This is an automated coin monitor, not investment advice.
Mantle (MNT)
USD 0.4532
USD 1.33
-66.0%
Stage 4 (Downtrend)
Bullish factors: golden cross
Bearish factors: price < 50d, price < 200d, 50d falling, MACD-, RSI weak (34.2), falling 1m & 3m, far below high, strong bear trend (ADX 30.9), distribution (OBV down, vol ratio 0.76)
Low: USD 0.3922
Now: USD 0.4532
Technical Snapshot
| RSI (14) | 34.2 | ADX (14) | 30.9 |
| 50d MA | USD 0.5620 | 200d MA | USD 0.5387 |
| Price vs 50d | ▼ Below | Price vs 200d | ▼ Below |
| Support | USD 0.4344 | Resistance | USD 0.5684 |
| ATR Volatility | 2.52%/day | Model state | Bearish trend |
Crypto Performance Comparison
| Asset | 1 Month | 3 Months | 6 Months | 1 Year |
| MNT | -14.4% | -25.5% | +9.9% | -31.3% |
| BTC | -7.4% | -5.4% | +29.7% | +10.5% |
| ETH | -7.0% | -10.9% | +42.7% | +10.5% |
| SOL | -13.8% | -15.8% | +21.9% | +3.4% |
Trend-Following Backtest
2-year simulation on a notional USD 35,000 starting balance using the model’s 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter. The model goes long when price is above a rising 50d MA with RSI 40-75, and goes flat on a death cross or RSI above 82. Hypothetical, before fees and slippage.
Strategy vs Buy & Hold
| Asset | Strategy | Buy & Hold | Max DD | Trades | Win Rate |
| MNT | +0.1% | -27.6% | -14.6% | 23 | 52% |
DCA vs Lump Sum (MNT)
Hypothetical result of a notional USD 35,000 placed one year ago under different timing schedules. Simulation only, not a recommendation.
| Strategy | Return | Value Today |
| Lump Sum (1y ago) | -31.3% | USD 25,329 |
| DCA — 4 buys | -12.5% | USD 30,623 |
| DCA — 6 buys | -11.4% | USD 31,014 |
| DCA — 12 buys | -12.2% | USD 30,744 |
Levels the system watches
Reference levels used by the trend model to classify MNT. They describe how the model reads the chart, not what anyone should do.
| Support (recent swing low) | USD 0.4344 |
| Resistance (recent swing high) | USD 0.5684 |
| Trend model’s invalidation level (ATR-based) | USD 0.4303 (-5.0% from current price) |
| ATR (14) | USD 0.0114 (2.52%/day) |
| Price location vs trend (model label) | Pullback |
The invalidation level is where the model would stop treating the current trend reading as valid (roughly 2x ATR below price or 0.5x ATR below the recent swing low, whichever is lower). It is a model parameter, not a stop-loss recommendation.
Backtest Trade Log
| Date | Action | Price | Simulated P&L |
| 2026-09-22 | BUY | USD 0.6512 | |
| 2026-09-23 | SELL | USD 0.6689 | +2.7% |
| 2026-09-24 | BUY | USD 0.6531 | |
| 2026-09-25 | SELL | USD 0.6774 | +3.7% |
| 2026-09-26 | BUY | USD 0.6732 | |
| 2026-09-27 | SELL | USD 0.6941 | +3.1% |
| 2026-09-28 | BUY | USD 0.6755 | |
| 2026-09-29 | SELL | USD 0.6649 | -1.6% |
| 2026-09-30 | BUY | USD 0.6651 | |
| 2026-10-01 | SELL | USD 0.6967 | +4.8% |
| 2026-10-02 | BUY | USD 0.6811 | |
| 2026-10-08 | SELL | USD 0.5814 | -14.6% |
Trend-following methodology: 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter + ADX regime gate · Backtests are hypothetical and exclude fees.
mnt at 0.45, down 66 percent from the 1.33 high, and 9 of 10 model factors still bearish. no knife here worth catching yet
RSI at 34 is barely oversold. people keep buying this bounce and getting run over, i am waiting on a retest of 0.3922
ADX 30.9 on a strong bear trend, price under both the 50d at 0.56 and the 200d. held since 0.66, not adding a sat until the 50d flattens out