This is an automated coin monitor, not investment advice.
Zcash (ZEC)
USD 1,308.14
USD 1,683.55
-22.3%
Stage 1 (Bottoming)
Bullish factors: price > 200d, golden cross, 50d rising, MACD bull cross, RSI healthy (54.7), rising 1m & 3m, vol 1.41x on up day
Bearish factors: price < 50d
Low: USD 26.14
Now: USD 1,308.14
Technical Snapshot
| RSI (14) | 54.7 | ADX (14) | 14.3 |
| 50d MA | USD 1,320.01 | 200d MA | USD 755.63 |
| Price vs 50d | ▼ Below | Price vs 200d | ▲ Above |
| Support | USD 1,050.92 | Resistance | USD 1,390.88 |
| ATR Volatility | 8.23%/day | Model state | Neutral / no trend |
Crypto Performance Comparison
| Asset | 1 Month | 3 Months | 6 Months | 1 Year |
| ZEC | +14.2% | +60.7% | +212.8% | +448.8% |
| BTC | -1.5% | +3.9% | +33.8% | +19.1% |
| ETH | +0.3% | +1.5% | +53.9% | +19.7% |
| SOL | -7.0% | -3.5% | +34.8% | +12.7% |
Trend-Following Backtest
2-year simulation on a notional USD 30,000 starting balance using the model’s 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter. The model goes long when price is above a rising 50d MA with RSI 40-75, and goes flat on a death cross or RSI above 82. Hypothetical, before fees and slippage.
Strategy vs Buy & Hold
| Asset | Strategy | Buy & Hold | Max DD | Trades | Win Rate |
| ZEC | +1320.7% | +2696.6% | -56.7% | 43 | 51% |
DCA vs Lump Sum (ZEC)
Hypothetical result of a notional USD 30,000 placed one year ago under different timing schedules. Simulation only, not a recommendation.
| Strategy | Return | Value Today |
| Lump Sum (1y ago) | +448.8% | USD 82,161 |
| DCA — 4 buys | +221.5% | USD 96,447 |
| DCA — 6 buys | +210.3% | USD 93,087 |
| DCA — 12 buys | +217.3% | USD 95,184 |
Levels the system watches
Reference levels used by the trend model to classify ZEC. They describe how the model reads the chart, not what anyone should do.
| Support (recent swing low) | USD 1,050.92 |
| Resistance (recent swing high) | USD 1,390.88 |
| Trend model’s invalidation level (ATR-based) | USD 1,092.79 (-16.5% from current price) |
| ATR (14) | USD 107.67 (8.23%/day) |
| Price location vs trend (model label) | Pullback |
The invalidation level is where the model would stop treating the current trend reading as valid (roughly 2x ATR below price or 0.5x ATR below the recent swing low, whichever is lower). It is a model parameter, not a stop-loss recommendation.
Backtest Trade Log
| Date | Action | Price | Simulated P&L |
| 2026-08-12 | BUY | USD 489.77 | |
| 2026-08-15 | SELL | USD 487.45 | -0.5% |
| 2026-08-17 | BUY | USD 514.27 | |
| 2026-08-21 | SELL | USD 732.77 | +42.5% |
| 2026-08-25 | BUY | USD 767.95 | |
| 2026-09-06 | SELL | USD 1,228.03 | +59.9% |
| 2026-09-10 | BUY | USD 1,078.02 | |
| 2026-10-12 | SELL | USD 1,166.99 | +8.3% |
| 2026-10-21 | BUY | USD 1,311.60 | |
| 2026-10-22 | SELL | USD 1,217.77 | -7.2% |
| 2026-10-27 | BUY | USD 1,309.74 | |
| 2026-10-29 | SELL | USD 1,220.88 | -6.8% |
Trend-following methodology: 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter + ADX regime gate · Backtests are hypothetical and exclude fees.
+448% in a year, from $238 to $1,308, and the tag is still neutral. make it make sense
^ because its 22% off the high and sitting under the 50d at $1,320. the model follows, it does not predict
7 bullish factors out of 8 and the model still prints no trend. The label lags badly here.
ATR of 8.23% a day on a coin this old is wild. invalidation sits at $1,050, size accordingly