This is an automated coin monitor, not investment advice.
Figure Heloc (FIGR_HELOC)
USD 1.03
USD 1.08
-4.3%
Stage 1 (Bottoming)
Bullish factors: price > 200d, golden cross, 50d rising, within 10% of high, vol 4.25x on up day
Bearish factors: price < 50d, MACD bear cross, distribution (OBV down, vol ratio 0.42)
Low: USD 1.00
Now: USD 1.03
Technical Snapshot
| RSI (14) | 49.7 | ADX (14) | 3.8 |
| 50d MA | USD 1.03 | 200d MA | USD 1.03 |
| Price vs 50d | ▼ Below | Price vs 200d | ▲ Above |
| Support | USD 1.00 | Resistance | USD 1.06 |
| ATR Volatility | 1.69%/day | Model state | Neutral / no trend |
Crypto Performance Comparison
| Asset | 1 Month | 3 Months | 6 Months | 1 Year |
| FIGR_HELOC | -0.9% | +2.8% | +1.4% | -0.9% |
| BTC | -1.5% | +3.9% | +33.8% | +19.1% |
| ETH | +0.3% | +1.5% | +53.9% | +19.7% |
| SOL | -7.0% | -3.5% | +34.8% | +12.7% |
Trend-Following Backtest
2-year simulation on a notional USD 35,000 starting balance using the model’s 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter. The model goes long when price is above a rising 50d MA with RSI 40-75, and goes flat on a death cross or RSI above 82. Hypothetical, before fees and slippage.
Strategy vs Buy & Hold
| Asset | Strategy | Buy & Hold | Max DD | Trades | Win Rate |
| FIGR_HELOC | -43.1% | -0.6% | -43.1% | 33 | 21% |
DCA vs Lump Sum (FIGR_HELOC)
Hypothetical result of a notional USD 35,000 placed one year ago under different timing schedules. Simulation only, not a recommendation.
| Strategy | Return | Value Today |
| Lump Sum (1y ago) | -0.9% | USD 34,792 |
| DCA — 4 buys | +0.6% | USD 35,198 |
| DCA — 6 buys | +0.6% | USD 35,198 |
| DCA — 12 buys | +0.3% | USD 35,108 |
Levels the system watches
Reference levels used by the trend model to classify FIGR_HELOC. They describe how the model reads the chart, not what anyone should do.
| Support (recent swing low) | USD 1.00 |
| Resistance (recent swing high) | USD 1.06 |
| Trend model’s invalidation level (ATR-based) | USD 0.9947 (-3.4% from current price) |
| ATR (14) | USD 0.0174 (1.69%/day) |
| Price location vs trend (model label) | Pullback |
The invalidation level is where the model would stop treating the current trend reading as valid (roughly 2x ATR below price or 0.5x ATR below the recent swing low, whichever is lower). It is a model parameter, not a stop-loss recommendation.
Backtest Trade Log
| Date | Action | Price | Simulated P&L |
| 2026-10-13 | BUY | USD 1.06 | |
| 2026-10-14 | SELL | USD 1.03 | -3.6% |
| 2026-10-15 | BUY | USD 1.04 | |
| 2026-10-18 | SELL | USD 1.02 | -1.6% |
| 2026-10-22 | BUY | USD 1.03 | |
| 2026-10-24 | SELL | USD 1.02 | -0.8% |
| 2026-10-25 | BUY | USD 1.06 | |
| 2026-10-26 | SELL | USD 1.00 | -5.8% |
| 2026-10-27 | BUY | USD 1.04 | |
| 2026-11-02 | SELL | USD 1.02 | -1.6% |
| 2026-11-03 | BUY | USD 1.03 | |
| 2026-11-04 | SELL | USD 1.03 | -0.3% |
Trend-following methodology: 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter + ADX regime gate · Backtests are hypothetical and exclude fees.
ADX 3.8 lol. this chart is a flatline with a coupon, just respect the $1.00 to $1.06 range i guess
^ been selling $1.05 and buying $1.01 for weeks now. vol ratio 0.42 means nobody is home
A 4.25x volume day and the price still closed below the 50d MA at $1.03. Someone is unloading into strength.
model says neutral but the MACD bear cross plus OBV down smells like quiet distribution. hard pass for me