Deep Dive Analysis
JUST (JST)
2026-09-21 10:30 UTC · Aisha Okonkwo · 10,000 Portfolio
PRICE
0.11
0.11
52W HIGH
0.12
0.12
DRAWDOWN
-6.2%
-6.2%
STAGE
Stage 2 (Uptrend)
Stage 2 (Uptrend)
🟡 WAIT — No Clear Edge
Trend-Following System · MEDIUM Conviction · 9 Bull / 1 Bear Factors
Bullish factors: price > 50d, price > 200d, golden cross, 50d rising, MACD+, RSI healthy (54.2), rising 1m & 3m, within 10% of high, accumulation (OBV up, vol ratio 1.2)
Bearish factors: vol 1.37x on down day
JST Price — 1 Year
1Y Ago: 0.04
Low: 0.03
Now: 0.11
Low: 0.03
Now: 0.11
Technical Snapshot
| RSI (14) | 54.2 | ADX (14) | 15.4 |
| 50d MA | 0.11 | 200d MA | 0.09 |
| Price vs 50d | ▲ Above | Price vs 200d | ▲ Above |
| Support | 0.09 | Resistance | 0.12 |
| ATR Volatility | 3.58%/day | Trend | HOLD |
Crypto Performance Comparison
| Asset | 1 Month | 3 Months | 6 Months | 1 Year |
| JST | +11.8% | +9.2% | +22.1% | +179.2% |
| BTC | +4.7% | +26.1% | +3.7% | -13.7% |
| ETH | +8.7% | +40.8% | +18.7% | -19.3% |
| SOL | +10.1% | +45.8% | +24.5% | -22.0% |
Trend-Following Backtest
2-year simulation of 10,000 using 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter. Buy when price > 50d MA (rising) + RSI 40-75. Sell on death cross or RSI > 82.
FINAL VALUE
18,337
RETURN
+83.4%
MAX DRAWDOWN
-37.5%
Strategy vs Buy & Hold
| Asset | Strategy | Buy & Hold | Max DD | Trades | Win Rate |
| JST | +83.4% | +269.2% | -37.5% | 49 | 47% |
DCA vs Lump Sum (JST)
If you had deployed 10,000 using different timing strategies over the past year.
| Strategy | Return | Value Today |
| Lump Sum (1y ago) | +179.2% | 33,351 |
| DCA — 4 buys | +131.4% | 23,141 |
| DCA — 6 buys | +119.4% | 21,936 |
| DCA — 12 buys | +115.6% | 21,562 |
JST Deployment Plan — 10,000 Portfolio
Analysis by Aisha Okonkwo (Yield / Staking Focused). If you’re managing a 10,000 crypto allocation, here’s the plan:
| Position size | 2,500 (25% of portfolio) |
| Stop loss | 0.10 (-7.2%) |
| Target 1 | 0.00 (-100.0%) |
| Target 2 | 0.00 (-100.0%) |
| Entry quality | Pullback |
| Max concurrent positions | 4 |
Cash reserve: keep 25% buffer. Deploy in 2 tranches. Portfolio style: Yield / Staking Focused.
Backtest Trade Log
| Date | Action | Price | P&L |
| 2026-01-21 | BUY | 0.04 | |
| 2026-01-27 | SELL | 0.04 | -9.8% |
| 2026-01-28 | BUY | 0.04 | |
| 2026-02-03 | SELL | 0.04 | -8.5% |
| 2026-02-07 | BUY | 0.04 | |
| 2026-02-12 | SELL | 0.04 | -3.2% |
| 2026-02-16 | BUY | 0.04 | |
| 2026-06-03 | SELL | 0.07 | +71.7% |
| 2026-06-28 | BUY | 0.09 | |
| 2026-08-24 | SELL | 0.10 | +13.9% |
| 2026-09-01 | BUY | 0.10 | |
| END | SELL | 0.11 | +8.7% |
Generated by BitcoinsNews.com Coin Analysis Engine · 2026-09-21 10:30 UTC
Trend-following methodology: 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter + ADX regime gate
Data via Yahoo Finance / CoinGecko · Not financial advice. For educational purposes only.
Trend-following methodology: 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter + ADX regime gate
Data via Yahoo Finance / CoinGecko · Not financial advice. For educational purposes only.
JST up 179% on the year and the system still says WAIT because one down day had 1.37x volume. rules are rules i guess lol
and thats exactly why the backtest only made 83% while buy and hold did 269. the filter keeps you safe but it also keeps you poor sometimes
83 vs 269 is the price of not eating a 0.08 to 0.01 roundtrip. ill pay that insurance fee happily
one red day at 1.37x volume delaying a plus 179 percent year, peak mechanical trading comedy
whoever ran that trade log owes me a new keyboard. three buys at 0.08 that each dumped to 0.01 within 24h, then the whole thing still prints +83%? system has nerves of steel, i dont
+179% in a year while BTC is down 13.7% and people still call alts dead. JST quietly doing the work, tho that 0.12 resistance is the whole ballgame here.
Backtest says 10k turned into 18,337 with 47% win rate across 49 trades. That’s barely better than a coinflip yet the trend filter carries it. System > opinions.
Lump sum 1y ago = 33,351 vs DCA 12 buys = 21,562. Yet the plan tells you to deploy in 2 tranches. Mixed signals but ok, the 25% cash buffer saves you from yourself.
JST at 0.11 with the 52w high literally at 0.12. one push thru that and every breakout scanner fires at once, until then the 25% cash buffer does its job