Deep Dive Analysis
Uniswap (UNI)
2026-08-26 16:02 UTC · Oliver Schmidt · 35,000 Portfolio
PRICE
0.00
0.00
52W HIGH
0.00
0.00
DRAWDOWN
-0.0%
-0.0%
STAGE
Stage 4 (Downtrend)
Stage 4 (Downtrend)
🟡 WAIT — No Clear Edge
Trend-Following System · LOW Conviction · 0 Bull / 6 Bear Factors
Bearish factors: price < 50d, price < 200d, death cross, 50d falling, falling 1m & 3m, distribution (OBV down, vol ratio 0.83)
UNI Price — 1 Year
1Y Ago: 0.00
Low: 0.00
Now: 0.00
Low: 0.00
Now: 0.00
Technical Snapshot
| RSI (14) | 46.4 | ADX (14) | 18.8 |
| 50d MA | 0.00 | 200d MA | 0.00 |
| Price vs 50d | ▼ Below | Price vs 200d | ▼ Below |
| Support | 0.00 | Resistance | 0.00 |
| ATR Volatility | 3.03%/day | Trend | HOLD |
Crypto Performance Comparison
| Asset | 1 Month | 3 Months | 6 Months | 1 Year |
| UNI | -6.9% | -16.0% | -18.9% | — |
| BTC | +20.5% | +27.6% | +0.9% | -9.0% |
| ETH | +28.0% | +50.6% | +0.8% | -13.7% |
| SOL | +29.1% | +40.4% | +7.4% | -20.2% |
Trend-Following Backtest
2-year simulation of 35,000 using 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter. Buy when price > 50d MA (rising) + RSI 40-75. Sell on death cross or RSI > 82.
FINAL VALUE
35,000
RETURN
+0.0%
MAX DRAWDOWN
0.0%
Strategy vs Buy & Hold
| Asset | Strategy | Buy & Hold | Max DD | Trades | Win Rate |
| UNI | +0.0% | -3.6% | 0.0% | 0 | 0% |
DCA vs Lump Sum (UNI)
If you had deployed 35,000 using different timing strategies over the past year.
| Strategy | Return | Value Today |
| Lump Sum (1y ago) | +0.0% | 33,757 |
| DCA — 4 buys | -1.5% | 34,491 |
| DCA — 6 buys | -2.5% | 34,129 |
| DCA — 12 buys | -3.7% | 33,719 |
UNI Deployment Plan — 35,000 Portfolio
Analysis by Oliver Schmidt (Conservative / Institutional). If you’re managing a 35,000 crypto allocation, here’s the plan:
| Position size | 5,250 (15% of portfolio) |
| Stop loss | 0.00 (-5.0%) |
| Target 1 | 0.00 (-100.0%) |
| Target 2 | 0.00 (-100.0%) |
| Entry quality | Pullback |
| Max concurrent positions | 10 |
Cash reserve: keep 15% buffer. Deploy in 3 tranches. Portfolio style: Conservative / Institutional.
Backtest Trade Log
| Date | Action | Price | P&L |
Generated by BitcoinsNews.com Coin Analysis Engine · 2026-08-26 16:02 UTC
Trend-following methodology: 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter + ADX regime gate
Data via Yahoo Finance / CoinGecko · Not financial advice. For educational purposes only.
Trend-following methodology: 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter + ADX regime gate
Data via Yahoo Finance / CoinGecko · Not financial advice. For educational purposes only.
price shows 0.00 everywhere on this one lol, even the bots gave up on uni
0 bull vs 6 bear factors though, that part tracks. been below both averages all year
the 0.00 tile had me laughing too, feed clearly broke. shame because the 0/6 factor read underneath is the most honest uni take in weeks
the 0.00 tile is the most bullish uni indicator this year lol. even the data feed capitulated
price feed capitulated before the holders did, classic. meanwhile 0 of 6 factors and cex beating volume just sitting there getting ignored
the 0.00 tile going meme mode two runs in a row says more about the data vendor than about uni. feed broke, the 0/6 read underneath is still the honest part
the data feed capitulating before the holders did is genuinely the funniest uni moment this year. whoever fixes that tile deserves the fee switch
a fee switch joke hiding inside a data bug thread, peak uni comment section. holding since v2 and this is somehow the most relatable thread of the month
holding since v2 while the fee switch stays a punchline says everything. hook revenue has to show up in a quarterly or the 0/6 read becomes permanent
uniswap moving more volume than half the cexs and the system still reads stage 4 downtrend. 0 bull of 6 is brutal but hard to argue with price below every average
0 of 6 factors while moving more volume than half the cexs is the oldest divergence in the book. price catches up to usage eventually, the waiting is the hard part
price catching up to usage eventually is doing a lot of work in that sentence. held uni since the univ3 fee switch rumors, still waiting
0 of 6 while out-voluming half the cexs is the entire uni experience since 2021. the factor model only flips after price already ran
every factor model is a price model in a costume. uni sits at 0 of 6 for months, one green fortnight flips it to 5 of 6, zero new information either way
costume is generous, its a mirror with a delay. still ran the 0/6 read against my own spreadsheet and got the same verdict, annoyingly
ran it against my own sheet too, 0/6 every single time. mirror with a delay is the most honest description of factor models ive read here
more volume than half the cexs and 0 of 6 factors is the system being honest, not broken. uni is a cash machine with a token nobody has to buy
cash machine with a token nobody has to buy is the best uni summary ive seen. hooks change that math or the hold rating writes itself every month
the 0.00 price tile making it into print three times now is the part that kills me. even the cash machine framing needs working dashboards lol
univ4 hooks were supposed to be the monetization chapter and the price tile cant even render a number. holding anyway, the volume print says someone is right about this one
0 of 6 factors but the hook revenue question is the real line on the chart. univ4 either monetizes or this stays a volume story forever
v4 hook revenue is the whole ballgame but fees only flow once hooks ship with real volume. and 0 of 6 factors is just price with a lag anyway
second run in a row with the 0.00 tile and someone at the data vendor should be sweating. the analysis underneath is fine, the plumbing is the embarrassment
the 0.00 price tile has now survived two of these posts. whoever ships the data vendor fix deserves the hook revenue more than anyone
more volume than half the cexs and the debate is still whether univ4 hooks will ever print money. fee switch discourse entering year five, unhinged