This is an automated coin monitor, not investment advice.
Open USD (OUSD)
USD 0.9994
USD 5.50
-81.8%
Stage 4 (Downtrend)
Bullish factors: vol 5.0x on up day
Bearish factors: price < 50d, price < 200d, death cross, 50d falling, falling 1m & 3m, far below high, strong bear trend (ADX 49.9)
Low: USD 0.9356
Now: USD 0.9994
Technical Snapshot
| RSI (14) | 47.1 | ADX (14) | 49.9 |
| 50d MA | USD 0.9996 | 200d MA | USD 0.9996 |
| Price vs 50d | ▼ Below | Price vs 200d | ▼ Below |
| Support | USD 0.9929 | Resistance | USD 1.00 |
| ATR Volatility | 0.13%/day | Model state | Bearish trend |
Crypto Performance Comparison
| Asset | 1 Month | 3 Months | 6 Months | 1 Year |
| OUSD | -0.0% | -0.0% | -0.0% | -0.1% |
| BTC | -7.8% | -4.7% | +25.7% | +10.5% |
| ETH | -10.8% | -13.9% | +33.3% | +8.2% |
| SOL | -16.3% | -15.5% | +13.5% | +0.9% |
Trend-Following Backtest
2-year simulation on a notional USD 15,000 starting balance using the model’s 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter. The model goes long when price is above a rising 50d MA with RSI 40-75, and goes flat on a death cross or RSI above 82. Hypothetical, before fees and slippage.
Strategy vs Buy & Hold
| Asset | Strategy | Buy & Hold | Max DD | Trades | Win Rate |
| OUSD | -2.3% | +0.1% | -2.5% | 70 | 7% |
DCA vs Lump Sum (OUSD)
Hypothetical result of a notional USD 15,000 placed one year ago under different timing schedules. Simulation only, not a recommendation.
| Strategy | Return | Value Today |
| Lump Sum (1y ago) | -0.1% | USD 14,997 |
| DCA — 4 buys | +0.0% | USD 15,006 |
| DCA — 6 buys | +0.0% | USD 15,001 |
| DCA — 12 buys | +0.0% | USD 15,002 |
Levels the system watches
Reference levels used by the trend model to classify OUSD. They describe how the model reads the chart, not what anyone should do.
| Support (recent swing low) | USD 0.9929 |
| Resistance (recent swing high) | USD 1.00 |
| Trend model’s invalidation level (ATR-based) | USD 0.9967 (-0.3% from current price) |
| ATR (14) | USD 0.001331 (0.13%/day) |
| Price location vs trend (model label) | Pullback |
The invalidation level is where the model would stop treating the current trend reading as valid (roughly 2x ATR below price or 0.5x ATR below the recent swing low, whichever is lower). It is a model parameter, not a stop-loss recommendation.
Backtest Trade Log
| Date | Action | Price | Simulated P&L |
| 2026-09-20 | BUY | USD 0.9998 | |
| 2026-09-22 | SELL | USD 0.9996 | -0.0% |
| 2026-09-30 | BUY | USD 0.9998 | |
| 2026-10-04 | SELL | USD 0.9995 | -0.0% |
| 2026-10-06 | BUY | USD 0.9998 | |
| 2026-10-07 | SELL | USD 0.9997 | -0.0% |
| 2026-10-08 | BUY | USD 0.9999 | |
| 2026-10-14 | SELL | USD 0.9996 | -0.0% |
| 2026-10-20 | BUY | USD 0.9998 | |
| 2026-10-27 | SELL | USD 0.9994 | -0.0% |
| 2026-11-08 | BUY | USD 0.9997 | |
| 2026-11-09 | SELL | USD 0.9994 | -0.0% |
Trend-following methodology: 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter + ADX regime gate · Backtests are hypothetical and exclude fees.
a token called Open USD once hit 5.50 and now the monitor prints 0.9994 like its a win. -81.8% drawdown on something literally named after the dollar lol
it was never a stablecoin tho, just branded like one. that 5.50 print was pure 2021 froth
The detail that matters here is the invalidation level at 0.9967. With ATR at just 0.13% per day, the model flips on less than a 0.3% move. Very little margin for error.
33 bps of room before the trend label dies, basically noise on any exchange