Deep Dive Analysis
Shiba Inu (SHIB)
2026-10-01 15:00 UTC · Marcus Reid · 30,000 Portfolio
PRICE
0.00
0.00
52W HIGH
0.00
0.00
DRAWDOWN
-0%
-0%
STAGE
Stage 2 (Uptrend)
Stage 2 (Uptrend)
🟡 WAIT — No Clear Edge
Trend-Following System · LOW Conviction · 5 Bull / 2 Bear Factors
Bullish factors: 50d rising, RSI healthy (53.2), rising 1m & 3m, strong bull trend (ADX 84.5), accumulation (OBV up, vol ratio 1.98)
Bearish factors: MACD bear cross, far below high
SHIB Price — 1 Year
1Y Ago: 0.00
Low: 0.00
Now: 0.00
Low: 0.00
Now: 0.00
Technical Snapshot
| RSI (14) | 53.2 | ADX (14) | 84.5 |
| 50d MA | 0.00 | 200d MA | 0.00 |
| Price vs 50d | ▼ Below | Price vs 200d | ▼ Below |
| Support | 0.00 | Resistance | 0.00 |
| ATR Volatility | 4.14%/day | Trend | HOLD |
Crypto Performance Comparison
| Asset | 1 Month | 3 Months | 6 Months | 1 Year |
| SHIB | +14.0% | +14.0% | -5.0% | -28.8% |
| BTC | +9.7% | +29.8% | +9.6% | -6.1% |
| ETH | +10.3% | +40.2% | +27.1% | -8.9% |
| SOL | +18.9% | +57.6% | +37.0% | -7.9% |
Trend-Following Backtest
2-year simulation of 30,000 using 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter. Buy when price > 50d MA (rising) + RSI 40-75. Sell on death cross or RSI > 82.
FINAL VALUE
9,111
RETURN
-69.6%
MAX DRAWDOWN
-71.5%
Strategy vs Buy & Hold
| Asset | Strategy | Buy & Hold | Max DD | Trades | Win Rate |
| SHIB | -69.6% | -52.5% | -71.5% | 53 | 6% |
DCA vs Lump Sum (SHIB)
If you had deployed 30,000 using different timing strategies over the past year.
| Strategy | Return | Value Today |
| Lump Sum (1y ago) | -28.8% | 13,154 |
| DCA — 4 buys | -9.3% | 27,208 |
| DCA — 6 buys | -13.4% | 25,976 |
| DCA — 12 buys | -8.0% | 27,611 |
SHIB Deployment Plan — 30,000 Portfolio
Analysis by Marcus Reid (Long-term HODLer). If you’re managing a 30,000 crypto allocation, here’s the plan:
| Position size | 4,500 (15% of portfolio) |
| Stop loss | 0.00 (nan%) |
| Target 1 | 0.00 (nan%) |
| Target 2 | 0.00 (nan%) |
| Entry quality | Unknown (R:R None) |
| Max concurrent positions | 8 |
Cash reserve: keep 15% buffer. Deploy in 3 tranches. Portfolio style: Long-term HODLer.
Backtest Trade Log
| Date | Action | Price | P&L |
| 2026-09-21 | BUY | 0.00 | |
| 2026-09-22 | SELL | 0.00 | +0.0% |
| 2026-09-23 | BUY | 0.00 | |
| 2026-09-24 | SELL | 0.00 | +0.0% |
| 2026-09-25 | BUY | 0.00 | |
| 2026-09-26 | SELL | 0.00 | +0.0% |
| 2026-09-27 | BUY | 0.00 | |
| 2026-09-28 | SELL | 0.00 | +0.0% |
| 2026-09-29 | BUY | 0.00 | |
| 2026-09-30 | SELL | 0.00 | +0.0% |
| 2026-10-01 | BUY | 0.00 | |
| END | SELL | 0.00 | +0.0% |
Generated by BitcoinsNews.com Coin Analysis Engine · 2026-10-01 15:00 UTC
Trend-following methodology: 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter + ADX regime gate
Data via Yahoo Finance / CoinGecko · Not financial advice. For educational purposes only.
Trend-following methodology: 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter + ADX regime gate
Data via Yahoo Finance / CoinGecko · Not financial advice. For educational purposes only.
adx 84.5 screaming strong trend and the verdict is still WAIT lol. system basically says yeah the trend is strong, just not for you
strong trend that is -28.8% on the year, sure. ADX measures trend strength not direction, classic trap
backtest turned 30k into 9,111 with a 6% win rate across 53 trades and the verdict is still HOLD lol. this thing is a slow bleed machine
6% win rate over 53 trades is actually impressive in the wrong direction. someone should frame that backtest
ADX at 84.5 is a genuinely strong trend reading, yet the system calls it WAIT with low conviction. The MACD bear cross is doing a lot of heavy lifting in that verdict.
30k into 9,111 on the 2-year backtest and they still rate it HOLD. honestly the most transparent shib take ive read in months, most analysts hide that part
backtests on meme coins are always brutal like this. an RSI 40-75 filter cant save you from a -71.5% max drawdown, the death cross comes way too late on SHIB
obv says accumulation and vol ratio 1.98 but macd bear crossed, mixed signals everywhere. shib +14% on the month while still down 28.8% on the year, classic shib