This is an automated coin monitor, not investment advice.
Hyperliquid (HYPE)
USD 85.32
USD 97.19
-12.2%
Stage 1 (Bottoming)
Bullish factors: price > 200d, golden cross, 50d rising, MACD+, RSI healthy (53.6), rising 1m & 3m, accumulation (OBV up, vol ratio 1.29)
Bearish factors: price < 50d, vol 1.37x on down day
Low: USD 21.09
Now: USD 85.32
Technical Snapshot
| RSI (14) | 53.6 | ADX (14) | 15.6 |
| 50d MA | USD 85.80 | 200d MA | USD 67.42 |
| Price vs 50d | ▼ Below | Price vs 200d | ▲ Above |
| Support | USD 76.25 | Resistance | USD 91.91 |
| ATR Volatility | 2.12%/day | Model state | Neutral / no trend |
Crypto Performance Comparison
| Asset | 1 Month | 3 Months | 6 Months | 1 Year |
| HYPE | +5.6% | +4.2% | +32.7% | +202.5% |
| BTC | -1.5% | +3.9% | +33.8% | +19.1% |
| ETH | +0.3% | +1.5% | +53.9% | +19.7% |
| SOL | -7.0% | -3.5% | +34.8% | +12.7% |
Trend-Following Backtest
2-year simulation on a notional USD 12,000 starting balance using the model’s 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter. The model goes long when price is above a rising 50d MA with RSI 40-75, and goes flat on a death cross or RSI above 82. Hypothetical, before fees and slippage.
Strategy vs Buy & Hold
| Asset | Strategy | Buy & Hold | Max DD | Trades | Win Rate |
| HYPE | +8.5% | +45.4% | -28.5% | 5 | 40% |
DCA vs Lump Sum (HYPE)
Hypothetical result of a notional USD 12,000 placed one year ago under different timing schedules. Simulation only, not a recommendation.
| Strategy | Return | Value Today |
| Lump Sum (1y ago) | +202.5% | USD 17,451 |
| DCA — 4 buys | +26.4% | USD 15,165 |
| DCA — 6 buys | +25.1% | USD 15,010 |
| DCA — 12 buys | +24.8% | USD 14,982 |
Levels the system watches
Reference levels used by the trend model to classify HYPE. They describe how the model reads the chart, not what anyone should do.
| Support (recent swing low) | USD 76.25 |
| Resistance (recent swing high) | USD 91.91 |
| Trend model’s invalidation level (ATR-based) | USD 80.77 (-5.3% from current price) |
| ATR (14) | USD 1.81 (2.12%/day) |
| Price location vs trend (model label) | Midrange |
The invalidation level is where the model would stop treating the current trend reading as valid (roughly 2x ATR below price or 0.5x ATR below the recent swing low, whichever is lower). It is a model parameter, not a stop-loss recommendation.
Backtest Trade Log
| Date | Action | Price | Simulated P&L |
| 2026-05-28 | BUY | USD 57.82 | |
| 2026-07-14 | SELL | USD 63.44 | +9.7% |
| 2026-07-15 | BUY | USD 65.48 | |
| 2026-07-17 | SELL | USD 60.69 | -7.3% |
| 2026-08-20 | BUY | USD 69.60 | |
| 2026-10-09 | SELL | USD 84.16 | +20.9% |
| 2026-10-12 | BUY | USD 86.62 | |
| 2026-10-13 | SELL | USD 80.97 | -6.5% |
| 2026-10-30 | BUY | USD 88.91 | |
| 2026-11-03 | SELL | USD 83.97 | -5.5% |
Trend-following methodology: 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter + ADX regime gate · Backtests are hypothetical and exclude fees.
7 bullish factors vs 2 bearish and the model still says neutral lmao. thats kinda the whole point of a regime gate tho, ADX must be flat
Holding above the 200d with RSI at 53.6 is fine, but I want to see a daily close over 91.91 before trusting anything. Resistance has rejected this range three times already.
^ accumulation read on OBV with vol ratio 1.29 is the one bullish bit id actually trust here. rest is just trend-following lag