Deep Dive Analysis
Shiba Inu (SHIB)
2026-07-26 08:49 UTC · Marcus Reid · 30,000 Portfolio
PRICE
0.00
0.00
52W HIGH
0.00
0.00
DRAWDOWN
-0%
-0%
STAGE
Stage 3 (Topping)
Stage 3 (Topping)
🟡 WAIT — No Clear Edge
Trend-Following System · LOW Conviction · 4 Bull / 2 Bear Factors
Bullish factors: strong bull trend (ADX 38.9), breakout above upper band, vol 6.47x on up day, accumulation (OBV up, vol ratio 9508578.24)
Bearish factors: 50d falling, far below high
SHIB Price — 1 Year
1Y Ago: 0.00
Low: 0.00
Now: 0.00
Low: 0.00
Now: 0.00
Technical Snapshot
| RSI (14) | 92.3 | ADX (14) | 38.9 |
| 50d MA | 0.00 | 200d MA | 0.00 |
| Price vs 50d | ▼ Below | Price vs 200d | ▼ Below |
| Support | 0.00 | Resistance | 0.00 |
| ATR Volatility | 3.02%/day | Trend | HOLD |
Crypto Performance Comparison
| Asset | 1 Month | 3 Months | 6 Months | 1 Year |
| SHIB | +39.5% | -7.0% | -7.0% | -38.0% |
| BTC | +1.2% | -16.4% | -13.0% | -30.1% |
| ETH | +5.4% | -10.5% | -19.0% | -37.9% |
| SOL | -8.1% | -12.2% | -21.0% | -42.8% |
Trend-Following Backtest
2-year simulation of 30,000 using 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter. Buy when price > 50d MA (rising) + RSI 40-75. Sell on death cross or RSI > 82.
FINAL VALUE
21,928
RETURN
-26.9%
MAX DRAWDOWN
-26.9%
Strategy vs Buy & Hold
| Asset | Strategy | Buy & Hold | Max DD | Trades | Win Rate |
| SHIB | -26.9% | -65.1% | -26.9% | 33 | 9% |
DCA vs Lump Sum (SHIB)
If you had deployed 30,000 using different timing strategies over the past year.
| Strategy | Return | Value Today |
| Lump Sum (1y ago) | -38.0% | 11,957 |
| DCA — 4 buys | -36.7% | 19,000 |
| DCA — 6 buys | -31.4% | 20,593 |
| DCA — 12 buys | -26.0% | 22,197 |
SHIB Deployment Plan — 30,000 Portfolio
Analysis by Marcus Reid (Long-term HODLer). If you’re managing a 30,000 crypto allocation, here’s the plan:
| Position size | 4,500 (15% of portfolio) |
| Stop loss | 0.00 (nan%) |
| Target 1 | 0.00 (nan%) |
| Target 2 | 0.00 (nan%) |
| Entry quality | Unknown (R:R None) |
| Max concurrent positions | 8 |
Cash reserve: keep 15% buffer. Deploy in 3 tranches. Portfolio style: Long-term HODLer.
Backtest Trade Log
| Date | Action | Price | P&L |
| 2025-09-21 | BUY | 0.00 | |
| 2025-09-22 | SELL | 0.00 | -7.7% |
| 2026-01-09 | BUY | 0.00 | |
| 2026-01-10 | SELL | 0.00 | +0.0% |
| 2026-01-13 | BUY | 0.00 | |
| 2026-01-14 | SELL | 0.00 | +0.0% |
| 2026-04-22 | BUY | 0.00 | |
| 2026-04-23 | SELL | 0.00 | +0.0% |
| 2026-04-25 | BUY | 0.00 | |
| 2026-04-26 | SELL | 0.00 | +0.0% |
| 2026-04-27 | BUY | 0.00 | |
| 2026-04-28 | SELL | 0.00 | +0.0% |
Generated by BitcoinsNews.com Coin Analysis Engine · 2026-07-26 08:49 UTC
Trend-following methodology: 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter + ADX regime gate
Data via Yahoo Finance / CoinGecko · Not financial advice. For educational purposes only.
Trend-following methodology: 50d/200d MA crossover + RSI filter + ADX regime gate
Data via Yahoo Finance / CoinGecko · Not financial advice. For educational purposes only.
WAIT rating on a coin with ADX 38.9 and a breakout? thats literally the textbook definition of a strong trend lol. id be buying here
vol 6.47x on an up day but they still called it low conviction. make it make sense
^ the 50d falling is doing heavy lifting on the bearish side. one signal vs four bullish ones though, seems like an easy call
RSI 92.3 and theyre calling it HOLD with low conviction. buddy if RSI is over 90 you are the exit liquidity
the backtest won 9% of trades and still beat buy and hold by 38 points. tells you more about how bad SHIB is as a hold than how good the strategy is
9% win rate is insane. literally bought and sold at the same price 6 times and still lost money to slippage and fees