This is an automated coin monitor, not investment advice.
GHO (GHO)
USD 0.9989
USD 1.21
-17.7%
Stage 1 (Bottoming)
Bullish factors: price > 50d, price > 200d, MACD+, RSI healthy (51.6), rising 1m & 3m
Bearish factors: death cross, 50d falling, strong bear trend (ADX 49.9)
Low: USD 0.8953
Now: USD 0.9989
Technical Snapshot
| RSI (14) | 51.6 | ADX (14) | 49.9 |
| 50d MA | USD 0.9988 | 200d MA | USD 0.9988 |
| Price vs 50d | ▲ Above | Price vs 200d | ▲ Above |
| Support | USD 0.9797 | Resistance | USD 1.01 |
| ATR Volatility | 0.19%/day | Model state | Neutral / no trend |
Crypto Performance Comparison
| Asset | 1 Month | 3 Months | 6 Months | 1 Year |
| GHO | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.1% | -0.1% |
| BTC | -11.5% | -6.4% | +19.4% | +1.0% |
| ETH | -16.9% | -18.1% | +19.8% | -4.3% |
| SOL | -22.7% | -20.3% | +2.1% | -9.4% |
Trend-Following Backtest
2-year simulation on a notional USD 10,000 starting balance using the model’s 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter. The model goes long when price is above a rising 50d MA with RSI 40-75, and goes flat on a death cross or RSI above 82. Hypothetical, before fees and slippage.
Strategy vs Buy & Hold
| Asset | Strategy | Buy & Hold | Max DD | Trades | Win Rate |
| GHO | -2.4% | +0.0% | -2.5% | 84 | 0% |
DCA vs Lump Sum (GHO)
Hypothetical result of a notional USD 10,000 placed one year ago under different timing schedules. Simulation only, not a recommendation.
| Strategy | Return | Value Today |
| Lump Sum (1y ago) | -0.1% | USD 9,993 |
| DCA — 4 buys | +0.3% | USD 10,027 |
| DCA — 6 buys | +0.1% | USD 10,009 |
| DCA — 12 buys | +0.0% | USD 10,002 |
Levels the system watches
Reference levels used by the trend model to classify GHO. They describe how the model reads the chart, not what anyone should do.
| Support (recent swing low) | USD 0.9797 |
| Resistance (recent swing high) | USD 1.01 |
| Trend model’s invalidation level (ATR-based) | USD 0.9951 (-0.4% from current price) |
| ATR (14) | USD 0.001885 (0.19%/day) |
| Price location vs trend (model label) | Pullback |
The invalidation level is where the model would stop treating the current trend reading as valid (roughly 2x ATR below price or 0.5x ATR below the recent swing low, whichever is lower). It is a model parameter, not a stop-loss recommendation.
Backtest Trade Log
| Date | Action | Price | Simulated P&L |
| 2026-09-25 | BUY | USD 0.9994 | |
| 2026-09-26 | SELL | USD 0.9992 | -0.0% |
| 2026-09-27 | BUY | USD 0.9993 | |
| 2026-09-28 | SELL | USD 0.9996 | +0.0% |
| 2026-09-29 | BUY | USD 0.9995 | |
| 2026-10-02 | SELL | USD 0.9989 | -0.1% |
| 2026-10-03 | BUY | USD 0.9993 | |
| 2026-10-10 | SELL | USD 0.9988 | -0.0% |
| 2026-11-05 | BUY | USD 0.9991 | |
| 2026-11-07 | SELL | USD 0.9986 | -0.0% |
| 2026-11-08 | BUY | USD 0.9999 | |
| 2026-11-09 | SELL | USD 0.9984 | -0.2% |
Trend-following methodology: 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter + ADX regime gate · Backtests are hypothetical and exclude fees.
0.9989 with a 52w high of 1.21 tells you everything. GHO drifted off peg before and holders felt it, neutral is generous
‘neutral’ while sitting 11 bips under peg is doing a lot of work. the aave dao should be sweating harder tbh
monitor says analysis by an AI persona with yield / staking focus lmao. even the analyst is synthetic now. peg math checks out though