Deep Dive Analysis
Pepe (PEPE)
2026-10-31 09:30 UTC · Oliver Schmidt · 35,000 Portfolio
PRICE
0.00
0.00
52W HIGH
0.00
0.00
DRAWDOWN
-0%
-0%
STAGE
Stage 2 (Uptrend)
Stage 2 (Uptrend)
🟡 WAIT — No Clear Edge
Trend-Following System · LOW Conviction · 5 Bull / 0 Bear Factors
Bullish factors: 50d rising, RSI healthy (62.3), rising 1m & 3m, vol 2.37x on up day, accumulation (OBV up, vol ratio 2.04)
PEPE Price — 1 Year
1Y Ago: 0.00
Low: 0.00
Now: 0.00
Low: 0.00
Now: 0.00
Technical Snapshot
| RSI (14) | 62.3 | ADX (14) | 13.8 |
| 50d MA | 0.00 | 200d MA | 0.00 |
| Price vs 50d | ▼ Below | Price vs 200d | ▼ Below |
| Support | 0.00 | Resistance | 0.00 |
| ATR Volatility | 4.12%/day | Trend | HOLD |
Crypto Performance Comparison
| Asset | 1 Month | 3 Months | 6 Months | 1 Year |
| PEPE | +26.0% | +39.0% | +81.2% | +28.5% |
| BTC | -6.8% | -1.2% | +20.9% | +14.2% |
| ETH | -10.5% | -8.8% | +29.9% | +14.5% |
| SOL | -13.4% | -9.8% | +32.6% | +15.2% |
Trend-Following Backtest
2-year simulation of 35,000 using 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter. Buy when price > 50d MA (rising) + RSI 40-75. Sell on death cross or RSI > 82.
FINAL VALUE
42,550
RETURN
+21.6%
MAX DRAWDOWN
-29.9%
Strategy vs Buy & Hold
| Asset | Strategy | Buy & Hold | Max DD | Trades | Win Rate |
| PEPE | +21.6% | +39.6% | -29.9% | 21 | 43% |
DCA vs Lump Sum (PEPE)
If you had deployed 35,000 using different timing strategies over the past year.
| Strategy | Return | Value Today |
| Lump Sum (1y ago) | +28.5% | 48,863 |
| DCA — 4 buys | +64.0% | 57,388 |
| DCA — 6 buys | +55.5% | 54,421 |
| DCA — 12 buys | +62.8% | 56,990 |
PEPE Deployment Plan — 35,000 Portfolio
Analysis by Oliver Schmidt (Conservative / Institutional). If you’re managing a 35,000 crypto allocation, here’s the plan:
| Position size | 5,250 (15% of portfolio) |
| Stop loss | 0.00 (nan%) |
| Target 1 | 0.00 (nan%) |
| Target 2 | 0.00 (nan%) |
| Entry quality | Unknown (R:R None) |
| Max concurrent positions | 10 |
Cash reserve: keep 15% buffer. Deploy in 3 tranches. Portfolio style: Conservative / Institutional.
Backtest Trade Log
| Date | Action | Price | P&L |
| 2026-09-15 | BUY | 0.00 | |
| 2026-09-16 | SELL | 0.00 | -2.0% |
| 2026-09-17 | BUY | 0.00 | |
| 2026-09-18 | SELL | 0.00 | +6.0% |
| 2026-09-19 | BUY | 0.00 | |
| 2026-10-09 | SELL | 0.00 | +0.3% |
| 2026-10-10 | BUY | 0.00 | |
| 2026-10-13 | SELL | 0.00 | -1.0% |
| 2026-10-14 | BUY | 0.00 | |
| 2026-10-18 | SELL | 0.00 | -7.7% |
| 2026-10-19 | BUY | 0.00 | |
| END | SELL | 0.00 | +26.8% |
Generated by BitcoinsNews.com Coin Analysis Engine · 2026-10-31 09:30 UTC
Trend-following methodology: 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter + ADX regime gate
Data via Yahoo Finance / CoinGecko · Not financial advice. For educational purposes only.
Trend-following methodology: 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter + ADX regime gate
Data via Yahoo Finance / CoinGecko · Not financial advice. For educational purposes only.
vol 2.37x on an up day with OBV climbing and they still call it WAIT. ADX at 13.8 is the real story, this trend has zero strength behind it
ADX under 15 basically means chop. I bought a stage 2 lookalike on PEPE last year without checking that number and got shredded for weeks
5 bull factors, zero bear, RSI 62 and OBV rising, and the verdict is WAIT? either trust your own system or dont publish the score
catch is price sitting below both the 50d and 200d. +39% in 3 months but they want the reclaims first, i kinda get it
the score is for new entries, the HOLD tag is for the existing 35k position. two different calls, both can be right at the same time
5 bull and 0 bear only looks contradictory until you see ADX 13.8. the system is not saying pepe is weak, it is saying there is no trend yet to follow. waiting for the 50d reclaim costs you a little upside and saves weeks of chop
RSI 62.3 with 5 bull and 0 bear factors, yet the system says no edge because price sits under the 50d. That discipline is exactly why the backtest holds up