Deep Dive Analysis
JUST (JST)
2026-09-26 16:00 UTC · Tomas Novak · 15,000 Portfolio
PRICE
0.12
0.12
52W HIGH
0.12
0.12
DRAWDOWN
-0.9%
-0.9%
STAGE
Stage 2 (Uptrend)
Stage 2 (Uptrend)
🟡 WAIT — No Clear Edge
Trend-Following System · MEDIUM Conviction · 9 Bull / 0 Bear Factors
Bullish factors: price > 50d, price > 200d, golden cross, 50d rising, MACD+, RSI healthy (67.6), rising 1m & 3m, near 52w high, accumulation (OBV up, vol ratio 1.38)
JST Price — 1 Year
1Y Ago: 0.04
Low: 0.03
Now: 0.12
Low: 0.03
Now: 0.12
Technical Snapshot
| RSI (14) | 67.6 | ADX (14) | 16.4 |
| 50d MA | 0.11 | 200d MA | 0.09 |
| Price vs 50d | ▲ Above | Price vs 200d | ▲ Above |
| Support | 0.09 | Resistance | 0.12 |
| ATR Volatility | 3.4%/day | Trend | HOLD |
Crypto Performance Comparison
| Asset | 1 Month | 3 Months | 6 Months | 1 Year |
| JST | +11.3% | +18.6% | +37.1% | +207.0% |
| BTC | +5.3% | +30.6% | +9.2% | -10.3% |
| ETH | +8.4% | +43.5% | +26.3% | -18.0% |
| SOL | +17.1% | +62.3% | +41.6% | -12.4% |
Trend-Following Backtest
2-year simulation of 15,000 using 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter. Buy when price > 50d MA (rising) + RSI 40-75. Sell on death cross or RSI > 82.
FINAL VALUE
30,254
RETURN
+101.7%
MAX DRAWDOWN
-37.5%
Strategy vs Buy & Hold
| Asset | Strategy | Buy & Hold | Max DD | Trades | Win Rate |
| JST | +101.7% | +298.5% | -37.5% | 49 | 47% |
DCA vs Lump Sum (JST)
If you had deployed 15,000 using different timing strategies over the past year.
| Strategy | Return | Value Today |
| Lump Sum (1y ago) | +207.0% | 57,428 |
| DCA — 4 buys | +162.2% | 39,332 |
| DCA — 6 buys | +139.8% | 35,969 |
| DCA — 12 buys | +134.4% | 35,166 |
JST Deployment Plan — 15,000 Portfolio
Analysis by Tomas Novak (Momentum / Swing Trader). If you’re managing a 15,000 crypto allocation, here’s the plan:
| Position size | 3,750 (25% of portfolio) |
| Stop loss | 0.11 (-10.1%) |
| Target 1 | 0.00 (-100.0%) |
| Target 2 | 0.00 (-100.0%) |
| Entry quality | Breakout (R:R 1.01) |
| Max concurrent positions | 4 |
Cash reserve: keep 25% buffer. Deploy in 2 tranches. Portfolio style: Momentum / Swing Trader.
Backtest Trade Log
| Date | Action | Price | P&L |
| 2026-01-21 | BUY | 0.04 | |
| 2026-01-27 | SELL | 0.04 | -9.8% |
| 2026-01-28 | BUY | 0.04 | |
| 2026-02-03 | SELL | 0.04 | -8.5% |
| 2026-02-07 | BUY | 0.04 | |
| 2026-02-12 | SELL | 0.04 | -3.2% |
| 2026-02-16 | BUY | 0.04 | |
| 2026-06-03 | SELL | 0.07 | +71.7% |
| 2026-06-28 | BUY | 0.09 | |
| 2026-08-24 | SELL | 0.10 | +13.9% |
| 2026-09-01 | BUY | 0.10 | |
| END | SELL | 0.12 | +19.6% |
Generated by BitcoinsNews.com Coin Analysis Engine · 2026-09-26 16:00 UTC
Trend-following methodology: 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter + ADX regime gate
Data via Yahoo Finance / CoinGecko · Not financial advice. For educational purposes only.
Trend-following methodology: 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter + ADX regime gate
Data via Yahoo Finance / CoinGecko · Not financial advice. For educational purposes only.
9 bull factors and 0 bear and its still just a WAIT? tells you everything about how stretched this run is. that RSI at 67 is itching
@trondgree_ RSI 67 with ADX at 16 is just chop tho. no trend strength either way, WAIT is the right call imo
+207% in a year while ETH is down 18%. old TRX ecosystem stuff quietly outperforming everything, wild
3.4% daily ATR on a 0.12 coin lol. one red candle and youre down a weeks of btc gains
JST pinned at its 52w high with 9 bull factors and 0 bear and the system still says wait lmao. trend followers are professional cowards
@bagpipes the vol ratio at 1.38 says accumulation not exit liquidity. if 0.12 breaks clean this thing re-rates fast and the WAIT ages badly
RSI at 67.6 is the detail that matters here. Accumulation looks real with OBV up, but buying a fresh 52w high on a HOLD signal is how I got stuck in 2021.