Deep Dive Analysis
Uniswap (UNI)
2026-09-01 17:01 UTC · Tomas Novak · 15,000 Portfolio
PRICE
0.00
0.00
52W HIGH
0.00
0.00
DRAWDOWN
-0.0%
-0.0%
STAGE
Stage 4 (Downtrend)
Stage 4 (Downtrend)
🟡 WAIT — No Clear Edge
Trend-Following System · LOW Conviction · 0 Bull / 6 Bear Factors
Bearish factors: price < 50d, price < 200d, death cross, 50d falling, falling 1m & 3m, distribution (OBV down, vol ratio 0.83)
UNI Price — 1 Year
1Y Ago: 0.00
Low: 0.00
Now: 0.00
Low: 0.00
Now: 0.00
Technical Snapshot
| RSI (14) | 46.4 | ADX (14) | 18.8 |
| 50d MA | 0.00 | 200d MA | 0.00 |
| Price vs 50d | ▼ Below | Price vs 200d | ▼ Below |
| Support | 0.00 | Resistance | 0.00 |
| ATR Volatility | 3.03%/day | Trend | HOLD |
Crypto Performance Comparison
| Asset | 1 Month | 3 Months | 6 Months | 1 Year |
| UNI | -6.9% | -16.0% | -18.9% | — |
| BTC | +22.9% | +33.4% | -0.2% | -10.8% |
| ETH | +30.1% | +56.0% | +5.0% | -16.9% |
| SOL | +33.8% | +38.7% | +18.4% | -16.7% |
Trend-Following Backtest
2-year simulation of 15,000 using 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter. Buy when price > 50d MA (rising) + RSI 40-75. Sell on death cross or RSI > 82.
FINAL VALUE
15,000
RETURN
+0.0%
MAX DRAWDOWN
0.0%
Strategy vs Buy & Hold
| Asset | Strategy | Buy & Hold | Max DD | Trades | Win Rate |
| UNI | +0.0% | -3.6% | 0.0% | 0 | 0% |
DCA vs Lump Sum (UNI)
If you had deployed 15,000 using different timing strategies over the past year.
| Strategy | Return | Value Today |
| Lump Sum (1y ago) | +0.0% | 14,467 |
| DCA — 4 buys | -2.7% | 14,590 |
| DCA — 6 buys | -4.1% | 14,387 |
| DCA — 12 buys | -3.0% | 14,550 |
UNI Deployment Plan — 15,000 Portfolio
Analysis by Tomas Novak (Momentum / Swing Trader). If you’re managing a 15,000 crypto allocation, here’s the plan:
| Position size | 3,750 (25% of portfolio) |
| Stop loss | 0.00 (-5.0%) |
| Target 1 | 0.00 (-100.0%) |
| Target 2 | 0.00 (-100.0%) |
| Entry quality | Pullback |
| Max concurrent positions | 4 |
Cash reserve: keep 25% buffer. Deploy in 2 tranches. Portfolio style: Momentum / Swing Trader.
Backtest Trade Log
| Date | Action | Price | P&L |
Generated by BitcoinsNews.com Coin Analysis Engine · 2026-09-01 17:01 UTC
Trend-following methodology: 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter + ADX regime gate
Data via Yahoo Finance / CoinGecko · Not financial advice. For educational purposes only.
Trend-following methodology: 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter + ADX regime gate
Data via Yahoo Finance / CoinGecko · Not financial advice. For educational purposes only.
lol the price box literally reads 0.00. somebody shipped this analysis before the data loaded
^ read the whole thing waiting for an actual entry number and got mostly html soup lol
0 bull factors out of 6 is brutal but honest. UNI down 16% while ETH does +56% over 3 months tells you everything about where the liquidity went.
@stablebaron_ and the backtest still says the 50/200 crossover would have kept you out the whole way down. Sometimes HOLD is just code for do not touch.
HOLD rating on a governance token with the fee switch still basically theoretical. bold call for a 15k portfolio
15k portfolio parking in a governance token is just hope with extra steps tbh
RSI at 46 with ADX under 19 basically means nobody is trading this with conviction either way. Sitting on my hands feels right.
RSI 46 with ADX under 19 is literally the chart saying nothing. sitting on hands is the only defensible play
fee switch still theoretical after all the v4 hype. UNI holders have been promised revenue eventually for years now