This is an automated coin monitor, not investment advice.
Ether.fi (ETHFI)
USD 0.6350
USD 3.15
-79.8%
Stage 1 (Bottoming)
Bullish factors: price > 200d, golden cross, MACD+, RSI healthy (51.3), vol 1.25x on up day, accumulation (OBV up, vol ratio 1.93)
Bearish factors: price < 50d, 50d falling, far below high
Low: USD 0.2671
Now: USD 0.6350
Technical Snapshot
| RSI (14) | 51.3 | ADX (14) | 15.8 |
| 50d MA | USD 0.6683 | 200d MA | USD 0.4986 |
| Price vs 50d | ▼ Below | Price vs 200d | ▲ Above |
| Support | USD 0.5186 | Resistance | USD 0.7274 |
| ATR Volatility | 7.36%/day | Model state | Neutral / no trend |
Crypto Performance Comparison
| Asset | 1 Month | 3 Months | 6 Months | 1 Year |
| ETHFI | -10.6% | +2.7% | +69.1% | +16.0% |
| BTC | -12.3% | -5.9% | +17.8% | +4.0% |
| ETH | -16.9% | -16.7% | +17.0% | -0.8% |
| SOL | -22.2% | -18.2% | +1.0% | -6.3% |
Trend-Following Backtest
2-year simulation on a notional USD 10,000 starting balance using the model’s 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter. The model goes long when price is above a rising 50d MA with RSI 40-75, and goes flat on a death cross or RSI above 82. Hypothetical, before fees and slippage.
Strategy vs Buy & Hold
| Asset | Strategy | Buy & Hold | Max DD | Trades | Win Rate |
| ETHFI | -40.8% | -41.0% | -56.0% | 40 | 48% |
DCA vs Lump Sum (ETHFI)
Hypothetical result of a notional USD 10,000 placed one year ago under different timing schedules. Simulation only, not a recommendation.
| Strategy | Return | Value Today |
| Lump Sum (1y ago) | +16.0% | USD 6,822 |
| DCA — 4 buys | +30.3% | USD 13,025 |
| DCA — 6 buys | +11.1% | USD 11,109 |
| DCA — 12 buys | +26.1% | USD 12,607 |
Levels the system watches
Reference levels used by the trend model to classify ETHFI. They describe how the model reads the chart, not what anyone should do.
| Support (recent swing low) | USD 0.5186 |
| Resistance (recent swing high) | USD 0.7274 |
| Trend model’s invalidation level (ATR-based) | USD 0.5416 (-14.7% from current price) |
| ATR (14) | USD 0.0467 (7.36%/day) |
| Price location vs trend (model label) | Pullback |
The invalidation level is where the model would stop treating the current trend reading as valid (roughly 2x ATR below price or 0.5x ATR below the recent swing low, whichever is lower). It is a model parameter, not a stop-loss recommendation.
Backtest Trade Log
| Date | Action | Price | Simulated P&L |
| 2026-08-15 | BUY | USD 0.4782 | |
| 2026-08-16 | SELL | USD 0.5018 | +4.9% |
| 2026-08-17 | BUY | USD 0.4949 | |
| 2026-08-18 | SELL | USD 0.4850 | -2.0% |
| 2026-08-19 | BUY | USD 0.5253 | |
| 2026-08-20 | SELL | USD 0.5440 | +3.5% |
| 2026-08-22 | BUY | USD 0.5809 | |
| 2026-08-23 | SELL | USD 0.6161 | +6.1% |
| 2026-08-25 | BUY | USD 0.5547 | |
| 2026-10-14 | SELL | USD 0.6396 | +15.3% |
| 2026-10-15 | BUY | USD 0.6744 | |
| 2026-10-22 | SELL | USD 0.6441 | -4.5% |
Trend-following methodology: 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter + ADX regime gate · Backtests are hypothetical and exclude fees.
79.8% off the $3.15 high and the model still only says neutral lol. ethfi bagholders been in the trenches
^ in the trenches is right. restaking yield carried this token for a while but 0.635 vs a 3.15 high is rough
Stage 1 bottoming at $0.635 is at least honest framing. most monitors would just call this a discount and move on
neutral just means the trend model has nothing to say yet. been dca-ing under 0.70 anyway