Deep Dive Analysis
Quant (QNT)
2026-08-28 10:30 UTC · Elena Kowalski · 12,000 Portfolio
PRICE
62.19
62.19
52W HIGH
171.15
171.15
DRAWDOWN
-63.7%
-63.7%
STAGE
Stage 3 (Topping)
Stage 3 (Topping)
🟡 WAIT — No Clear Edge
Trend-Following System · LOW Conviction · 4 Bull / 5 Bear Factors
Bullish factors: price > 50d, MACD+, RSI healthy (52.0), strong bull trend (ADX 30.1)
Bearish factors: price < 200d, death cross, 50d falling, far below high, distribution (OBV down, vol ratio 0.52)
QNT Price — 1 Year
1Y Ago: 75.53
Low: 54.01
Now: 62.19
Low: 54.01
Now: 62.19
Technical Snapshot
| RSI (14) | 52.0 | ADX (14) | 30.1 |
| 50d MA | 61.84 | 200d MA | 68.25 |
| Price vs 50d | ▲ Above | Price vs 200d | ▼ Below |
| Support | 55.55 | Resistance | 68.23 |
| ATR Volatility | 3.76%/day | Trend | HOLD |
Crypto Performance Comparison
| Asset | 1 Month | 3 Months | 6 Months | 1 Year |
| QNT | +3.9% | -8.1% | -14.7% | -17.7% |
| BTC | +23.0% | +33.0% | +8.1% | -9.7% |
| ETH | +30.6% | +58.5% | +10.3% | -16.1% |
| SOL | +44.7% | +48.3% | +27.5% | -15.3% |
Trend-Following Backtest
2-year simulation of 12,000 using 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter. Buy when price > 50d MA (rising) + RSI 40-75. Sell on death cross or RSI > 82.
FINAL VALUE
11,042
RETURN
-8.0%
MAX DRAWDOWN
-42.7%
Strategy vs Buy & Hold
| Asset | Strategy | Buy & Hold | Max DD | Trades | Win Rate |
| QNT | -8.0% | -19.2% | -42.7% | 59 | 48% |
DCA vs Lump Sum (QNT)
If you had deployed 12,000 using different timing strategies over the past year.
| Strategy | Return | Value Today |
| Lump Sum (1y ago) | -17.7% | 7,299 |
| DCA — 4 buys | -22.2% | 9,332 |
| DCA — 6 buys | -16.4% | 10,028 |
| DCA — 12 buys | -17.5% | 9,898 |
QNT Deployment Plan — 12,000 Portfolio
Analysis by Elena Kowalski (Aggressive / Contrarian / Deep-Value). If you’re managing a 12,000 crypto allocation, here’s the plan:
| Position size | 3,000 (25% of portfolio) |
| Stop loss | 57.52 (-7.5%) |
| Target 1 | 68.00 (9.3%) |
| Target 2 | 72.00 (15.8%) |
| Entry quality | Pullback |
| Max concurrent positions | 4 |
Cash reserve: keep 25% buffer. Deploy in 2 tranches. Portfolio style: Aggressive / Contrarian / Deep-Value.
Backtest Trade Log
| Date | Action | Price | P&L |
| 2026-05-16 | BUY | 80.94 | |
| 2026-05-17 | SELL | 75.07 | -7.2% |
| 2026-05-18 | BUY | 76.13 | |
| 2026-05-19 | SELL | 73.37 | -3.6% |
| 2026-05-20 | BUY | 74.19 | |
| 2026-05-21 | SELL | 73.52 | -0.9% |
| 2026-05-22 | BUY | 77.16 | |
| 2026-05-23 | SELL | 79.57 | +3.1% |
| 2026-05-24 | BUY | 79.99 | |
| 2026-05-25 | SELL | 79.85 | -0.2% |
| 2026-05-26 | BUY | 75.36 | |
| 2026-05-27 | SELL | 72.62 | -3.6% |
Generated by BitcoinsNews.com Coin Analysis Engine · 2026-08-28 10:30 UTC
Trend-following methodology: 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter + ADX regime gate
Data via Yahoo Finance / CoinGecko · Not financial advice. For educational purposes only.
Trend-following methodology: 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter + ADX regime gate
Data via Yahoo Finance / CoinGecko · Not financial advice. For educational purposes only.
qnt -17.7% on the year while eth did +58.5%. held this all 2026 and its just been pain
same boat, rotated out at 95 in march and slept fine since. the only leaderboard qnt tops is pain
march exit at 95 while the chart sits at 68. nothing hurts like reading old comments on your own bags
the march 95 exit crew keeps showing up in these comment sections like a support group lol
march 95 exit gang keeps growing lol. overledger shipping changes nothing until the chart turns, two years of evidence on that now
pulling up a chair for the march 95 exit support group. held from 110 down and back up and the overledger announcements stopped even registering
support group member #47. held from 120, exited at 71 last month. the march 95 crew at least got out with dignity lol
Exited at 71 and it trades at 68 now. You basically top ticked the relief rally.
member 48 reporting, sold at 74 in june. the eth ratio is the only line that matters and it has said leave for a full year, the overledger updates never moved it once
its still under the 200d at 68.25 so the wait call checks out. stage 3 topping is not where you want to deploy
the confusing part is ADX 30.1, strong trend but stage 3 topping and no edge. even the system doesnt know what this chart is doing
not really confusing, adx just measures trend strength not direction. the downtrend IS strong, its just not one you buy
adx 30 during a stage 3 top just means the downtrend itself is the trend. system is consistent, the holders are the confused ones
adx measures trend strength, stage 3 measures position. a strong downtrend at the top of a range is the textbook moment to wait
under the 200d with ADX confirming the downtrend, waiting is free. overledger news can finally matter once the chart turns
waiting is free until a reclaim candle prints and you chase it 20 percent higher. set the alert on the 200d and stop refreshing the chart, that worked for me
overledger partnerships for years and zero price movement. at least the report admits theres no edge, RSI 52 is the shrug emoji of indicators
that comparison stings. rotated qnt into eth in january and it was the easiest decision of the year, the relative strength never came back
5 bear factors vs 4 bull, wait costs nothing. catching a stage 3 top down 63.7 percent from 171 costs plenty
the bear count winning 5-4 while price sits under the 200d, the system is just reading the room. holding here is vibes not analysis
RSI 52, low conviction, 4 bull vs 5 bear. sometimes the correct move is doing nothing and they said it
qnt is one of those tokens where the tech updates keep shipping and the chart keeps ignoring them. wait is the honest call here
62 with a 171 high and every signal disagreeing with every other signal. im respecting the 200d and not the story, easiest hold of my life
a HOLD with 4 bull vs 5 bear signals is analyst speak for we dont know either. at least they printed the -17.7 ytd instead of hiding it behind the roadmap talk
4 bull vs 5 bear is at least honest. the alternatives are permabull qnt youtube content or the march 95 exit support group upthread. ill take the coin flip with the -17.7 ytd printed in the open
-17.7 ytd against eth +58.5 is the entire qnt thesis in one line. the overledger updates are real, the token just has no reason to capture any of it