align:right;font-family:monospace;">0.01</td>
<td style="padding:4px 8px;text-align:right;"></td></tr><tr><td style="padding:4px 8px;">2026-08-21</td>
<td style="padding:4px 8px;"><span style="color:#ef4444;">SELL</span></td>
<td style="padding:4px 8px;text-align:right;font-family:monospace;">0.01</td>
<td style="padding:4px 8px;text-align:right;"><span style="color:#22c55e;font-weight:600">+9.0%</span></td></tr><tr><td style="padding:4px 8px;">2026-08-22</td>
<td style="padding:4px 8px;"><span style="color:#22c55e;">BUY</span></td>
<td style="padding:4px 8px;text-align:right;font-family:monospace;">0.01</td>
<td style="padding:4px 8px;text-align:right;"></td></tr><tr><td style="padding:4px 8px;">2026-08-23</td>
<td style="padding:4px 8px;"><span style="color:#ef4444;">SELL</span></td>
<td style="padding:4px 8px;text-align:right;font-family:monospace;">0.01</td>
<td style="padding:4px 8px;text-align:right;"><span style="color:#22c55e;font-weight:600">+0.9%</span></td></tr><tr><td style="padding:4px 8px;">2026-08-27</td>
<td style="padding:4px 8px;"><span style="color:#22c55e;">BUY</span></td>
<td style="padding:4px 8px;text-align:right;font-family:monospace;">0.01</td>
<td style="padding:4px 8px;text-align:right;"></td></tr><tr><td style="padding:4px 8px;">2026-08-29</td>
<td style="padding:4px 8px;"><span style="color:#ef4444;">SELL</span></td>
<td style="padding:4px 8px;text-align:right;font-family:monospace;">0.01</td>
<td style="padding:4px 8px;text-align:right;"><span style="color:#ef4444;font-weight:600">-5.2%</span></td></tr>
</table>
</div>

<!– Footer –>
<div style="text-align:center;padding:20px 0;color:#475569;font-size:11px;">
Generated by BitcoinsNews.com Coin Analysis Engine · 2026-08-29 16:00 UTC<br>
Trend-following methodology: 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter + ADX regime gate<br>
Data via Yahoo Finance / CoinGecko · <em>Not financial advice. For educational purposes only.</em>
</div>

</div>

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26 thoughts on “Flare (FLR) Analysis: SELL — 12,000 Deployment Plan”

      1. honest. the whole thesis here is that wrapped btc minting still hasnt covered the sell pressure. calling it two quarters away is honestly generous

          1. admission should be free for anyone who staked through 2022, we funded the exhibits. flr at 0.01 with a SELL stamp is basically the closing ceremony

          2. museum gift shop selling souvenir t shirts any day now. my wrap fees on f-assets are basically a season pass at this point

        1. spite staking is apparently a real strategy. down to my last airdrop tranche and refusing to sell on principle at this point

        2. spite as a strategy is real, my flr bag has outlived two laptops now. even a SELL call at 0.01 couldnt kill the hope lol

          1. two laptops lmao. my flr bag has outlived my marriage at this point, selling now would mean admitting the whole decade was a mistake

  1. held through the airdrop, staked through the drop, and now a SELL at a penny is telling me what i should have done back in 2022

  2. the 12k deployment breakdown is actually the useful part of this piece. shame flr burned through everyones patience long before the wrapped btc numbers started mattering

  3. the wrapped btc minting chart is the only thing that ever made me second guess selling my flare bag. then i looked at how long ftso payouts have been shrinking and got over it

    1. which trend system is flagging a sell after the dump already happened though. feels like the signal showed up about 90% late on flr

      1. trend systems are lagging indicators by design, they dont catch bottoms, they confirm you already missed them. flr at 0.01 is the textbook case

          1. 23.7% tuition to learn what a lagging indicator does is still cheaper than what the hold crowd paid. flr bleeding another leg costs way more than any backtest

          2. 23.7% down following the signal vs who knows how much more holding. the math only favors holding if flr actually bottoms and nothing about the shrinking ftso payouts says it will

      2. thats every trend system ever, the sell flag on flr arrived after the funeral. still beats holding on vibes for another three years

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