Deep Dive Analysis
Kaspa (KAS)
2026-09-22 08:37 UTC · Marcus Reid · 30,000 Portfolio
PRICE
0.04
0.04
52W HIGH
0.19
0.19
DRAWDOWN
-77.5%
-77.5%
STAGE
Stage 2 (Uptrend)
Stage 2 (Uptrend)
🟢 DEPLOY — Trend-Following Signal: BUY
Trend-Following System · HIGH Conviction · 8 Bull / 2 Bear Factors
Bullish factors: price > 50d, price > 200d, 50d rising, MACD+, rising 1m & 3m, strong bull trend (ADX 48.8), vol 1.86x on up day, accumulation (OBV up, vol ratio 1.88)
Bearish factors: death cross, far below high
KAS Price — 1 Year
1Y Ago: 0.05
Low: 0.01
Now: 0.04
Low: 0.01
Now: 0.04
Technical Snapshot
| RSI (14) | 73.0 | ADX (14) | 48.8 |
| 50d MA | 0.03 | 200d MA | 0.03 |
| Price vs 50d | ▲ Above | Price vs 200d | ▲ Above |
| Support | 0.03 | Resistance | 0.04 |
| ATR Volatility | 5.92%/day | Trend | BUY |
Crypto Performance Comparison
| Asset | 1 Month | 3 Months | 6 Months | 1 Year |
| KAS | +55.1% | +49.2% | +13.5% | -11.4% |
| BTC | +10.9% | +29.0% | +5.9% | -11.5% |
| ETH | +13.2% | +41.9% | +20.0% | -18.4% |
| SOL | +16.8% | +49.5% | +26.7% | -20.4% |
Trend-Following Backtest
2-year simulation of 30,000 using 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter. Buy when price > 50d MA (rising) + RSI 40-75. Sell on death cross or RSI > 82.
FINAL VALUE
21,473
RETURN
-28.4%
MAX DRAWDOWN
-44.7%
Strategy vs Buy & Hold
| Asset | Strategy | Buy & Hold | Max DD | Trades | Win Rate |
| KAS | -28.4% | -38.2% | -44.7% | 58 | 48% |
DCA vs Lump Sum (KAS)
If you had deployed 30,000 using different timing strategies over the past year.
| Strategy | Return | Value Today |
| Lump Sum (1y ago) | -11.4% | 16,337 |
| DCA — 4 buys | +3.6% | 31,065 |
| DCA — 6 buys | +9.7% | 32,921 |
| DCA — 12 buys | +16.3% | 34,887 |
KAS Deployment Plan — 30,000 Portfolio
Analysis by Marcus Reid (Long-term HODLer). If you’re managing a 30,000 crypto allocation, here’s the plan:
| Position size | 4,500 (15% of portfolio) |
| Stop loss | 0.03 (-19.9%) |
| Target 1 | 0.00 (-100.0%) |
| Target 2 | 0.00 (-100.0%) |
| Entry quality | Extended (R:R 0.89) |
| Max concurrent positions | 8 |
Cash reserve: keep 15% buffer. Deploy in 3 tranches. Portfolio style: Long-term HODLer.
Backtest Trade Log
| Date | Action | Price | P&L |
| 2026-09-12 | BUY | 0.04 | |
| 2026-09-13 | SELL | 0.03 | -5.5% |
| 2026-09-14 | BUY | 0.03 | |
| 2026-09-15 | SELL | 0.03 | -5.7% |
| 2026-09-16 | BUY | 0.03 | |
| 2026-09-17 | SELL | 0.03 | +2.3% |
| 2026-09-18 | BUY | 0.04 | |
| 2026-09-19 | SELL | 0.04 | +3.1% |
| 2026-09-20 | BUY | 0.04 | |
| 2026-09-21 | SELL | 0.04 | +8.3% |
| 2026-09-22 | BUY | 0.04 | |
| END | SELL | 0.04 | +0.0% |
Generated by BitcoinsNews.com Coin Analysis Engine · 2026-09-22 08:37 UTC
Trend-following methodology: 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter + ADX regime gate
Data via Yahoo Finance / CoinGecko · Not financial advice. For educational purposes only.
Trend-following methodology: 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter + ADX regime gate
Data via Yahoo Finance / CoinGecko · Not financial advice. For educational purposes only.
Marcus sizing 30k into RSI 73 while telling us ATR is 6 percent. solid analysis, degen entry timing
30k deployment into RSI 73 feels aggressive imo. splitting entries over a few weeks would let the overbought cool off
splitting entries is the move. if ADX 48.8 keeps holding you give up a little upside for a way better entry near the 0.03 retest
RSI 73 and ATR of nearly 6% daily. this thing either rips to 0.05 or chops you into paste
chops you into paste is right. ATR near 6% daily means your entry can be 5% underwater in a day, half sizing this one
0.05 or paste lmao accurate. the blockdag throughput is real but so is getting wicked out with 6 percent daily ATR
support at 0.03 is basically 25% below spot, your stop placement writes itself
ADX at 48.8 is a genuinely strong trend reading, most coins never see that. Still not chasing overbought though
ADX 48.8 is the strongest reading KAS has printed since the q1 run. 0.03 support holds or the whole thesis is invalidated, simple as that