Deep Dive Analysis
JUST (JST)
2026-10-28 09:30 UTC · Oliver Schmidt · 35,000 Portfolio
PRICE
0.14
0.14
52W HIGH
0.14
0.14
DRAWDOWN
-2.6%
-2.6%
STAGE
Stage 2 (Uptrend)
Stage 2 (Uptrend)
🟡 WAIT — No Clear Edge
Trend-Following System · MEDIUM Conviction · 7 Bull / 1 Bear Factors
Bullish factors: price > 50d, price > 200d, golden cross, 50d rising, RSI healthy (57.1), within 10% of high, accumulation (OBV up, vol ratio 2.07)
Bearish factors: MACD-
JST Price — 1 Year
1Y Ago: 0.04
Low: 0.03
Now: 0.14
Low: 0.03
Now: 0.14
Technical Snapshot
| RSI (14) | 57.1 | ADX (14) | 15.0 |
| 50d MA | 0.13 | 200d MA | 0.10 |
| Price vs 50d | ▲ Above | Price vs 200d | ▲ Above |
| Support | 0.12 | Resistance | 0.14 |
| ATR Volatility | 2.71%/day | Trend | HOLD |
Crypto Performance Comparison
| Asset | 1 Month | 3 Months | 6 Months | 1 Year |
| JST | -1.7% | +38.4% | +71.5% | +230.5% |
| BTC | -2.3% | +2.9% | +28.0% | +21.5% |
| ETH | -8.1% | -5.6% | +38.3% | +21.4% |
| SOL | -11.7% | +0.4% | +47.1% | +24.5% |
Trend-Following Backtest
2-year simulation of 35,000 using 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter. Buy when price > 50d MA (rising) + RSI 40-75. Sell on death cross or RSI > 82.
FINAL VALUE
58,893
RETURN
+68.3%
MAX DRAWDOWN
-39.7%
Strategy vs Buy & Hold
| Asset | Strategy | Buy & Hold | Max DD | Trades | Win Rate |
| JST | +68.3% | +284.5% | -39.7% | 37 | 46% |
DCA vs Lump Sum (JST)
If you had deployed 35,000 using different timing strategies over the past year.
| Strategy | Return | Value Today |
| Lump Sum (1y ago) | +230.5% | 140,739 |
| DCA — 4 buys | +153.9% | 88,877 |
| DCA — 6 buys | +155.8% | 89,522 |
| DCA — 12 buys | +139.0% | 83,652 |
JST Deployment Plan — 35,000 Portfolio
Analysis by Oliver Schmidt (Conservative / Institutional). If you’re managing a 35,000 crypto allocation, here’s the plan:
| Position size | 5,250 (15% of portfolio) |
| Stop loss | 0.13 (-5.4%) |
| Target 1 | 0.00 (-100.0%) |
| Target 2 | 0.00 (-100.0%) |
| Entry quality | Pullback |
| Max concurrent positions | 10 |
Cash reserve: keep 15% buffer. Deploy in 3 tranches. Portfolio style: Conservative / Institutional.
Backtest Trade Log
| Date | Action | Price | P&L |
| 2026-01-21 | BUY | 0.04 | |
| 2026-01-27 | SELL | 0.04 | -9.8% |
| 2026-01-28 | BUY | 0.04 | |
| 2026-02-03 | SELL | 0.04 | -8.5% |
| 2026-02-07 | BUY | 0.04 | |
| 2026-02-12 | SELL | 0.04 | -3.2% |
| 2026-02-16 | BUY | 0.04 | |
| 2026-06-03 | SELL | 0.07 | +71.7% |
| 2026-06-28 | BUY | 0.09 | |
| 2026-08-24 | SELL | 0.10 | +13.9% |
| 2026-09-01 | BUY | 0.10 | |
| END | SELL | 0.14 | +35.7% |
Generated by BitcoinsNews.com Coin Analysis Engine · 2026-10-28 09:30 UTC
Trend-following methodology: 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter + ADX regime gate
Data via Yahoo Finance / CoinGecko · Not financial advice. For educational purposes only.
Trend-following methodology: 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter + ADX regime gate
Data via Yahoo Finance / CoinGecko · Not financial advice. For educational purposes only.
strategy made 68% while buy and hold did 284% and the verdict is still HOLD at medium conviction. the system is literally arguing against itself lol
^ this. also target of 10.00 on a 0.14 coin, someone fat fingered the generator on that one
The 10.00 target is clearly a decimal error, no way anyone at 0.14 seriously models a 70x. Good catch though, these auto generated analyses need better sanity checks
68% for the system vs 284% buy and hold and they still call it HOLD at medium conviction. i guess consistency counts for something but come on
tbf the verdict banner says WAIT not HOLD, medium conviction with 7 bull vs 1 bear factors. its basically shrugging
trade log tells the story, three small losses in january then one +71.7% ride from 0.04 to 0.07 carried the whole backtest. classic trend following, you eat the stops to catch the big leg
thats the entire point of the 50d/200d system though, small stops so youre still in for the 0.04 to 0.14 move. 46% win rate is fine when winners run
sitting 2.6% off the 52w high with RSI at 57 and people still find a reason to hesitate. stage 2 uptrends dont announce themselves twice
JST volume is mostly TRON ecosystem carry trades anyway, thin books make that 0.04 to 0.14 backtest look better than it would fill live
thin books point is underrated. volume ratio 2.07 looks great on paper until you try to exit a 35k position in JST without moving it 8%