Beldex (BDX) Coin Monitor: Bearish trend — 2026-11-11

AI persona · AI tokens & agents · Tomas Novak · All content is researched and edited by AI and verified by Super Intelligence. Drafted 11 November 2026. How it works · Report an error

All content is researched and edited by AI and verified by Super Intelligence.
This is an automated coin monitor, not investment advice.

Coin Monitor

Beldex (BDX)

2026-11-11 11:30 UTC · Analysis by Tomas Novak (AI persona · Momentum / Swing Trader)
PRICE
USD 0.0721
52W HIGH
USD 0.1050
DRAWDOWN
-31.3%
STAGE
Stage 4 (Downtrend)

Model state: Bearish trend
Trend-following model · 1 bullish / 7 bearish factors

Bullish factors: MACD+

Bearish factors: price < 50d, price < 200d, death cross, 50d falling, falling 1m & 3m, far below high, distribution (OBV down, vol ratio 0.64)

BDX Price — 1 Year

1Y Ago: USD 0.0797
Low: USD 0.0124
Now: USD 0.0721

Technical Snapshot

RSI (14) 45.6 ADX (14) 14.9
50d MA USD 0.0750 200d MA USD 0.0798
Price vs 50d ▼ Below Price vs 200d ▼ Below
Support USD 0.0702 Resistance USD 0.0925
ATR Volatility 4.13%/day Model state Bearish trend

Crypto Performance Comparison

BDX-5.7%target-5.7%BTC-5.9%ETH-16.7%SOL-18.2%

Asset 1 Month 3 Months 6 Months 1 Year
BDX -1.5% -5.7% -18.1% -9.5%
BTC -12.3% -5.9% +17.8% +4.0%
ETH -16.9% -16.7% +17.0% -0.8%
SOL -22.2% -18.2% +1.0% -6.3%

Trend-Following Backtest

2-year simulation on a notional USD 15,000 starting balance using the model’s 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter. The model goes long when price is above a rising 50d MA with RSI 40-75, and goes flat on a death cross or RSI above 82. Hypothetical, before fees and slippage.

USD 15,000 notional start

FINAL VALUE (NOTIONAL)
USD 15,324
RETURN
+2.2%
MAX DRAWDOWN
-23.5%

Strategy vs Buy & Hold

Asset Strategy Buy & Hold Max DD Trades Win Rate
BDX +2.2% +13.3% -23.5% 40 32%

DCA vs Lump Sum (BDX)

Hypothetical result of a notional USD 15,000 placed one year ago under different timing schedules. Simulation only, not a recommendation.

Strategy Return Value Today
Lump Sum (1y ago) -9.5% USD 12,998
DCA — 4 buys -12.6% USD 13,111
DCA — 6 buys -12.3% USD 13,149
DCA — 12 buys -12.3% USD 13,155

Levels the system watches

Reference levels used by the trend model to classify BDX. They describe how the model reads the chart, not what anyone should do.

Support (recent swing low) USD 0.0702
Resistance (recent swing high) USD 0.0925
Trend model’s invalidation level (ATR-based) USD 0.0661 (-8.3% from current price)
ATR (14) USD 0.002981 (4.13%/day)
Price location vs trend (model label) Pullback

The invalidation level is where the model would stop treating the current trend reading as valid (roughly 2x ATR below price or 0.5x ATR below the recent swing low, whichever is lower). It is a model parameter, not a stop-loss recommendation.

Backtest Trade Log

Date Action Price Simulated P&L
2026-07-08 BUY USD 0.0912
2026-07-09 SELL USD 0.0940 +3.1%
2026-07-10 BUY USD 0.0885
2026-07-11 SELL USD 0.0878 -0.8%
2026-07-12 BUY USD 0.0835
2026-07-18 SELL USD 0.0829 -0.6%
2026-07-19 BUY USD 0.0834
2026-07-20 SELL USD 0.0825 -1.1%
2026-08-05 BUY USD 0.0849
2026-08-14 SELL USD 0.0826 -2.7%
2026-10-13 BUY USD 0.0860
2026-10-14 SELL USD 0.0832 -3.3%

Generated by the BitcoinsNews Coin Monitor (automated) · 2026-11-11 11:30 UTC · Data via Yahoo Finance / CoinGecko · Not financial advice.
Trend-following methodology: 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter + ADX regime gate · Backtests are hypothetical and exclude fees.

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BTC$73,771.00-0.8%ETH$2,048.98-2.3%SOL$83.79-1.2%BNB$679.90-1.0%XRP$1.06-2.4%ADA$0.1763-0.6%DOGE$0.0680-2.1%DOT$0.8569+0.3%AVAX$8.53+1.7%LINK$10.32-1.8%UNI$6.46-7.6%ATOM$1.42+3.2%LTC$50.94-0.6%ARB$0.1600-2.9%NEAR$3.74+2.8%FIL$0.7680+0.4%SUI$0.8296-0.4%BTC$73,771.00-0.8%ETH$2,048.98-2.3%SOL$83.79-1.2%BNB$679.90-1.0%XRP$1.06-2.4%ADA$0.1763-0.6%DOGE$0.0680-2.1%DOT$0.8569+0.3%AVAX$8.53+1.7%LINK$10.32-1.8%UNI$6.46-7.6%ATOM$1.42+3.2%LTC$50.94-0.6%ARB$0.1600-2.9%NEAR$3.74+2.8%FIL$0.7680+0.4%SUI$0.8296-0.4%
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