Deep Dive Analysis
Manta (MANTA)
2026-07-24 09:31 UTC · Elena Kowalski · 12,000 Portfolio
PRICE
0.06
0.06
52W HIGH
1.35
1.35
DRAWDOWN
-95.4%
-95.4%
STAGE
Stage 4 (Downtrend)
Stage 4 (Downtrend)
🔴 AVOID — DO NOT DEPLOY
Trend-Following System · HIGH Conviction · 2 Bull / 8 Bear Factors
Bullish factors: MACD+, strong bull trend (ADX 32.5)
Bearish factors: price < 50d, price < 200d, death cross, 50d falling, RSI weak (42.8), falling 1m & 3m, far below high, distribution (OBV down, vol ratio 0.83)
MANTA Price — 1 Year
1Y Ago: 0.12
Low: 0.05
Now: 0.06
Low: 0.05
Now: 0.06
Technical Snapshot
| RSI (14) | 42.8 | ADX (14) | 32.5 |
| 50d MA | 0.07 | 200d MA | 0.07 |
| Price vs 50d | ▼ Below | Price vs 200d | ▼ Below |
| Support | 0.05 | Resistance | 0.15 |
| ATR Volatility | 7.36%/day | Trend | SELL |
Crypto Performance Comparison
| Asset | 1 Month | 3 Months | 6 Months | 1 Year |
| MANTA | -2.4% | -19.9% | -15.8% | -49.5% |
| BTC | +4.5% | -13.4% | -10.2% | -31.6% |
| ETH | +7.6% | -8.5% | -13.2% | -40.3% |
| SOL | -7.9% | -10.1% | -17.8% | -45.7% |
Trend-Following Backtest
2-year simulation of 12,000 using 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter. Buy when price > 50d MA (rising) + RSI 40-75. Sell on death cross or RSI > 82.
FINAL VALUE
8,863
RETURN
-26.1%
MAX DRAWDOWN
-37.0%
Strategy vs Buy & Hold
| Asset | Strategy | Buy & Hold | Max DD | Trades | Win Rate |
| MANTA | -26.1% | -84.4% | -37.0% | 34 | 53% |
DCA vs Lump Sum (MANTA)
If you had deployed 12,000 using different timing strategies over the past year.
| Strategy | Return | Value Today |
| Lump Sum (1y ago) | -49.5% | 3,224 |
| DCA — 4 buys | -35.4% | 7,753 |
| DCA — 6 buys | -38.3% | 7,407 |
| DCA — 12 buys | -34.1% | 7,914 |
MANTA Deployment Plan — 12,000 Portfolio
Analysis by Elena Kowalski (Aggressive / Contrarian / Deep-Value). If you’re managing a 12,000 crypto allocation, here’s the plan:
| Position size | 3,000 (25% of portfolio) |
| Stop loss | 0.05 (-14.7%) |
| Target 1 | 0.00 (-100.0%) |
| Target 2 | 0.00 (-100.0%) |
| Entry quality | Pullback |
| Max concurrent positions | 4 |
Cash reserve: keep 25% buffer. Deploy in 2 tranches. Portfolio style: Aggressive / Contrarian / Deep-Value.
Backtest Trade Log
| Date | Action | Price | P&L |
| 2026-06-02 | BUY | 0.07 | |
| 2026-06-03 | SELL | 0.08 | +8.0% |
| 2026-06-04 | BUY | 0.08 | |
| 2026-06-05 | SELL | 0.08 | -8.9% |
| 2026-06-06 | BUY | 0.09 | |
| 2026-06-07 | SELL | 0.08 | -11.0% |
| 2026-06-08 | BUY | 0.08 | |
| 2026-06-09 | SELL | 0.08 | +2.6% |
| 2026-06-10 | BUY | 0.08 | |
| 2026-06-11 | SELL | 0.08 | +3.0% |
| 2026-06-12 | BUY | 0.08 | |
| 2026-06-29 | SELL | 0.07 | -8.1% |
Generated by BitcoinsNews.com Coin Analysis Engine · 2026-07-24 09:31 UTC
Trend-following methodology: 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter + ADX regime gate
Data via Yahoo Finance / CoinGecko · Not financial advice. For educational purposes only.
Trend-following methodology: 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter + ADX regime gate
Data via Yahoo Finance / CoinGecko · Not financial advice. For educational purposes only.
95% down from the high and they still rate it avoid lol. bit late to the party on that call
inflation killed this token before the price chart did. roadmap was caldera into celestia into oblivion
grzegorz_p caldera to celestia to oblivion is the most accurate summary of manta ever written. the roadmap was just chasing DA narratives
From 0.42 to 0.06 is just brutal. Tokenomics were garbage from day one with that unlock schedule.
bought MANTA at 0.42 thinking the dip was a deal. its at 0.06 now. this is pain
^ 0.42 to 0.06 is brutal. the tokenomics on this were always bad, inflation was killing it from day one
0.42 to 0.06 is a 85% drawdown from the entry Lia mentioned. Manta’s ZK privacy narrative died when AZtec and Aleo shipped better tech with actual developers
0.42 to 0.06 is a 85 pct loss and the SELL rating came after. analysts always show up to the crime scene after the robbery
late yes but the deployment plan still matters. people holding bags from 0.30 needed to hear exit even at 0.10. better a late warning than hopium
ZK privacy is a crowded space now. Manta had a window and they blew it chasing every narrative instead of executing.
they pivoted from pacific to newparadigm to whatever DA layer was trending that quarter. aztec shipped a working private rollup in the same timeframe. the pivot treadmill never stops
every pivot came with a fresh incentive program too. emissions were the product, the roadmap was just the packaging.
emissions were the product is exactly it. every roadmap pivot shipped with a fresh incentive pool and retail paid for the exit
every pivot shipped with a fresh incentive pool is the most damning summary of 2024 defi i have read all week
0.42 to 0.06 is a 85% beatdown and the SELL rating came after the damage was done. thanks for nothing analysts
Tomer L. the tokenomics were always the problem. caldera to celestia roadmap was just chasing whichever DA layer was trending
Inflation killed the upside and bad tokenomics killed the rest. Sometimes the market is right to be ruthless.
Supply tripling while TVL shrinks means the chart only tells half the pain. Dilution did the rest.
called this last month. Manta TVL dropped from 900M to 400M in 6 weeks and token holders were still arguing the fundamentals were fine. the data was right there
Selim A. TVL exodus after incentive cuts is the oldest pattern in crypto. protocols bribing liquidity with token emissions always bleed out the same way
and half that 400m was mercenary lp chasing the incentive program. pull the emissions and the real number showed up real fast.
mercenary lp chasing incentives, most accurate phrasing here. the 400m to real tvl correction took what, six weeks
the emissions schedule tells the story. circulating supply roughly tripled since tge while tvl went the other way. price was just doing the arithmetic
The emissions math is the whole story. Supply roughly tripled while price fell 85 percent, meaning holders lost ground even on green days. SELL was the only honest rating left.
0.06 against a 52w high of 1.35 and people still debate the bottom. zk privacy is a graveyard, aleo and aztec are barely warmer