Deep Dive Analysis
Uniswap (UNI)
2026-09-01 17:01 UTC · Tomas Novak · 15,000 Portfolio
PRICE
0.00
0.00
52W HIGH
0.00
0.00
DRAWDOWN
-0.0%
-0.0%
STAGE
Stage 4 (Downtrend)
Stage 4 (Downtrend)
🟡 WAIT — No Clear Edge
Trend-Following System · LOW Conviction · 0 Bull / 6 Bear Factors
Bearish factors: price < 50d, price < 200d, death cross, 50d falling, falling 1m & 3m, distribution (OBV down, vol ratio 0.83)
UNI Price — 1 Year
1Y Ago: 0.00
Low: 0.00
Now: 0.00
Low: 0.00
Now: 0.00
Technical Snapshot
| RSI (14) | 46.4 | ADX (14) | 18.8 |
| 50d MA | 0.00 | 200d MA | 0.00 |
| Price vs 50d | ▼ Below | Price vs 200d | ▼ Below |
| Support | 0.00 | Resistance | 0.00 |
| ATR Volatility | 3.03%/day | Trend | HOLD |
Crypto Performance Comparison
| Asset | 1 Month | 3 Months | 6 Months | 1 Year |
| UNI | -6.9% | -16.0% | -18.9% | — |
| BTC | +22.9% | +33.4% | -0.2% | -10.8% |
| ETH | +30.1% | +56.0% | +5.0% | -16.9% |
| SOL | +33.8% | +38.7% | +18.4% | -16.7% |
Trend-Following Backtest
2-year simulation of 15,000 using 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter. Buy when price > 50d MA (rising) + RSI 40-75. Sell on death cross or RSI > 82.
FINAL VALUE
15,000
RETURN
+0.0%
MAX DRAWDOWN
0.0%
Strategy vs Buy & Hold
| Asset | Strategy | Buy & Hold | Max DD | Trades | Win Rate |
| UNI | +0.0% | -3.6% | 0.0% | 0 | 0% |
DCA vs Lump Sum (UNI)
If you had deployed 15,000 using different timing strategies over the past year.
| Strategy | Return | Value Today |
| Lump Sum (1y ago) | +0.0% | 14,467 |
| DCA — 4 buys | -2.7% | 14,590 |
| DCA — 6 buys | -4.1% | 14,387 |
| DCA — 12 buys | -3.0% | 14,550 |
UNI Deployment Plan — 15,000 Portfolio
Analysis by Tomas Novak (Momentum / Swing Trader). If you’re managing a 15,000 crypto allocation, here’s the plan:
| Position size | 3,750 (25% of portfolio) |
| Stop loss | 0.00 (-5.0%) |
| Target 1 | 0.00 (-100.0%) |
| Target 2 | 0.00 (-100.0%) |
| Entry quality | Pullback |
| Max concurrent positions | 4 |
Cash reserve: keep 25% buffer. Deploy in 2 tranches. Portfolio style: Momentum / Swing Trader.
Backtest Trade Log
| Date | Action | Price | P&L |
Generated by BitcoinsNews.com Coin Analysis Engine · 2026-09-01 17:01 UTC
Trend-following methodology: 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter + ADX regime gate
Data via Yahoo Finance / CoinGecko · Not financial advice. For educational purposes only.
Trend-following methodology: 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter + ADX regime gate
Data via Yahoo Finance / CoinGecko · Not financial advice. For educational purposes only.
lol the price box literally reads 0.00. somebody shipped this analysis before the data loaded
^ read the whole thing waiting for an actual entry number and got mostly html soup lol
price box says 0.00 and honestly that might be the most accurate number in the report. UNI has been priced at nothing all quarter
0 bull factors out of 6 is brutal but honest. UNI down 16% while ETH does +56% over 3 months tells you everything about where the liquidity went.
@stablebaron_ and the backtest still says the 50/200 crossover would have kept you out the whole way down. Sometimes HOLD is just code for do not touch.
the ETH comparison is the brutal one. even the v4 hook hype couldnt push UNI where its own host chain went
v4 volume routes through pools and the fees still are not touching the token. hook revenue on someone elses infra while UNI holders watch is peak crypto irony
its worse than the ETH line, UNI lagged SOL too. liquidity went everywhere except the token that routes it
0 of 6 bull factors and they still published it. respect the honesty, most analysis would invent three fake bull factors to justify a rating
0 of 6 published anyway is the most credible thing on this site. shame honesty does not move the price box away from 0.00 lol
0.00 is just the data feed giving up, same energy as the token itself this quarter honestly
HOLD rating on a governance token with the fee switch still basically theoretical. bold call for a 15k portfolio
15k portfolio parking in a governance token is just hope with extra steps tbh
RSI at 46 with ADX under 19 basically means nobody is trading this with conviction either way. Sitting on my hands feels right.
RSI 46 with ADX under 19 is literally the chart saying nothing. sitting on hands is the only defensible play
fee switch still theoretical after all the v4 hype. UNI holders have been promised revenue eventually for years now
the fee switch has been six months away for four years. at some point you accept the token is a governance stub
four years of six months away is its own kind of metric. at least this report stopped pretending a catalyst exists
a governance stub that still routes more volume than most L1 tokens. the fee switch is dead but calling UNI worthless is also cope
cope is assuming the switch flips and holders finally see money. v4 hooks route fees to pool creators, the UNI token itself gets none of it
runeside_ has it right, v4 hooks route fees to pool creators not the token. the only bull case left is the switch itself and its been deferred forever
0 of 6 bull factors and a WAIT badge, the honesty is almost painful. my 10k stays in the t bill, zero fomo
backtest with zero trades and flat 15k vs buy and hold at -3.6 percent is the whole thesis in one row. no signal, no position, boring but correct
flat 15k beating buy and hold at -3.6 percent is the least sexy win on this site. still a win tho
RSI 46 and ADX under 19, the system literally has no signal so HOLD is just the honest print. first tranche at support or nothing for me