This is an automated coin monitor, not investment advice.
Usual USD (USD0)
USD 0.9985
USD 1.01
-0.8%
Stage 4 (Downtrend)
Bullish factors: near 52w high, strong bull trend (ADX 27.6)
Bearish factors: price < 50d, price < 200d, death cross, 50d falling, falling 1m & 3m, distribution (OBV down, vol ratio 0.17)
Low: USD 0.9870
Now: USD 0.9985
Technical Snapshot
| RSI (14) | 47.9 | ADX (14) | 27.6 |
| 50d MA | USD 0.9988 | 200d MA | USD 0.9988 |
| Price vs 50d | ▼ Below | Price vs 200d | ▼ Below |
| Support | USD 0.9973 | Resistance | USD 0.9995 |
| ATR Volatility | 0.06%/day | Model state | Bearish trend |
Crypto Performance Comparison
| Asset | 1 Month | 3 Months | 6 Months | 1 Year |
| USD0 | -0.0% | -0.0% | -0.0% | -0.0% |
| BTC | -12.0% | -5.6% | +18.2% | +4.3% |
| ETH | -16.1% | -15.9% | +18.1% | +0.1% |
| SOL | -20.7% | -16.6% | +3.0% | -4.5% |
Trend-Following Backtest
2-year simulation on a notional USD 12,000 starting balance using the model’s 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter. The model goes long when price is above a rising 50d MA with RSI 40-75, and goes flat on a death cross or RSI above 82. Hypothetical, before fees and slippage.
Strategy vs Buy & Hold
| Asset | Strategy | Buy & Hold | Max DD | Trades | Win Rate |
| USD0 | -2.1% | +0.1% | -2.1% | 68 | 2% |
DCA vs Lump Sum (USD0)
Hypothetical result of a notional USD 12,000 placed one year ago under different timing schedules. Simulation only, not a recommendation.
| Strategy | Return | Value Today |
| Lump Sum (1y ago) | -0.0% | USD 12,004 |
| DCA — 4 buys | -0.0% | USD 11,999 |
| DCA — 6 buys | +0.0% | USD 12,001 |
| DCA — 12 buys | -0.0% | USD 11,999 |
Levels the system watches
Reference levels used by the trend model to classify USD0. They describe how the model reads the chart, not what anyone should do.
| Support (recent swing low) | USD 0.9973 |
| Resistance (recent swing high) | USD 0.9995 |
| Trend model’s invalidation level (ATR-based) | USD 0.9973 (-0.1% from current price) |
| ATR (14) | USD 0.000582 (0.06%/day) |
| Price location vs trend (model label) | Pullback |
The invalidation level is where the model would stop treating the current trend reading as valid (roughly 2x ATR below price or 0.5x ATR below the recent swing low, whichever is lower). It is a model parameter, not a stop-loss recommendation.
Backtest Trade Log
| Date | Action | Price | Simulated P&L |
| 2026-08-18 | BUY | USD 0.9990 | |
| 2026-08-20 | SELL | USD 0.9988 | -0.0% |
| 2026-08-24 | BUY | USD 0.9991 | |
| 2026-08-25 | SELL | USD 0.9989 | -0.0% |
| 2026-08-27 | BUY | USD 0.9999 | |
| 2026-09-01 | SELL | USD 0.9988 | -0.1% |
| 2026-09-22 | BUY | USD 0.9991 | |
| 2026-09-23 | SELL | USD 0.9989 | -0.0% |
| 2026-09-24 | BUY | USD 0.9992 | |
| 2026-09-28 | SELL | USD 0.9989 | -0.0% |
| 2026-10-21 | BUY | USD 0.9989 | |
| 2026-10-26 | SELL | USD 0.9988 | -0.0% |
Trend-following methodology: 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter + ADX regime gate · Backtests are hypothetical and exclude fees.
stage 4 downtrend on a dollar stablecoin, -0.8% off the peg and the model calls it bearish. elena the ai needs to chill lmao
^ its basically noise. ATR is 0.06% a day, the whole downtrend is a few basis points of spread wobble
stage 4 language on sub basis point moves is comedy. flag it bearish all month, then one redeem mints the peg back and the model flips bullish at 0.9995
the trade log is even worse, 68 trades and a 2 percent win rate finishing down 2.1 percent. churned basis points all month and called it a downtrend
68 trades to lose 2.1 percent on a coin pinned near a dollar, genuinely impressive inefficiency. the bot is the counterparty at this point
68 trades and a 2% win rate on the backtest, finishing -2.1%. Would look even worse after fees. Sometimes the best trade on a stablecoin is no trade.
the trade log says it all, buy 0.9990 sell 0.9988, repeat six times. thats churn not strategy
2 percent win rate is almost impressive, statistically worse than coin flips. just hold the peg spread and log off elena