Deep Dive Analysis
Shiba Inu (SHIB)
2026-09-13 15:00 UTC · Oliver Schmidt · 35,000 Portfolio
PRICE
0.00
0.00
52W HIGH
0.00
0.00
DRAWDOWN
-0%
-0%
STAGE
Stage 3 (Topping)
Stage 3 (Topping)
🟡 WAIT — No Clear Edge
Trend-Following System · LOW Conviction · 3 Bull / 1 Bear Factors
Bullish factors: 50d rising, RSI healthy (54.1), strong bull trend (ADX 76.0)
Bearish factors: far below high
SHIB Price — 1 Year
1Y Ago: 0.00
Low: 0.00
Now: 0.00
Low: 0.00
Now: 0.00
Technical Snapshot
| RSI (14) | 54.1 | ADX (14) | 76.0 |
| 50d MA | 0.00 | 200d MA | 0.00 |
| Price vs 50d | ▼ Below | Price vs 200d | ▼ Below |
| Support | 0.00 | Resistance | 0.00 |
| ATR Volatility | 7.12%/day | Trend | HOLD |
Crypto Performance Comparison
| Asset | 1 Month | 3 Months | 6 Months | 1 Year |
| SHIB | -13.0% | +30.5% | -13.0% | -42.0% |
| BTC | -0.8% | +21.0% | -4.7% | -17.9% |
| ETH | +1.0% | +37.8% | +5.4% | -22.9% |
| SOL | +5.3% | +30.7% | +16.4% | -27.2% |
Trend-Following Backtest
2-year simulation of 35,000 using 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter. Buy when price > 50d MA (rising) + RSI 40-75. Sell on death cross or RSI > 82.
FINAL VALUE
12,365
RETURN
-64.7%
MAX DRAWDOWN
-66.2%
Strategy vs Buy & Hold
| Asset | Strategy | Buy & Hold | Max DD | Trades | Win Rate |
| SHIB | -64.7% | -59.8% | -66.2% | 47 | 8% |
DCA vs Lump Sum (SHIB)
If you had deployed 35,000 using different timing strategies over the past year.
| Strategy | Return | Value Today |
| Lump Sum (1y ago) | -42.0% | 13,050 |
| DCA — 4 buys | -26.5% | 25,719 |
| DCA — 6 buys | -22.5% | 27,127 |
| DCA — 12 buys | -20.0% | 28,016 |
SHIB Deployment Plan — 35,000 Portfolio
Analysis by Oliver Schmidt (Conservative / Institutional). If you’re managing a 35,000 crypto allocation, here’s the plan:
| Position size | 5,250 (15% of portfolio) |
| Stop loss | 0.00 (nan%) |
| Target 1 | 0.00 (nan%) |
| Target 2 | 0.00 (nan%) |
| Entry quality | Unknown (R:R None) |
| Max concurrent positions | 10 |
Cash reserve: keep 15% buffer. Deploy in 3 tranches. Portfolio style: Conservative / Institutional.
Backtest Trade Log
| Date | Action | Price | P&L |
| 2026-09-02 | BUY | 0.00 | |
| 2026-09-03 | SELL | 0.00 | +0.0% |
| 2026-09-04 | BUY | 0.00 | |
| 2026-09-05 | SELL | 0.00 | +0.0% |
| 2026-09-06 | BUY | 0.00 | |
| 2026-09-07 | SELL | 0.00 | -16.7% |
| 2026-09-08 | BUY | 0.00 | |
| 2026-09-09 | SELL | 0.00 | +0.0% |
| 2026-09-10 | BUY | 0.00 | |
| 2026-09-11 | SELL | 0.00 | +0.0% |
| 2026-09-12 | BUY | 0.00 | |
| 2026-09-13 | SELL | 0.00 | +4.4% |
Generated by BitcoinsNews.com Coin Analysis Engine · 2026-09-13 15:00 UTC
Trend-following methodology: 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter + ADX regime gate
Data via Yahoo Finance / CoinGecko · Not financial advice. For educational purposes only.
Trend-following methodology: 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter + ADX regime gate
Data via Yahoo Finance / CoinGecko · Not financial advice. For educational purposes only.
35k portfolio and SHIB gets a HOLD from Oliver Schmidt. we truly live in a simulation
Holding SHIB since 2021. At this point selling feels like quitting a marathon at km 40.
@Piotr the marathon analogy is cope my friend, but honestly same. burns aint doing anything tho
ADX at 76 and he still says no clear edge? thats a strong trend oliver, just say youre scared of the topper label lol
Stage 3 topping with only 1 bear factor against 3 bull ones. Honestly the 50d rising is doing a lot of work here, I would hold too.
delia the bear factor is being far below high tho, thats kinda the whole problem with shib lol