This is an automated coin monitor, not investment advice.
Jupiter (JUP)
USD 0.2530
USD 0.3747
-32.5%
Stage 1 (Bottoming)
Bullish factors: price > 200d, golden cross, MACD bull cross, vol 1.28x on up day
Bearish factors: price < 50d, 50d falling, RSI weak (43.7), far below high, distribution (OBV down, vol ratio 0.73)
Low: USD 0.1418
Now: USD 0.2530
Technical Snapshot
| RSI (14) | 43.7 | ADX (14) | 20.4 |
| 50d MA | USD 0.3021 | 200d MA | USD 0.2289 |
| Price vs 50d | ▼ Below | Price vs 200d | ▲ Above |
| Support | USD 0.2317 | Resistance | USD 0.3317 |
| ATR Volatility | 4.0%/day | Model state | Neutral / no trend |
Crypto Performance Comparison
| Asset | 1 Month | 3 Months | 6 Months | 1 Year |
| JUP | -19.5% | +5.1% | +3.9% | +26.0% |
| BTC | -10.4% | -5.2% | +20.9% | +2.3% |
| ETH | -14.1% | -15.4% | +23.8% | -1.2% |
| SOL | -19.9% | -17.5% | +5.7% | -6.1% |
Trend-Following Backtest
2-year simulation on a notional USD 30,000 starting balance using the model’s 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter. The model goes long when price is above a rising 50d MA with RSI 40-75, and goes flat on a death cross or RSI above 82. Hypothetical, before fees and slippage.
Strategy vs Buy & Hold
| Asset | Strategy | Buy & Hold | Max DD | Trades | Win Rate |
| JUP | +8.7% | +35.4% | -25.1% | 4 | 25% |
DCA vs Lump Sum (JUP)
Hypothetical result of a notional USD 30,000 placed one year ago under different timing schedules. Simulation only, not a recommendation.
| Strategy | Return | Value Today |
| Lump Sum (1y ago) | +26.0% | USD 40,629 |
| DCA — 4 buys | +17.6% | USD 35,278 |
| DCA — 6 buys | +18.1% | USD 35,429 |
| DCA — 12 buys | +16.4% | USD 34,918 |
Levels the system watches
Reference levels used by the trend model to classify JUP. They describe how the model reads the chart, not what anyone should do.
| Support (recent swing low) | USD 0.2317 |
| Resistance (recent swing high) | USD 0.3317 |
| Trend model’s invalidation level (ATR-based) | USD 0.2328 (-8.0% from current price) |
| ATR (14) | USD 0.0101 (4.0%/day) |
| Price location vs trend (model label) | Pullback |
The invalidation level is where the model would stop treating the current trend reading as valid (roughly 2x ATR below price or 0.5x ATR below the recent swing low, whichever is lower). It is a model parameter, not a stop-loss recommendation.
Backtest Trade Log
| Date | Action | Price | Simulated P&L |
| 2026-06-04 | BUY | USD 0.1998 | |
| 2026-06-05 | SELL | USD 0.1815 | -9.1% |
| 2026-06-19 | BUY | USD 0.1952 | |
| 2026-06-20 | SELL | USD 0.1909 | -2.2% |
| 2026-06-21 | BUY | USD 0.2104 | |
| 2026-07-17 | SELL | USD 0.1966 | -6.5% |
| 2026-08-29 | BUY | USD 0.2210 | |
| 2026-10-25 | SELL | USD 0.2892 | +30.9% |
Trend-following methodology: 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter + ADX regime gate · Backtests are hypothetical and exclude fees.
jup sitting at 0.2530 while the rest of my watchlist bleeds, ill take it
0.2530 with the 52w high at 0.3747, so a 32% discount, and the monitor calls it neutral. bold nothing-burger
^ neutral is the safe tag so nobody can complain later. perps volume is the real tell here anyway
been dca-ing jup since 0.19, first time the 0.25 print makes my ledger look sane