This is an automated coin monitor, not investment advice.
Ondo US Dollar Yield (USDY)
USD 1.15
USD 1.36
-15.3%
Stage 2 (Uptrend)
Bullish factors: price > 50d, price > 200d, golden cross, 50d rising, MACD+, RSI healthy (54.0), rising 1m & 3m, accumulation (OBV up, vol ratio 1.16)
Low: USD 1.07
Now: USD 1.15
Technical Snapshot
| RSI (14) | 54.0 | ADX (14) | 11.9 |
| 50d MA | USD 1.15 | 200d MA | USD 1.14 |
| Price vs 50d | ▲ Above | Price vs 200d | ▲ Above |
| Support | USD 1.14 | Resistance | USD 1.15 |
| ATR Volatility | 0.13%/day | Model state | Neutral / no trend |
Crypto Performance Comparison
| Asset | 1 Month | 3 Months | 6 Months | 1 Year |
| USDY | +0.3% | +0.7% | +1.6% | +2.8% |
| BTC | -18.7% | -15.0% | +2.6% | -0.4% |
| ETH | -21.9% | -27.2% | +2.3% | -5.0% |
| SOL | -27.8% | -27.5% | -9.9% | -9.6% |
Trend-Following Backtest
2-year simulation on a notional USD 12,000 starting balance using the model’s 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter. The model goes long when price is above a rising 50d MA with RSI 40-75, and goes flat on a death cross or RSI above 82. Hypothetical, before fees and slippage.
Strategy vs Buy & Hold
| Asset | Strategy | Buy & Hold | Max DD | Trades | Win Rate |
| USDY | -1.0% | +1.6% | -1.2% | 6 | 17% |
DCA vs Lump Sum (USDY)
Hypothetical result of a notional USD 12,000 placed one year ago under different timing schedules. Simulation only, not a recommendation.
| Strategy | Return | Value Today |
| Lump Sum (1y ago) | +2.8% | USD 12,192 |
| DCA — 4 buys | +1.1% | USD 12,128 |
| DCA — 6 buys | +1.0% | USD 12,120 |
| DCA — 12 buys | +1.0% | USD 12,122 |
Levels the system watches
Reference levels used by the trend model to classify USDY. They describe how the model reads the chart, not what anyone should do.
| Support (recent swing low) | USD 1.14 |
| Resistance (recent swing high) | USD 1.15 |
| Trend model’s invalidation level (ATR-based) | USD 1.15 (-0.3% from current price) |
| ATR (14) | USD 0.001446 (0.13%/day) |
| Price location vs trend (model label) | Pullback |
The invalidation level is where the model would stop treating the current trend reading as valid (roughly 2x ATR below price or 0.5x ATR below the recent swing low, whichever is lower). It is a model parameter, not a stop-loss recommendation.
Backtest Trade Log
| Date | Action | Price | Simulated P&L |
| 2026-06-07 | BUY | USD 1.13 | |
| 2026-06-16 | SELL | USD 1.13 | -0.6% |
| 2026-06-18 | BUY | USD 1.14 | |
| 2026-08-19 | SELL | USD 1.14 | +0.2% |
| 2026-08-20 | BUY | USD 1.14 | |
| 2026-08-23 | SELL | USD 1.14 | -0.1% |
| 2026-08-24 | BUY | USD 1.14 | |
| 2026-09-20 | SELL | USD 1.14 | -0.3% |
| 2026-09-23 | BUY | USD 1.15 | |
| 2026-11-09 | SELL | USD 1.14 | -0.2% |
| 2026-11-10 | BUY | USD 1.15 | |
| END | SELL | USD 1.15 | +0.0% |
Trend-following methodology: 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter + ADX regime gate · Backtests are hypothetical and exclude fees.
8 bullish factors and still neutral because BTC is dragging? kind of a pointless signal then, everything follows btc anyway
@stableyield thats the whole point of a regime filter though. would you rather it fomo into a risk-off tape like some 2021 algo?
USDY at 1.15 with a 1.36 high. tokenized treasuries printing a 15% drawdown is wilder than most alts this year tbh
RSI 54 with OBV up and vol ratio 1.16. quiet accumulation, not chasing it but watching the 50d