Deep Dive Analysis
Worldcoin (WLD)
2026-08-11 16:00 UTC · Tomas Novak · 15,000 Portfolio
PRICE
0.33
0.33
52W HIGH
4.17
4.17
DRAWDOWN
-92.1%
-92.1%
STAGE
Stage 4 (Downtrend)
Stage 4 (Downtrend)
🔴 AVOID — DO NOT DEPLOY
Trend-Following System · HIGH Conviction · 2 Bull / 6 Bear Factors
Bullish factors: golden cross, MACD+
Bearish factors: price < 50d, price < 200d, 50d falling, falling 1m & 3m, far below high, distribution (OBV down, vol ratio 0.62)
WLD Price — 1 Year
1Y Ago: 0.64
Low: 0.23
Now: 0.33
Low: 0.23
Now: 0.33
Technical Snapshot
| RSI (14) | 46.2 | ADX (14) | 23.2 |
| 50d MA | 0.38 | 200d MA | 0.36 |
| Price vs 50d | ▼ Below | Price vs 200d | ▼ Below |
| Support | 0.29 | Resistance | 0.43 |
| ATR Volatility | 6.82%/day | Trend | SELL |
Crypto Performance Comparison
| Asset | 1 Month | 3 Months | 6 Months | 1 Year |
| WLD | -12.8% | -35.6% | +22.7% | -48.3% |
| BTC | -4.1% | +3.5% | -4.6% | -31.8% |
| ETH | -2.8% | +14.5% | -8.9% | -41.3% |
| SOL | -3.7% | +15.8% | -4.7% | -48.1% |
Trend-Following Backtest
2-year simulation of 15,000 using 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter. Buy when price > 50d MA (rising) + RSI 40-75. Sell on death cross or RSI > 82.
FINAL VALUE
28,214
RETURN
+88.1%
MAX DRAWDOWN
-36.7%
Strategy vs Buy & Hold
| Asset | Strategy | Buy & Hold | Max DD | Trades | Win Rate |
| WLD | +88.1% | -71.5% | -36.7% | 41 | 54% |
DCA vs Lump Sum (WLD)
If you had deployed 15,000 using different timing strategies over the past year.
| Strategy | Return | Value Today |
| Lump Sum (1y ago) | -48.3% | 4,661 |
| DCA — 4 buys | -29.2% | 10,626 |
| DCA — 6 buys | -34.4% | 9,836 |
| DCA — 12 buys | -32.6% | 10,104 |
WLD Deployment Plan — 15,000 Portfolio
Analysis by Tomas Novak (Momentum / Swing Trader). If you’re managing a 15,000 crypto allocation, here’s the plan:
| Position size | 3,750 (25% of portfolio) |
| Stop loss | 0.28 (-13.6%) |
| Target 1 | 0.00 (-100.0%) |
| Target 2 | 0.00 (-100.0%) |
| Entry quality | Pullback |
| Max concurrent positions | 4 |
Cash reserve: keep 25% buffer. Deploy in 2 tranches. Portfolio style: Momentum / Swing Trader.
Backtest Trade Log
| Date | Action | Price | P&L |
| 2026-06-16 | BUY | 0.67 | |
| 2026-06-17 | SELL | 0.66 | -2.0% |
| 2026-06-18 | BUY | 0.64 | |
| 2026-06-19 | SELL | 0.62 | -3.0% |
| 2026-06-20 | BUY | 0.61 | |
| 2026-06-21 | SELL | 0.60 | -0.8% |
| 2026-06-22 | BUY | 0.62 | |
| 2026-06-23 | SELL | 0.54 | -12.1% |
| 2026-06-24 | BUY | 0.53 | |
| 2026-06-29 | SELL | 0.42 | -20.7% |
| 2026-07-03 | BUY | 0.43 | |
| 2026-07-04 | SELL | 0.43 | -1.9% |
Generated by BitcoinsNews.com Coin Analysis Engine · 2026-08-11 16:00 UTC
Trend-following methodology: 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter + ADX regime gate
Data via Yahoo Finance / CoinGecko · Not financial advice. For educational purposes only.
Trend-following methodology: 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter + ADX regime gate
Data via Yahoo Finance / CoinGecko · Not financial advice. For educational purposes only.
scanning eyeballs in developing countries for a token worth 33 cents is dystopian no matter how you frame adoption
DCA 4 buys only lost 29% vs 48% lump sum. wish i had seen this before going all in on WLD at $2
92% drawdown from $4.17 and still SELL signal. some coins just dont come back
the strategy made +88% while buy and hold is -71%. thats actually insane for a trend following system on a -92% coin
scanning eyeballs for tokens worth 33 cents. what a time to be alive
bro the world app literally pays you to scan your face for a token worth 33 cents. the future is now
scanning irises in developing nations for 33 cents per token. the dystopia writes itself
golden cross AND macd bullish but everything else says avoid. classic trap setup
DCA 4 buys only lost 29% vs 48% lump sum. wish i had seen this before going all in on WLD at $2
Amara making the DCA point is fair but even the 4-buy DCA lost 29%. the system is telling you the best strategy is still losing money
scanning retinas for 33 cents per session in developing countries is dystopian no matter how you frame adoption. WLD going to zero would be justice