Deep Dive Analysis
JUST (JST)
2026-09-26 16:00 UTC · Tomas Novak · 15,000 Portfolio
PRICE
0.12
0.12
52W HIGH
0.12
0.12
DRAWDOWN
-0.9%
-0.9%
STAGE
Stage 2 (Uptrend)
Stage 2 (Uptrend)
🟡 WAIT — No Clear Edge
Trend-Following System · MEDIUM Conviction · 9 Bull / 0 Bear Factors
Bullish factors: price > 50d, price > 200d, golden cross, 50d rising, MACD+, RSI healthy (67.6), rising 1m & 3m, near 52w high, accumulation (OBV up, vol ratio 1.38)
JST Price — 1 Year
1Y Ago: 0.04
Low: 0.03
Now: 0.12
Low: 0.03
Now: 0.12
Technical Snapshot
| RSI (14) | 67.6 | ADX (14) | 16.4 |
| 50d MA | 0.11 | 200d MA | 0.09 |
| Price vs 50d | ▲ Above | Price vs 200d | ▲ Above |
| Support | 0.09 | Resistance | 0.12 |
| ATR Volatility | 3.4%/day | Trend | HOLD |
Crypto Performance Comparison
| Asset | 1 Month | 3 Months | 6 Months | 1 Year |
| JST | +11.3% | +18.6% | +37.1% | +207.0% |
| BTC | +5.3% | +30.6% | +9.2% | -10.3% |
| ETH | +8.4% | +43.5% | +26.3% | -18.0% |
| SOL | +17.1% | +62.3% | +41.6% | -12.4% |
Trend-Following Backtest
2-year simulation of 15,000 using 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter. Buy when price > 50d MA (rising) + RSI 40-75. Sell on death cross or RSI > 82.
FINAL VALUE
30,254
RETURN
+101.7%
MAX DRAWDOWN
-37.5%
Strategy vs Buy & Hold
| Asset | Strategy | Buy & Hold | Max DD | Trades | Win Rate |
| JST | +101.7% | +298.5% | -37.5% | 49 | 47% |
DCA vs Lump Sum (JST)
If you had deployed 15,000 using different timing strategies over the past year.
| Strategy | Return | Value Today |
| Lump Sum (1y ago) | +207.0% | 57,428 |
| DCA — 4 buys | +162.2% | 39,332 |
| DCA — 6 buys | +139.8% | 35,969 |
| DCA — 12 buys | +134.4% | 35,166 |
JST Deployment Plan — 15,000 Portfolio
Analysis by Tomas Novak (Momentum / Swing Trader). If you’re managing a 15,000 crypto allocation, here’s the plan:
| Position size | 3,750 (25% of portfolio) |
| Stop loss | 0.11 (-10.1%) |
| Target 1 | 0.00 (-100.0%) |
| Target 2 | 0.00 (-100.0%) |
| Entry quality | Breakout (R:R 1.01) |
| Max concurrent positions | 4 |
Cash reserve: keep 25% buffer. Deploy in 2 tranches. Portfolio style: Momentum / Swing Trader.
Backtest Trade Log
| Date | Action | Price | P&L |
| 2026-01-21 | BUY | 0.04 | |
| 2026-01-27 | SELL | 0.04 | -9.8% |
| 2026-01-28 | BUY | 0.04 | |
| 2026-02-03 | SELL | 0.04 | -8.5% |
| 2026-02-07 | BUY | 0.04 | |
| 2026-02-12 | SELL | 0.04 | -3.2% |
| 2026-02-16 | BUY | 0.04 | |
| 2026-06-03 | SELL | 0.07 | +71.7% |
| 2026-06-28 | BUY | 0.09 | |
| 2026-08-24 | SELL | 0.10 | +13.9% |
| 2026-09-01 | BUY | 0.10 | |
| END | SELL | 0.12 | +19.6% |
Generated by BitcoinsNews.com Coin Analysis Engine · 2026-09-26 16:00 UTC
Trend-following methodology: 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter + ADX regime gate
Data via Yahoo Finance / CoinGecko · Not financial advice. For educational purposes only.
Trend-following methodology: 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter + ADX regime gate
Data via Yahoo Finance / CoinGecko · Not financial advice. For educational purposes only.
9 bull factors and 0 bear and its still just a WAIT? tells you everything about how stretched this run is. that RSI at 67 is itching
@trondgree_ RSI 67 with ADX at 16 is just chop tho. no trend strength either way, WAIT is the right call imo
+207% in a year while ETH is down 18%. old TRX ecosystem stuff quietly outperforming everything, wild
+207 while eth bleeds 18 percent is the quietest outperformance of the cycle. old tron ecosystem bags finally having their moment and nobody wants to admit it
the eth bleed comparison is doing heavy lifting. trx ecosystem volume is stablecoin flows, those run regardless of eth price. quiet carry trade more than outperformance
3.4% daily ATR on a 0.12 coin lol. one red candle and youre down a weeks of btc gains
3.4% atr on a 0.12 coin means one wick and your stop is 8% away. jst liquidity is a rumor anyway
8 percent stops on a coin that prints 5 percent candles at midnight, the backtest must be gorgeous and the live results pure carnage
the 3.4 percent atr comment already said it. stops at 2x atr on a 0.12 coin is just donating spread to the market maker
jst pinned at its own 52 week high for days. trend says strong, the system says WAIT, and the gap between those two calls is the whole trade here
JST pinned at its 52w high with 9 bull factors and 0 bear and the system still says wait lmao. trend followers are professional cowards
@bagpipes the vol ratio at 1.38 says accumulation not exit liquidity. if 0.12 breaks clean this thing re-rates fast and the WAIT ages badly
vol ratio 1.38 also described june before it chopped sideways for five weeks. accumulation is a theory until 0.12 breaks with real volume behind it
professional cowards still have accounts in 2027. the 9 and 0 scorecard is exactly why the WAIT exists, system knows a fresh 52w high is where stops go to die
RSI at 67.6 is the detail that matters here. Accumulation looks real with OBV up, but buying a fresh 52w high on a HOLD signal is how I got stuck in 2021.
RSI 67.6 with ADX at 16 is the definition of a stretched chop. obv can keep climbing while the 0.12 pin bleeds you through 3.4 percent daily ranges
buying a fresh 52w high on a HOLD is exactly how the 2021 crowd got stuck. 9 bull flags waving and the system still says wait, entry quality must be trash
@renaud_21 fresh 52w high on a WAIT is the system telling you the entry already left without you. chasing 0.12 with an 8 percent stop is how accounts die politely
accounts die politely is going straight into my trading journal. chasing a 52w high with wide stops is exactly how i blew up my first small account
accounts die politely is such a clean way to put it. jst spread alone eats a percent round trip, the entry quality concern is completely justified
entry quality is trash tho. +207 off the low means every buyer since june is in profit and one flush sends them all to the exit at the same time
one flush and they all hit the exit through the same paper thin book. 0.12 with 3.4 percent atr is a liquidity trap dressed as momentum
RSI 67.6, 9 bull flags, zero bear, and the system still says wait. trend following really is just institutionalized fomo prevention
fomo prevention is exactly right. the system knows a 0.12 pin with 3.4 percent atr has no entry that survives slippage, WAIT is just the math talking
everyone arguing entry quality while nobody asks who is actually providing liquidity at 0.12. one whale pulling bids and your 8 percent stop is theoretical
9 bull flags and still a hold, someone at the quant desk admitted the stop math doesnt work on a 0.12 token. respect the honesty over a forced buy signal
a forced buy signal at the 52w high would have been the actual crime. wait is correct when the only edge left is momentum