Deep Dive Analysis
Wormhole (W)
2026-07-29 08:30 UTC · Marcus Reid · 30,000 Portfolio
PRICE
0.01
0.01
52W HIGH
0.41
0.41
DRAWDOWN
-97.9%
-97.9%
STAGE
Stage 4 (Downtrend)
Stage 4 (Downtrend)
🔴 AVOID — DO NOT DEPLOY
Trend-Following System · MEDIUM Conviction · 0 Bull / 8 Bear Factors
Bearish factors: price < 50d, price < 200d, death cross, 50d falling, RSI weak (37.1), falling 1m & 3m, far below high, distribution (OBV down, vol ratio 0.68)
W Price — 1 Year
1Y Ago: 0.05
Low: 0.01
Now: 0.01
Low: 0.01
Now: 0.01
Technical Snapshot
| RSI (14) | 37.1 | ADX (14) | 15.4 |
| 50d MA | 0.01 | 200d MA | 0.02 |
| Price vs 50d | ▼ Below | Price vs 200d | ▼ Below |
| Support | 0.01 | Resistance | 0.01 |
| ATR Volatility | 5.67%/day | Trend | SELL |
Crypto Performance Comparison
| Asset | 1 Month | 3 Months | 6 Months | 1 Year |
| W | -11.3% | -28.7% | -50.2% | -82.8% |
| BTC | +3.2% | -13.6% | -8.9% | -25.9% |
| ETH | +9.7% | -5.5% | -11.0% | -32.5% |
| SOL | -5.3% | -10.5% | -18.0% | -44.8% |
Trend-Following Backtest
2-year simulation of 30,000 using 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter. Buy when price > 50d MA (rising) + RSI 40-75. Sell on death cross or RSI > 82.
FINAL VALUE
21,441
RETURN
-28.5%
MAX DRAWDOWN
-43.0%
Strategy vs Buy & Hold
| Asset | Strategy | Buy & Hold | Max DD | Trades | Win Rate |
| W | -28.5% | -95.4% | -43.0% | 13 | 54% |
DCA vs Lump Sum (W)
If you had deployed 30,000 using different timing strategies over the past year.
| Strategy | Return | Value Today |
| Lump Sum (1y ago) | -82.8% | 3,138 |
| DCA — 4 buys | -69.9% | 9,032 |
| DCA — 6 buys | -67.9% | 9,623 |
| DCA — 12 buys | -63.4% | 10,970 |
W Deployment Plan — 30,000 Portfolio
Analysis by Marcus Reid (Long-term HODLer). If you’re managing a 30,000 crypto allocation, here’s the plan:
| Position size | 4,500 (15% of portfolio) |
| Stop loss | 0.01 (-11.4%) |
| Target 1 | 0.00 (-100.0%) |
| Target 2 | 0.00 (-100.0%) |
| Entry quality | Pullback |
| Max concurrent positions | 8 |
Cash reserve: keep 15% buffer. Deploy in 3 tranches. Portfolio style: Long-term HODLer.
Backtest Trade Log
| Date | Action | Price | P&L |
| 2025-05-27 | BUY | 0.10 | |
| 2025-05-28 | SELL | 0.10 | -1.2% |
| 2025-05-29 | BUY | 0.10 | |
| 2025-05-30 | SELL | 0.08 | -16.1% |
| 2025-09-11 | BUY | 0.10 | |
| 2025-09-12 | SELL | 0.09 | -1.0% |
| 2025-09-13 | BUY | 0.09 | |
| 2025-09-14 | SELL | 0.09 | -3.7% |
| 2025-09-16 | BUY | 0.09 | |
| 2025-09-17 | SELL | 0.10 | +11.1% |
| 2025-09-19 | BUY | 0.11 | |
| 2025-10-10 | SELL | 0.08 | -31.9% |
Generated by BitcoinsNews.com Coin Analysis Engine · 2026-07-29 08:30 UTC
Trend-following methodology: 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter + ADX regime gate
Data via Yahoo Finance / CoinGecko · Not financial advice. For educational purposes only.
Trend-following methodology: 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter + ADX regime gate
Data via Yahoo Finance / CoinGecko · Not financial advice. For educational purposes only.
-97.9% from high and still SELL? brutal but honest. wormhole had that $320M hack in 2022 and never recovered trust
0 bull factors out of 8. zero. OBV trending down, volume ratio 0.68. nobody is buying this and they shouldnt
wormhole at $0.01 is basically a penny stock at this point. RSI 37 and still falling, no floor in sight