This is an automated coin monitor, not investment advice.
LayerZero (ZRO)
USD 1.50
USD 2.30
-34.8%
Stage 1 (Bottoming)
Bullish factors: price > 200d, golden cross, 50d rising
Bearish factors: price < 50d, MACD-, RSI weak (40.8), far below high
Low: USD 0.7150
Now: USD 1.50
Technical Snapshot
| RSI (14) | 40.8 | ADX (14) | 14.5 |
| 50d MA | USD 1.79 | 200d MA | USD 1.23 |
| Price vs 50d | ▼ Below | Price vs 200d | ▲ Above |
| Support | USD 1.48 | Resistance | USD 2.09 |
| ATR Volatility | 5.7%/day | Model state | Neutral / no trend |
Crypto Performance Comparison
| Asset | 1 Month | 3 Months | 6 Months | 1 Year |
| ZRO | -25.5% | +32.4% | +69.2% | -23.5% |
| BTC | -11.5% | -6.4% | +19.4% | +1.0% |
| ETH | -16.9% | -18.1% | +19.8% | -4.3% |
| SOL | -22.7% | -20.3% | +2.1% | -9.4% |
Trend-Following Backtest
2-year simulation on a notional USD 35,000 starting balance using the model’s 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter. The model goes long when price is above a rising 50d MA with RSI 40-75, and goes flat on a death cross or RSI above 82. Hypothetical, before fees and slippage.
Strategy vs Buy & Hold
| Asset | Strategy | Buy & Hold | Max DD | Trades | Win Rate |
| ZRO | +64.8% | +33.9% | -32.8% | 23 | 61% |
DCA vs Lump Sum (ZRO)
Hypothetical result of a notional USD 35,000 placed one year ago under different timing schedules. Simulation only, not a recommendation.
| Strategy | Return | Value Today |
| Lump Sum (1y ago) | -23.5% | USD 46,860 |
| DCA — 4 buys | +41.0% | USD 49,361 |
| DCA — 6 buys | +52.8% | USD 53,471 |
| DCA — 12 buys | +46.5% | USD 51,287 |
Levels the system watches
Reference levels used by the trend model to classify ZRO. They describe how the model reads the chart, not what anyone should do.
| Support (recent swing low) | USD 1.48 |
| Resistance (recent swing high) | USD 2.09 |
| Trend model’s invalidation level (ATR-based) | USD 1.33 (-11.4% from current price) |
| ATR (14) | USD 0.0854 (5.7%/day) |
| Price location vs trend (model label) | Pullback |
The invalidation level is where the model would stop treating the current trend reading as valid (roughly 2x ATR below price or 0.5x ATR below the recent swing low, whichever is lower). It is a model parameter, not a stop-loss recommendation.
Backtest Trade Log
| Date | Action | Price | Simulated P&L |
| 2026-09-25 | BUY | USD 1.44 | |
| 2026-09-26 | SELL | USD 1.62 | +12.8% |
| 2026-09-29 | BUY | USD 1.56 | |
| 2026-09-30 | SELL | USD 1.67 | +6.9% |
| 2026-10-01 | BUY | USD 1.74 | |
| 2026-10-02 | SELL | USD 1.80 | +3.7% |
| 2026-10-03 | BUY | USD 1.75 | |
| 2026-10-04 | SELL | USD 1.99 | +14.2% |
| 2026-10-09 | BUY | USD 1.96 | |
| 2026-10-30 | SELL | USD 1.52 | -22.3% |
| 2026-10-31 | BUY | USD 1.71 | |
| 2026-11-06 | SELL | USD 1.59 | -7.0% |
Trend-following methodology: 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter + ADX regime gate · Backtests are hypothetical and exclude fees.
zro at 1.50 with RSI 40.8, model says no trend and honestly that tracks. been chopping for weeks
Watching the 1.48 support more than anything. Below the 50d at 1.79 but above the 200d, classic no man’s land until one breaks.
that 1.48 has held like three separate wicks already, if it finally goes im not catching the knife. RSI 40.8 tells you nothing either way